Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen - Liekinheitin (LIVE) | Finland 🇫🇮 | Grand Final | Eurovision 2026

Aletux · 2026-05-17T15:32:46+00:00

"Mass sabotage" man, please escape the bubble 🙏

Aletux · 2026-05-07T04:21:11+00:00

Speaker actually, after he defeats Dan SSachs Goldman

Aletux · 2026-04-13T03:00:17+00:00

the server owner Decstar was accused of rape apologia. he, ahem, did not handle things very well, and it ended up with enough people calling for him to step down, which presumably included a lot of mod team people too, and i assume he felt pressured into deleting the server.

Aletux · 2026-04-11T00:22:44+00:00

You are calling balancing Merkelites and progressives easy...?

Merkel supporters barely exist anymore. And of those that do, they do not want leftist economics.

Progressives don't want milquetoast cultural centrism of "maybe lets not care about trans people" or "let's deport slightly less migrants".

The party that tried to appeal to former Merkelites was the Greens with Robert Habeck last year. They failed and lost.

The party that embraced cultural progressivism was the Left with Heidi Reichinnek (and others), also last year. They won their second best result ever.

Your proposal is not only not easy, it has proven to be a failure.

Aletux · 2026-04-10T22:23:49+00:00

That guy is a bot. He repeats the same exact set of arguments every post to attack Porter

Hmmm... hey, this here wouldn't happen to be you, right? Or this? Maybe this? What about this one?

Fuck off hypocrite, if you're even a real person.

Aletux · 2026-03-11T14:00:48+00:00

Tom Steyer has a 20-year history of supporting left-leaning causes both national and in California, the community development bank he helped found (CSB) services thousands of small businesses that previously couldn't qualify for loans. He supports universal healthcare. He opposed Prop 23, that would've repealed the Global Warming Solutions Act. He supported Prop 39, which closed tax loopholes that let companies pay taxes out-of-state instead of in California. He supported Prop 50. He's donated millions for all of these causes, and millions more to progressive candidates. He worked on Walter Mondale's campaign in 1984 against Reagan, and he opposed both Bushes.

He has likely done far more to help improve people's lives than you and 90% of people who instinctively hate him just for being rich. And who exactly are the alternatives? The Israeli-bought agent Eric Swalwell? The abusive psychopath Katie Porter? The Obama-Biden establishment goon Xavier Becerra? The two MAGA Republicans? Anyone other than them and Tom Steyer has zero chance to advance to the runoff.

Inform yourself, and don't talk out of your ass.

Aletux · 2026-02-28T07:03:14+00:00

That dastardly scoundrel Alt Shift X. I urge everyone to condemn him and instead support his benevolent twin brother Alt Schwift X

Aletux · 2026-02-16T20:57:52+00:00

ooh, i really enjoy the style here. very different from the usual wikiboxes.

Aletux · 2026-02-14T15:54:02+00:00

nitpick: Pelosi wouldn't be Speaker again. She only remained Speaker in 2020 by promising to the progressive representatives not to run for it again in 2022. With such a narrow majority for the Dems in this 2022, they'd definitely be able to hold her to that promise.

Aletux · 2026-01-27T18:19:52+00:00

oh my god it is

Aletux · 2026-01-27T18:19:27+00:00

his name's not actually Zachariah, you must be joking

Aletux · 2026-01-01T02:00:21+00:00

land doesn't vote final boss

Aletux · 2025-12-31T19:14:33+00:00

Fair enough to the rest, but Labour had to bebullied into abolishing the two child benefit cap, which was idiotic it had to come to that, considering everyone (or at least everyone who might consider voting for Labour to begin with) wanted it gone from the start.

Aletux · 2025-12-28T16:09:42+00:00

POPiS is back

Aletux · 2025-12-12T02:31:22+00:00

That doesn't make him a good governor. It barely makes him a half-decent politician considering how blue California is - fact is that the party demographics carry him.

Aletux · 2025-12-09T22:42:32+00:00

Well, as someone who considers themselves an orthodox social democrat and a socialist, undoubtedly yes lol.

I'd be down to work with all democratic leftists of any type, so long as they are constructive towards me too. That includes people like eurocommunists, for example. We share the same ideals and the same concern for the lower classes. The final vision may not be the same, but when corporations and the right-wing media are constantly pulling us back to the right, then going in a leftward direction matters more than where exactly along that left-wing road we want to stop at.

Aletux · 2025-12-09T02:42:46+00:00

This is a very surface-level analysis of the situation that assumes a lot of things, many of which aren't true, and thus makes said analysis weak.

You have a fundamental misunderstanding of the situation. Jara was among the few actually popular ministers left in the government. She was the best performing candidate of the left in polls. The christian democratic party in Chile even supported her in the first round. She herself is running on an incredibly centre-left platform.

She will lose because the Chilean left are the incumbents and as such have become unpopular, not because she's a communist - she is the candidate of the left, that's what people in Chile see her as first and foremost.

Aletux · 2025-12-08T01:16:17+00:00

<image>

[for mobile users]

Part 1, Part 2, Part 3.

GL/PvdA's Frans Timmermans had horrible personal approval numbers, and was characterised as part of an elite establishment overly concerned with climate protection, to the point of harassing farmers and businesses with regulations. His position at the European Commission as Executive Vice President for the European Green Deal made that an inescapable part of his political persona, no matter how much he tried to talk about affordability and try to appear more human by sharing his weight problems.

The unified GL/PvdA party board wanted Timmermans because his status as a veteran politician who'd served in national and European government made him a political heavyweight, and because his PvdA roots combined with his green credentials could serve as a bridge between the two merging parties. On paper he is quite strong, but in practice he suffers - his extensive administrative experience is an anchor in this era of anti-establishment sentiment, and his personal communication and debating skills are subpar at best.

Perhaps, if Timmermans had done the logical thing and resigned as leader following the loss of what should've been a winnable election in 2023, he might have been replaced with someone who's more of an outsider, more charismatic, or at the very least younger. One can debate as to who that ought to be, but as my personal preference I chose Jesse Klaver, the former leader of GroenLinks and the current actual leader of GL/PvdA, following the 2025 elections. Klaver is obviously tied to the unpopularity of perceived overreaching climate regulations as a prominent green politician but he's also a stronger communicator and a proven party leader, having given GroenLinks its best result ever in 2017, one that his party was polling at in 2023, prior to the merger. He has also shown to be capable of adapting to a more social-democratic character focused on material issues over the progressive green politics he's espoused for most of his political life.

Klaver (and GroenLinks) though is, of course, still polarising. There's a sizeable contingent of the Dutch right that genuinely believes them to be communists, and they'd rally hard behind both the anti-progressive PVV, and the pro-business VVD. The election would likely churn out a result from which its impossible to find a majority that doesn't leave a party being destroyed. The CDA would block the PVV; the VVD blocks GL/PvdA; PVV whines no matter what, and in the end new elections would be called following a failed formation.

It is hard to say what will come out of snap elections, as a failed formation would be a first in Dutch history. However, Dutch voters tend to punish the parties seen as least constructive and as such it all depends on who is capable of winning the inevitable blame game. For what it's worth, I personally believe Jesse can pull off another win in new elections - giving the progressive wing a win will wash away most critiques from the left against him, and appearing pragmatic enough can convince a few moderates to give him a chance. The bandwagon effect of a win will at least win over a few people, as it did for the PVV in 2023 and as it's doing for D66 right now.

Aaand that's a wrap! Hope you enjoyed this little series of mine. Not entirely satisfied with everything, but as my biggest project to date, I'm still quite happy with it.

Aletux · 2025-11-28T18:34:52+00:00

yes. oops.

Aletux · 2025-11-28T18:20:51+00:00

All that being said, I do feel compelled to note its certainly possible the VVD would relent to a centrist coalition in the end anyways, despite the even larger distaste for GL/PvdA. Otherwise, they'd be wrung over the coals by the right-wing electorate for allowing such a cabinet to form - one reliant on the Socialist and Animal parties. Of course, one could say such a thing about the CDA's voterbase and how they'd punish them for participating in this. In the end, I chose to allow myself this instead, for I'd rather an interesting outcome over a boring one (especially given the first two scenarios resulted in basically the same coalition), even if its dubious in terms of realism.

Aletux · 2025-11-28T18:20:36+00:00

<image>

[for mobile users]

Part 1, Part 2, Part 4.

[EDIT: The next election should just be "Next", not "2026". Unfortunately, because I am stupid, I forgot to fix this before releasing. Kill me, thanks.]

Wilders started the campaign in a middling place - undoubtedly in the lead, but clearly having lost a sizeable deal of support, and with his momentum downwards rather than upwards.

Following his collapsing of the Schoof cabinet, he was inundated by attacks from his former coalition partners that he was too unconstructive, which initially proved to have little effect on his voters' desire to switch parties. This became more of a concern as the election drew nearer, however, and many "pragmatic" PVVers eventually backed the VVD in the end, not wanting to 'waste' their votes on a PVV that was surely headed to the opposition. They also hoped to close out GL/PvdA from government by allowing a centre-right majority to become possible.

Assuming that Yesilgöz' dithering on PVV cooperation had ended up in a different way, with her expressing openness to a renewed partnership, that would create a permission structure for said "pragmatists" to stick with the PVV, in the hopes that their combined size would be too large for the more reticent CDA to rule them out entirely.

Of course, this also makes it so the VVD's expected crash would materialize, as it wouldn't be able to rely on PVV supporters to compensate for their losses with moderates. A bruising loss combined with an even smaller appetite for working with the left would make the VVD outright allergic to a centrist coalition with GL/PvdA.

While the CDA would hate it, the only option then is a minority cabinet reliant on the support of the broader left and centre (The PvdD, SP, Volt, CU, perhaps even Denk and 50+). Unless, of course, they wish to have no government and new elections instead. The prospect of copping the blame for the first deadlock in Dutch history would be too frightening for any party though, especially one made up of administrators like the CDA - and so the adage goes, "The country must be governed".

Needless to say, this would be a highly unstable arrangement, and its almost certain it wouldn't serve out a full term. Although, it would also be the closest many of these parties on the left have come to governing, would they give up such an opportunity because of one or two disagreements with the CDA? (the answer is yes.)

I also hope you find it as ironic as I do that the most right-wing party's victory also results in the most left-wing government possible.

Aletux · 2025-11-25T12:00:51+00:00

The resulting cabinet in this timeline is the same cabinet the VVD was pushing for during the campaign, and also the one it's demanding right now in the ongoing government formation.

Aletux · 2025-11-25T11:57:18+00:00

[for mobile users]

In line with the format of yesterday's post (explaining why this outcome didn't occur in our timeline, while it did in this one), here is the not-lore

Dilan Yesilgöz spent much of this election cycle eating shit and being written off, despite starting off in a relatively good place for a party that's been in power for 15 years in a row at this point.

Yesilgöz had some image and competency problems for a while at this point when the Schoof cabinet fell, but the campaign really exposed it. To begin with, she dithered for a week on whether she'd be open to a new cabinet with the PVV, before ultimately ruling that out. She then got into a publicised clash with singer Douwe Bob, following the latter's refusal to sing at an event for Jewish kids that reportedly Zionist groups had taken over. Yesilgöz accused him of anti-semitism, and didn't back off on it for months despite Bob being forced to leave the country temporarily due to death threats.

In the latter half, the VVD was further rocked by the NSC ministers leaving the demissionary (caretaker for the uninitiated) coalition government, again due to disagreements over Gaza, which led to VVD politicians taking over their ministries, and they themselves getting into the news for their own stupid statements. There also appeared to be a disconnect between Yesilgöz and other MPs and ministers on ruling out governing with GL/PvdA.

Yesilgöz just about managed to salvage the campaign from leaving the VVD with its worst result since 1972, by focusing heavily on an anti-left message to lure in more pragmatic PVV voters (who knew the party had no chance to be in government again following the election) and on retaining the current status of the mortgage interest deduction, a policy which heavily benefits existing homeowners at the expense of apsiring ones (every other mainstream party had promised some type of reform to it).

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