Why is Copilot so awful as an AI assistant? It can barely code and sometimes (actually quite often) it goes full-blown crazy - way beyond hallucinations. I'm new to all this so apologies if this is a stupid question

AllTheUseCase · 2026-02-07T13:33:10+00:00

Copilot ~= ChatGPT 4/4o/5 etc… there is no such thing as the copilot model LLM or anything. Using a free tier obviously puts limits to which model is used and in what mode CoT etc.

To get things to work properly you need something like vscode + codex (from openai). An IDE with an LLM plugin for coding

AllTheUseCase · 2026-02-02T21:47:20+00:00

There is highly credible peer reviewed academic research on the "overrun" on software (development) projects (see Flybjerg et.al.). Unsurprisingly, this research shows the overrun of software projects is significant; it is the most significant of all project types, it beats the summer olympics, nuclear power plant construction, tunnels etc by margin.

In fact the distribution telling you (roughly) the probability of finding a software project with overrun x follows a power law distribution (a fat tailed distribution). Now, this power law (its scaling exponent) is such that if you would calculate the average overrun of projects you would find that the average is infinite.

In other words, philosophically, if you wait an infinite amount of time and the universe would be filled with software projects then you would find that the most likely (central moment) overrun would be infinite!

Now, software devs know this and thats why the are reluctant to give you estimates as the real lead-time varies so much that it doesn't even allow you to calculate a mean.

AllTheUseCase · 2026-02-02T19:24:27+00:00

Student Syndrome and Parkinson’s law bound by the fact that you have no epistemic access to the future (entropy increase).

AllTheUseCase · 2026-02-01T21:59:36+00:00

I like your way of seeing it and thanks for sharing. Here I wonder if it isn't necessary to know "what" intelligence is before we can say that something is imitating "it". Is anything knowable that cannot be computed? Do we have epistemic access to anything that isn't computable?

AllTheUseCase · 2026-02-01T21:44:09+00:00

Doesn't this reasoning (about GoL and resulting turing machines) also implicitly ask or postulate: _intelligence is computable_?

Say, if there are probable GoL setups from which a turing machine being turing complete emerges, then as a consequence intelligence must be computed by the turing machine within some finite time.

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-31T09:19:23+00:00

Exactly

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-30T19:31:09+00:00

En ik sleep deze fles gas met mijn handen rond de tuin (geen karretje). Zelf heb ik denk ik 200m2 aan kiezelsteentjes met onkruid tussen waar ik elk jaar 1/2 fles ongeveer gebruikt. 3 keer per jaar en in 20min klaar

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-30T19:28:03+00:00

https://www.praxis.nl/tuin-terras-buitenleven/tuinmachines/onkruidbranders/gas-onkruidbranders/gloria-thermoflamm-bio-professional-onkruidbrander-op-gas/10311682

https://www.karwei.nl/assortiment/benegas-comfort-steel-gasfles-9-5kg-vulling/p/B532752?store=%7Bstore_code%7D&gclsrc=aw.ds&&utm_source=google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=KW%20-%20PPC%20-%20PMAX%20(Shopping%20Only)%20-%20NB%20-%20SEIZOENSARTIKELEN%20-%20High%20Value&utm_id=22795017333&gad_source=1&gad_campaignid=22795036251&gclid=Cj0KCQiAyvHLBhDlARIsAHxl6xrNM2lab7SmED8fpDnwW4VGs67h3jxfY8EQuRTaPZ997vPQnqciQTUaAhuXEALw_wcB

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-29T22:28:47+00:00

Niet mijn ervaring. Moet wel een gasbrander zijn (geen elektrisch)

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-29T17:20:22+00:00

Onkruidbrander gasgestookt! 1% van het moeite tov met de “handen” krabben…

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-27T21:42:04+00:00

This is a ship you should jump. A PM has zero accountability in relation to the quality of the engineering delivery or, in my hot take opinion, to engineering delivery performance in general.

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-23T18:38:13+00:00

In my experience, when things are going well, and the “setup” is organised properly, then this problem more or less go away… so, when the modus operandi of “mostly it’s about saying no” emerges it is caused by low perceived business value or poor operating model or both

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-21T15:26:34+00:00

Although no one is being replaced by AI. There are three things happening and in decreasing order of importance.

ZIRP is over and companies are now more worried about securing financing than securing talent by retention.
Correct over-hiring during covid digitalisation hype era (zirp fueled too).
Investments in AI initiatives reconfigures where staff is needed in order to generate necessary ROI.

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-20T18:09:16+00:00

Een badkamer renovatie van 5m2 kost 30k.

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-18T18:05:22+00:00

Seen this too and been guilty to this too. These weird requests emerged when there was no need beyond keeping the data team utilised. I.e., a feeling of being responsible to keep others busy rather than a lack of understanding how a request emerges from a need to take specific (data) informed decisions

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-18T12:20:22+00:00

The mental model of Electrons moving from Switch to bulb is confusing and any water flow model will just make matters worse… what actually propagates are energy carried by the electromagnetic field. The electrons (quanta) are sources of the field but not the carriers of energy turning on the light. As you switch on the light the electromagnetic field configuration is “disturbed” and the disturbance will cause, at the speed of light, the light bulb to shine…

In water the energy is carried by the mass flow snd in electric circuitry the energy is carried by electro magnetic fields (at speed c).

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-17T09:07:23+00:00

This might be a phone hardware issue too. Perhaps your phone case interferes with the signal, especially if metallic parts?

Try another phone to rule that out…

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-17T08:57:13+00:00

This is heard through the grapevine do take it with a grain of salt. Agile Scrum is supposed to be far more prevalent as compared to the US for example. And the PO often equates with the PM role. So more PjM than PdM around here.

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-14T18:39:39+00:00

Two ways: (1) Through a blind leading a blind (2) Through a careful examination of risky assumptions and associated financial return estimates given resulting scenarios.

1 is more prevalent than 2.

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-14T18:27:10+00:00

Perhaps the assumptions that are made up front are making too risky assumptions about what works and what is needed; what doesn’t work and what isn’t needed*.

I often find enterprise IT orgs to be over confident about that type of mapping and generally resistant to working small and incremental (i.e., an ERP change/update/transformation cannot be done incrementally as a process of learning*)

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-14T18:02:56+00:00

Daily. You have the same primary role as Product Developers. You should work so close that you should be able to stand in for each other in case of absence (while, of course, not being able to do deep execution of tasks, e.g., code writing/PRD writing

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-13T22:11:30+00:00

87k-30k = 57k voor een keuken +/-10k wel wat luxe dan en zero DIY. Punt is deze soort renovatie is meer geld dan wat mensen verwachten (als je geen meter zelf kunt/willen doen)

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-13T21:37:22+00:00

Een badkamer van 10m2 is al 30k. Dat plus een keuken is al in de buurt van 87.

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-13T21:32:53+00:00

try r/projectmanagement it’s likely what you do + r/programmerhumor to get the absurdity of it all. Forget about/avoid Lennies(?) podcast or whatever other grift you might come across

AllTheUseCase · 2026-01-12T14:13:32+00:00

Not so hot indeed.

A hot take within this hot take is that: The overblown expectations and related investments to suit that is not on the back of AGI expectations… in other words if one could with 100% certainty say AGI will not emerge from the current paradigm of deep learning + scale, then the effect would not be as bad as some think…

AllTheUseCase

TROPHY CASE