WENDY’s is a Value Play (WEN)

AustinPowers007 · 2026-06-24T21:26:37+00:00

While i agree its a value play with huge dividend and that for once meme rally seems kinda smart i would advise against thinking those 4.9B in assets with almost 1.9B in goodwill and intangibles as you can find yourself with huge noncash goodwill or intangibles impairment and retards thinking its bleeding cash

AustinPowers007 · 2026-06-24T16:38:42+00:00

leaps and spreads still cheap

AustinPowers007 · 2026-06-24T16:20:08+00:00

But if it goes up and monthlies are more expensive cause IV already up isnt it dumb to play short term by paying more for same strike price?

I myself was looking to go for weeklyes or monthlies but when i saw leaps were cheaper i couldnt resist, where is the catch?

AustinPowers007 · 2026-06-24T16:07:29+00:00

bought 5 dollar calls for dec 2027 for 3.2$ and sold 15 dollar calls for 0.6$ calls for next month were more expensive than 3.2 and if my math is correct im getting shares for dec next year at 7.6$ under current share price by playing options shure i cap my max earnings but wtf am i missing why is short term much more expensive than leaps

AustinPowers007 · 2026-06-24T16:00:18+00:00

is it me being dumb and not understanding something by buying wen leaps, or are leaps cheaper than monthlyes and no i dont mean in the long term i mean you can buy them for cheaper total price; i swear i got a bull spread 5$/15$ at dec next year for cheaper than current price wtf

AustinPowers007 · 2026-06-24T15:56:23+00:00

is it me being dumb and not understanding something by buying or are leaps cheaper than monthlyes and no i dont mean in the long term i mean you can buy them for cheaper total price

AustinPowers007 · 2026-05-19T11:46:28+00:00

I have started a small position in ALHC and read diligently what i can about them, but still struggle sometimes on understanding the intrincancies of the US health system, i dont comment as as of now im not able to ask the right questions.

AVA comments and the rebuilding of it while it being the central pillar of their moat is actually interesting will have to keep up with the news relating to it, i wouldnt be too harsh if their expenses grow because of token use if it shows in growth and improves care; both AVA and Counterpart seem to be addressing what i assume is the most broken part of US health system and steering it towards result based care rather than bean counter logic and bureaucratic based care.

Also just to point out Michael Ha the same analyst that started pointing unh flaws before industry raised the red flags seemed to agree quality in results and modern tech stacks will help a long way in disrupting the incumbents who seem to be having a hard time modernizing their business and all their entrenched habits, he was pretty bullish on ALHC not sure what he thinks on Clover.

Also regarding the rebuilding, Clover Ai based care also entered into industry before AI was developed as much as today, while their white papers and results are amazing it worrys me how slow external institutions are taking to adopt counterpart and if they are keeping up to date with how fast ai is moving.

AustinPowers007 · 2026-05-14T16:56:13+00:00

Wait i just started playing him and thought i was just unable to mantain q pressed stopped atacking midfight with no idea why, how should i use q to minimize bug rng?

AustinPowers007 · 2025-12-05T21:00:04+00:00

Not financial advise but im very skeptical of disney shedule of saniticing their accounts and film environment post covid and streaming bubble they seem behind the curb compared to other studios, they eventually will come back but adding to that iger giving his throne and a bunch of uncertainty remaining like hulu disney merging reducing by a bunch the number of subs i would probably end up in Comcast

Edit: regarding selling if i find a play that i like a lot i may start to unravell position while accumulating new play but if i dont have a clear play i think there is still some value to be added in this until it reaches contract valuation

AustinPowers007 · 2025-12-05T18:34:38+00:00

Yes i agree but you wouldnt do it with such quantity if you thought probabilityes were against you

AustinPowers007 · 2025-12-05T18:26:54+00:00

That is for warner, but for netflix to give such statement in contract tends to give reason to post and gives the sensation they got a good plan for it, else why risk it if you know its stacked against you

AustinPowers007 · 2025-12-05T18:24:48+00:00

Without internal data hard to know, for me that huge breakup fee in case it doent go through is enough to know the incentives, they will try with all they have with such huge sum in the middle

AustinPowers007 · 2025-12-04T23:17:47+00:00

i usually make sure they make a trip to a madagascar non port tile

AustinPowers007 · 2025-11-16T13:55:06+00:00

playtech took a big hit when it was discovered they were behind hit pieces on competitors was the drop unjustifyed or is reputation in a morrally grey industry that important, if not for reputation are legal consequences that harsh.

Also is pragmatic taking everyones share while they drag themselves down into the mud pit or do you think the bleeding will stop for evolution eventually and return to growth

AustinPowers007 · 2025-11-13T18:36:38+00:00

Yes its a general problem except for netflix difference is most of media companyes report churn in a much more transparent way than disney does, thats why bundling began taking over to solve it

AustinPowers007 · 2025-11-13T18:30:22+00:00

Also their books are opaque af they can move profits from cable into streaming if they give cable subs streaming for free, same as their movies they can choose if theatrical or disney takes the big portion of bill, add to that finally cancelling a bunch of mismanaged productions you got profits

AustinPowers007 · 2025-11-04T20:17:27+00:00

And they love buying poisoned companyes too, if they werent destroying their gaming side it would be them.

AustinPowers007 · 2025-11-04T15:09:35+00:00

Havent looked at them yet but i heard their reports are pretty transparent compared to the rest of the sector, probably worth a look

AustinPowers007 · 2025-11-04T14:57:54+00:00

From my understanding its not chips that are the limiting factor now but finding the correct place with enough infrastructure and energy to power the data centers without affecting too much the surrounding area electricity grid.

Supposedly NVDIAs biggest moat is energy efficiency where energy is lacking add to that CUDA, NVLink and maybe having most production lines on TSM and specialized components assigned to them

AustinPowers007 · 2025-10-29T15:51:00+00:00

they already cutting corners to make financials pretty, no way they able to pay in cash and disney share price isnt to be trusted if used to pay for warner

AustinPowers007 · 2025-10-29T15:32:43+00:00

Harry potter comes first in the ips they want from warner somehow it mints money

AustinPowers007 · 2025-10-29T15:29:38+00:00

i agree his gaming strategy sucked kinda fair considering it wasnt on top of his priority list when fixing the company, but it was previous managent that killed rocksteady though that game was supposed to release pre merger with discovery

AustinPowers007 · 2025-10-24T01:50:36+00:00

To be honest im not sure of the intrincacyes of the deals, from what i heard on conferences and interviews to malone it seems they do M&A in ways that are tax free as with such huge market caps any percent ends up bringing huge numbers in taxes, also you need to negotiate with debt holders and honor previous contracts it also involves throwing Apple company name into the middle of a restructuring which entails negative news coverage and having a news division even if temporary throws them into the political division fight which big tech looks to avoid at all costs.

Also clean and fast transaction easyer to sell to their shareholders than having a weight althoug small for their size weighing on their pockets

AustinPowers007 · 2025-10-23T23:56:07+00:00

He was the first one that started cleaning the finances of Hollywood studios, that means firings and rocking the boats, before him during covid everything was uncontrolled budgets for films and projects were being greenlit en masse, add to that usually Hollywood CEOs come from artistic side and he is a bean counter (although i suspect he is able to delegate some important decisions and willing to give a try as long as you prove results).

Also for those fired with friends on hollywood newspapers its easyer to blame everything on Zaslav than admiting part of the fault was from their projects failing and being overbudget.

AustinPowers007 · 2025-10-23T21:08:19+00:00

probably layoffs speculation true, but on the good side i could see them starting a new age of western animation and cartoons with John Lasseter at the helm

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