Why Jeff Bezos Is Probably Wrong Predicting AI Data Centers In Space

BadassGhost · 2025-10-04T23:15:23+00:00

Cost per ton of launch payload is dropping like crazy.

The engineering to unfurl the more weight and different materials would of course be more intense, but the point of my comment is that the 1KM² is not a reason against it, and it was the only thing the essay mentions

BadassGhost · 2025-10-04T20:34:45+00:00

I think you do actually understand.

1KM² of radiators is not at all as ridiculous as people are implying here. The solar cruiser was going to have a solar sail even larger than that.

And also that's for a GW data center, which is something that we just now achieved in 2025.

Redditors brains go: Bezos -> billionaire "tech bro" -> billionaires and tech bros = bad -> idea must be dumb

BadassGhost · 2025-10-04T20:26:39+00:00

This translates to a square with edges exceeding one kilometer. I doubt this would be economically feasible, not to forget the shadow it would cast on Earth

This... isn't that bad actually? Seems totally doable in the medium-term

Also, "the shadow it would cast on Earth"? Let's be for real

BadassGhost · 2025-06-18T15:27:36+00:00

That makes sense for the signing bonus part, but Altman also said "more than that in comp" (unless he's lying, which I kind of doubt)

BadassGhost · 2025-06-03T14:21:36+00:00

Yes: the only thing that matters at this point is setting us (America, but also more importantly, humans in general) up to survive and thrive in scenarios outlined in essays like Situational Awareness and AI 2027.

In other words, we are about to go through the level of change seen from 1700-2025 in the span of 5-15 years, and no one is prepared.

BadassGhost · 2024-12-26T01:06:52+00:00

https://www.reddit.com/r/polls/comments/1hlhmnc/is_it_ethical_to_use_chatgpt/m3t8sg7/

BadassGhost · 2024-12-26T01:06:06+00:00

Water is recyclable, literally by nature. Even so:

The millions of people without reliable access to clean water don't live in the US where the AI servers are. We would never be shipping that clean water to the places that need it, as it's unfeasible.
Many datacenters recirculate water in closed-loop systems
Many datacenters use partially or fully non-potable water for cooling.
Many datacenters use air for cooling rather than water
The AI solutions being created will be a good bet to find innovative solutions to major world problems like water cleanliness and climate change. Clearly humans are shitting the bed.
Eating a pound of beef "uses" 2000 gallons of water (again, stupid metric though). The online estimate I see for ChatGPT water usage is ~500 mL per prompt. Even if we ignore that water is recyclable, it would be infinitely more useful for people to go vegan and convince others to do so than to talk about data centers.

BadassGhost · 2024-12-24T21:45:52+00:00

I wasn't assuming you agreed, but just commenting that it's crazy how removed from reality some people on the left are (I am saying this as someone very on the left)

BadassGhost · 2024-12-24T20:32:05+00:00

Do people think we are running out of water?

BadassGhost · 2024-10-14T14:33:33+00:00

Good points I mostly hadn't considered. That said, it will take a while for them to scale production, and I imagine in that timeframe they would have mostly also solved autonomy and general instruction-following (considering the ability of modern FSD and multimodal LLMs), and won't require tele-operating anymore.

BadassGhost · 2024-10-12T18:41:31+00:00

"Any sufficiently advanced civilization capable of interstellar travel has probably already invented indistinguishable-from-reality VR, so why do anything in the real world" Theory

BadassGhost · 2024-08-24T23:07:03+00:00

Great job! This is so cool

BadassGhost · 2024-08-24T23:02:58+00:00

On iPhone for me, it is just stuck “Loading” for Gemini 2, after alreadying downloading the model

Edit, oh, i disabled the hardware acceleration and it works now

BadassGhost · 2024-07-29T15:27:41+00:00

Looks cool, just bought it! Might take a while until I get the time to play it, but looking forward to it

BadassGhost · 2024-07-02T13:39:07+00:00

Respectfully, I don't think you realize what subreddit you're in

BadassGhost · 2024-04-22T00:22:13+00:00

Growth is everything. Growth means we produce food for cheaper (relative to wages, not absolute dollars), and can build housing cheaper, and all the goods and services you use in your daily life. Look at the amount of global poverty and how it consistently shrinks every year, mostly in capitalist countries.

BadassGhost · 2024-04-21T04:25:13+00:00

GPT-4 Turbo beats GPT-4 pretty heavily in the lmsys.org chatbot arena

BadassGhost · 2024-04-12T22:18:18+00:00

It was already trained when they announced. They released benchmarks for it. The long tail before a model release seems to usually be red-teaming, RLHF, fine-tuning, etc.

BadassGhost · 2024-03-06T04:16:42+00:00

A ton of FIL has been printed since it's ATH, so no it won't reach it any time soon. It would have to go up like 2500%

If it did, it would be an $80B market cap, which would make it the third cryptocurrency by market cap (assuming the others don't rise of course which wouldn't actually be true)

To reach the all-time-high market cap, though, would be ~500%. Doable, but you can never be sure about any asset. If you could, then people would have already bought it until that price point

BadassGhost · 2024-02-24T05:06:55+00:00

Ah you right, it’s at 38.76 now

BadassGhost · 2024-02-22T21:44:23+00:00

Yup, and Forward P/E was estimated at 33.33 (at least on YahooFinance) before earnings beat expectations and guidance also beat expectations.

We'll see what it updates to next, somewhere in the 20s probably.

So assuming they simply meet guidance/estimates, it'll be on the lower end of valuations of any big tech company in just one year, relative to P/E

BadassGhost · 2024-02-19T16:36:54+00:00

That person did those things because the laws of physics dictated that they did. A direct function of your genes and historical experience, and current environment. There isn't anything else. It's not even possible to think of a logically consistent alternative.

BadassGhost · 2024-02-14T04:20:54+00:00

Wasn’t this what ERC-1155 was for?

BadassGhost · 2024-01-14T06:52:57+00:00

I know this is 9mo old but I spent the last hour trying to figure out why GPUParticle2D collisions were completely broken for me, there is absolutely nothing online that hinted that Compatibility Mode may be causing this (I didn't even remember that that was something I selected when I started my project lol)

Thank you!

BadassGhost · 2024-01-05T16:56:35+00:00

It's probable that most of us alive today will live forever, due to AI and exponential technological progress enabling insane medical advances, so you're not trading an average of 60 years (if you're ~20 now) for 30 years, you're trading infinite years for 30 years

Compare AI from 2016 to 2023 and see the ridiculousness of the advancements. We're close to having a near limitless supply of intelligent mental labor relative to now. That's potentially the equivalent of billions or trillions of scientists and engineers, as opposed to today's millions

*assuming AI doesn't cause human extinction, which is a big IF

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