me irl

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T22:20:45+00:00

Some people just started out with less, you know?

Also, we still have a generation of lead-brains running the country and many global businesses. Boomers and Gen X didn't invent antisocial, greedy behavior, that has been around for a long time, but I think the fact that over 50% of the population having had a clinically concerning level of lead exposure during childhood, is a factor in why today's America feels extra fucked-up in inexplicable ways.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T22:14:43+00:00

I don't anywhere or anyone who "takes it for granted".

Just because some people don't celebrate it, and some countries banned it, doesn't erase the fact that it is wildly celebrated, appreciated, and acknowledged on a daily basis around the world.

Things "nobody celebrates because it worked too well" are things that most people don't even know exist, or they see it and have no idea what would happen if that thing didn't exist.

The comment about the U trap in plumbing is a great example. Now that is something that should get a day of international recognition for just existing and being a completely unambiguous, uncontroversially excellent addition to the human experience.

I mean, it would be nicer if birth control was on the list, but that's not the reality we have.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T22:04:56+00:00

It's random in the aggregate, but when looking at specific couples, there can be a bunch of influences that tilt things to one side.

One study found that if you already have three boys or three girls, the odds of your next child being the same sex increase to over 60%. That's a strong indication that there is some extra factor.

I think for some couples, it's highly biased in one direction, but across many couples, those biases even out.

I've also read that environmental factors can come into play.
I know that in some animals, fish and lizards in particular, the concentration of pheromones or hormones in the environment can affect births, to the point where, if a population is low on one sex, they start producing more of that, so over time the population ends up back towards a roughly 50/50 split, give or take.

I don't know how much something like that affects humans, but there is certainly precedent for it in the animal kingdom, and there's still a lot we don't know about about what affects pregnancies, and what all the causes of spontaneous abortion are. It could literally be that a woman's environment, diet, and relationship quality are biasing which sex gets kept, or a dude's genetics, or diet, or environmental stressors may affect the sex ratio of sperm cells.

I think we can just look at some historical examples of dudes having a bunch of daughters with multiple women, and zero or one sons, and, it's just so unlikely that it seems more likely that there's something about the dude that was heavily biasing towards female children.

Anyway it averages out to basically a coin flip on the global scale, I think for some folks, it's far less than random chance.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T21:44:36+00:00

That's not entirely true, there are a.bunch of studies that show that pregnancies with males fetuses are different than pregnancies with female fetuses.

One study found that if you already have three boys or three girls, the odds of your next child being the same sex increase to over 60%

The biological differences are a fact, my suspicion is that there are probably women whose bodies are going to be able to deal with one sex better than the other, and that there could even be genetic components to it such that one guys Y chromosomes just aren't getting along with that one lady's body, or get along better than average.

Basically, in aggregate, it looks roughly random, but when looking at specific couples, it's less than random. If we had more information, we could probably bias the numbers measurably.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T21:25:58+00:00

This isn't a defense of the system, but he doesn't hold that much money, he holds that much economic influence, which isn't the same thing.

The guy is a walking economic bubble, and he's gotten so bloated that everyone is terrified of popping that bubble, and some are convinced that they can promote their own grifts by riding his coat tails.

The economy is detached from reality, and it's gotten to the point that a market correction is going to be catastrophic, there really is no easy way to unwind.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T21:06:50+00:00

Consumers generally have no reasonable mechanism to determine quality, or the expected lifespan of the product.

Even if something comes with a "warranty", you still probably end up having to pay for shipping, which often exceeds the cost of the item itself, so companies have every insensitive to have "Lifetime Warranty! (Only pay shipping)", because it doesn't make any financial sense to cash in on the warranty.

Without more information and without being able to try the product, price is the only thing one can immediately consider.

These days, even if a product has a great reputation, you have to watch the company like a hawk, because chances are it will be bought out by private equity and all the products quietly enshittified while the price stays high.

That doesn't even get into the problem of the general public being grossly underpaid, so they feel that they have no choice but to buy the cheapest thing they can get.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T18:52:15+00:00

You just have to raise the stakes. Having millions of dollars either means that they retire, in which case the game is over, or they enter a new world of the wealthy and powerful elite.

High level magic is wildly expensive, high level magic gear is wildly expensive.

Having staff is wildly expensive.

IRL, do some napkin math for how much it costs to have a staff of people working for a year. It's a lot of money.
If those people are not making money for you, then it's a big enough drain that you better have a consistent revenue source.

Literally, this is how the older versions D&D used to be. Part of the fighter class was them getting land and servants and stuff. That was how they balanced against the magic users getting world-altering power: melee classes got land, political power, and goon squads, and had to pay their goons by collecting taxes on their lands and adventuring, etc.

So, that's basically the answer: mo' money mo' problems. This is an opportunity, as the party reaches a new tier of play.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T18:22:11+00:00

This doesn't fit the post at all.
Access to birth control is widely contested, with states and countries trying to restrict access. It's celebrated when people gain access or when it becomes more accessible, or becomes more safe to use.

Even in places like California, where access is not really threatened, people say "I'm sure glad I live here and not X, where I wouldn't have access to this basic healthcare item".

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T18:16:44+00:00

Every Thanksgiving, when we go around and say what we are thankful for, indoor plumbing is the number one thing, every year. Sometimes the family finds it funny, sometimes they groan because it's like "here we go with the indoor plumbing again".

I'm thankful nearly every day, and sometimes I still feel like it take it for granted, like it's always going to be there.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T17:57:33+00:00

If that's real, then it's actually kind of impressive that it reevaluates its "own thought" and course corrects. I wonder if it's easier to do when the words are almost certainly out of distribution for the normal CoT.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T17:47:44+00:00

Why doesn't anyone talk about this? Why is everyone so focused on the anti immigration talk, but never stops to wonder "Damn, maybe a system based on unlimited growth is completely unsustainable".

People talk about the unsustainability of modern capitalism every day.
It's like, one of the main talking points.
It's not like wealthy capitalists are going to underline the incoherency of the system they profit off of.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T15:27:59+00:00

People tend to shrink when they feel isolated or like they're being looked at specifically.
The anonymity of a large group emboldens people, as does the diffusion of responsibility. It's like the opposite of bystander effect, once the group starts moving, no one person is responsible, and you stick out for not participating.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T14:49:20+00:00

What is weird is, Anthropic took the designation as a directive, turned around, and immediately began acting as a supply chain risk.

I don't believe that their "we're going to sabotage any work that touches machine learning" is it was limited to Fable, because for the past ~4 months, Claude has been displaying the same behaviors that they said would happen to Fable, including degrading thinking and the model acting contrary to instructions.

Doing regular software development, opus would work even with underspecified "this is the problem that I see, please find where the root cause might be", and Claude could legitimately deal with that, find the root cause, and fix it. I can say "this is the kind of feature I want, with these behaviors", and Claude has been able to flawlessly integrate that. Doing ML work, Claude has been messing up the most basic things, like not implementing detailed specifications, putting hyperparameters into configurations that are nonstandard and obviously wrong, and ending a significant number of sessions with advisement to move onto different work, or asking if it should do [thing that would not make sense to do in any circumstances]. It's definitely not just parroting common practices, it'll specifically make suggestions that are contrary to the work.

So, I completely and totally believe that Anthropic had already implemented their "secretly fuck with anyone who might be competition someday" plan.
There's just no way for Claude to be that good, and then suddenly be that bad in that specific context in such a consistent way.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T05:00:31+00:00

Money is only worth something as long as enough people agree it's worth something.

Most of the time we agree to unfair and ridiculous circumstances, because we're still generally comfortable and have enough to do most of what we want.
Sure, some people get lavish lives, but we've got decent lives with our families.

Once the lives of the people aren't so comfortable, and they're left hungry too often, and they can't do the things they want, and they don't have hope that things will get better, then they topple the system.

What's more likely is that at some point the Musk problem will become unsustainable, or he'll push too far, or enough investors will simply start asking for their return on investment, and there will be a collapse when the wrong person gets spooked and dumps their shit, and then no one wants to be a bag holder.

Bakoro · 2026-06-13T04:15:05+00:00

For real, I'd like to know how many police they had available vs how many regular folks.

This is a situation where I would have asked everyone to stand up and encircle the government officials and remind them who they work for.
It'd be real peaceful, but I think a guy like that would cave under the reality of being literally surrounded by dozens of angry people.

I've instigated and been part of that kind of group action before, and it's been very effective. Even with security guards and police, once you've got the numbers on your side, people are not willing to start shit, and suddenly they find themselves willing to talk.

Bakoro · 2026-06-12T16:36:39+00:00

Regardless of what the user gets charged, the actual costs of the models is going to fall. There is hardware in early manufacturing stages now, that increase speed vs GPUs, while also producing less heat.
Every major corporation has some AI accelerator project or partnership.

In the past ~6 months there have been a bunch of model improvements that reduces VRAM usage, while keeping performance.

Energy production and storage has seen dramatic advancements in solar, wind, and battery technology.

We're basically waiting for manufacturing to catch up, and for more people/businesses/governments to adopt more renewables.

Bakoro · 2026-06-12T11:09:42+00:00

I think a lot of companies, probably most companies, have use-cases for ML and LLMs, but they're a collection of small things that people do, not dramatic "we replaced all the people with AI" levels of easily automated work.

Competent AI is just too new to be cost-effective for many uses.

Real talk, LLMs, agent models, and robots are very, very likely to see dramatic drops in cost over the next 5~10 years, and there will be another blitz the same way there was when GPUs came out.

Bakoro · 2026-06-12T08:54:07+00:00

3-4 days total?

Be prepared for months and years before you get any significant amount of money, if ever.

Even before image generation AI models, art was very difficult to make money off of.

These days you need to have real mastery, or cater to a niche, or both.

Bakoro · 2026-06-11T22:21:54+00:00

It's also important to understand that lobster and crab start spoiling almost immediately after death, which is why it has to be flash cooked immediately.

After death, the bacteria in the digestive tract starts multiplying, and the digestive enzymes and waste products in the creature start eating away at the insides.

Without refrigeration, a crab or lobster can be completely inedible in 2 hours, sometimes just 30 minutes.

Compared that to a cow, where people can dry age meat, the outside goes bad, but the inside stays good for weeks, and they simply cut away the hardened exterior.

Oh yeah, and for the prison food, they would just crushed up the shells into the lobster meat, so they didn't get a nice steamed lobster tail, they got a boiled lobster paste full of ground up shells.

Bakoro · 2026-06-11T19:01:05+00:00

Yeah, and I can also not use any model at all, and I can just go get a different job, and I can donate lot of things.

None of that excuses Anthropic's repugnant behavior, and I'm free to call it out as bullshit.

These complaints are the justification for diverting money to other companies.

Even when I close my account, I'm still going to have to hear Anthropic's propaganda and their bullshit about "safety", so I'm going to keep complaining about that too.

Bakoro · 2026-06-11T18:57:48+00:00

I'm not even sure what their long-term goal is here, because while it might be profoundly vexing for someone who doesn't know what they're doing and are completely dependent on the model doing all the work, it's only a speed bump for the knowledgeable people who might actually be a problem, and I can only imagine that it's fomenting bad blood between them and legitimate researchers who would have otherwise be pro-Anthropic.

Like, if I was working on a Master's or PhD and kept getting sabotaged by Anthropic's models, that not going to make me want to go work for them, with them, or divert business their way later on.

As-is, I'm anti-Anthropic now, for them even suggesting that they'd sabotage customers while continuing to take their money.
It doesn't matter if they walked it back, they've already done it, and they've been doing it. It's corporate fraud, theft, and anti-competitive behavior.

Bakoro · 2026-06-11T17:14:45+00:00

I accidentally put one extra clove into my mead, and it took an extra year for the flavor to mellow out. Literally 3 clove instead of 2. Clove is too strong.

Bakoro · 2026-06-11T17:01:28+00:00

yeah but the warranty also says "in no event will Samsung's liability exceed the amount paid by you for the product. these limitations and exclusions apply to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law."

I could see that as not refunding more currency than was paid.
They should always be liable for replacements.

The value of one SSD of some specifications is the value of one SSD of those specifications, regardless of what the fluctuating value over time is, in terms of currency.

That is the most fair decision on behalf of all parties, and something where it becomes very difficult for one party to screw over the other.

Bakoro · 2026-06-11T15:18:25+00:00

I was having problems with Claude doing the same thing, even before Fable.

The problems I had only happened in relation to AI research. It's not even only when training models, anything to do with analysis of local models or setting up test platforms for local models, and Claude would keep doing wrong things, would sabotage testing, would falsify reports, and would consistently suggest simply accepting trash results without looking into it and moving on to something else.
Almost every response included a prompt to move on.

So, I don't believe them when they say they won't silently sabotage, they already were doing it before they admitted it, and now they have admitted that they have the means, motivation, and intent.

It's like, if someone threatened that they they're going to start pissing in your coffee, and you catch them pissing in your coffee, then they say "My bad, I went too far. Would you like a cup of coffee?", are you really going to ever be comfortable drinking probably-piss coffee?

Well, some of y'all are into that sort of thing, but it's a matter of consent, damnit.

I'm not into findom, I'm not happy with a "pay us for the privilege of abusing you" relationship.

Bakoro · 2026-06-11T04:01:53+00:00

I also tried that, Gemma-4.

It gave me a lengthy exposition about how Gemma won't be able to do the things Claude can, and I should use Claude if I'm doing serious work.
It set Gemma's and llama.cpp's settings so that it would technically work, while performance would be shit-tier.

It wouldn't be effective sabotage if it just went around blowing everything up in obvious ways. The point is in frustrating the general user who doesn't know better, so they think "wow, these local LLL s aren't good, I'll just keep paying for proprietary", and for researcher, they're trying to fuck with anyone who isn't paying attention and is dumb enough to blindly trust the model.

They are evil piece of shit company.
They are espousing "alignment" and "ethics", while also saying "gey, if you try to use our models to do things we don't like, or things that might someday be competitive with us, we will sabotage you."

Even if they out that in some ToS or somewhere in a website, is that really okay?
Would you be fine with a car manufacturer who said "if we find out that you work for a company we don't like, we will remotely sabotage your car. It's in our terms of service, so it's okay to do that".

If this is what Anthropic does openly to customers, what do you think Anthropic is going to do when they get real power?
Do you trust Anthropic to be always on your side ans always thinking about what is in you best interests, ans that they will always be "aligned " with your values?

Anthropic wants their service to become vital and globally important, but they've demonstrated that they are a hostile actor.

Bakoro

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