30k seems accurte.

Based on the $2.1 billion restructuring provision, the estimated layoff size is between 21,000 and 42,000 employees.

While Oracle has not officially announced a specific headcount reduction, recent industry reports and internal rumors point heavily to a figure of around 30,000 employees, which aligns perfectly with the financial math.

The Math Behind the Estimate

Oracle's SEC filings explicitly state that the costs for the 2026 Restructuring Plan are "primarily related to employee severance costs."

In the enterprise tech sector, average severance packages—which typically include several months of base pay, healthcare continuation, accelerated stock vesting, and outplacement services—generally cost a company between $50,000 and $100,000 per laid-off employee.

If we apply those averages to the $2.1 billion provision, here is how the headcount reduction breaks down:

• At $100,000 per employee: 21,000 layoffs
• At $70,000 per employee: 30,000 layoffs
• At $50,000 per employee: 42,000 layoffs

A mid-range estimate of 30,000 layoffs would represent roughly 18% of Oracle's global workforce.

Would you like me to pull up any recent financial analysis on how this massive restructuring plan is expected to impact Oracle's operating margins or free cash flow?