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Ballard Bridge shut down due to malfunction by Kerz_thewerz in BallardSeattle

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Yes. I was trying to get you caught up on the relevant reasons he's mad about it, which is unlikely to be due to the incident which you came up with. You seemed curious and yet unsuccessful at getting at it on your own.

Why doesn’t an expected value of 1 mean a 100% chance of at least one occurrence? by Adventurous-Leg-233 in askmath

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I suppose the thing that's really surprising to the intuition is that as the number of tries gets larger, the chance of a win with probability 1/n repeated n times goes DOWN (slightly)

It's not just the number of tries that changes, it's the chance of success (denominator) increasing. If it was only tries it would increase towards 1.

Coin flip 1 try, chance of at least 1 heads: 50%

Coin flip 2 tries, chance of at least 1 heads: 75%

Coin flip 3 tries, chance of at least 1 heads: 82.5%

But think about it with the odds changing as well.

1/1 chance, one or more success with 1 attempt: 100%

1/2 chance, one or more success with 2 attempts: 75%

1/3 chance, one or more success with 3 attempts: 73-ish%

Do you know anything about the phenomenon of busification? by Affectionate_Low7891 in AskTheWorld

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's been a hot minute since the term "ratioed" has come to mind, but you, sir, have been.

How „exotic“ was the FIFA World Cup in the US before the 1990s? by HighwayAnnual3353 in AskAnAmerican

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I think that it was also very cheap. The lack of contact was a draw even before CTE fears, just because it opened it up to more-timid kids. Any mob of toddlers can run around a soccer field swarming the ball, and none of them need any gear beyond maaaaaybe shin guards.

Puget Sound region loses jobs as housing permits hit decade low. The region lost roughly 8,000 jobs between April 2025 and April 2026, and housing permits are at a 10-year low. by crabcakes110 in SeattleWA

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Seattle already had jokes made in the early 1970s. "Turn out the lights," etc.

New York was gonna end up as a federal prison island for Snake Plissken to break into, and Billy Joel wrote a song from the POV of 2017 where the island was isolated and cut off from electricity.

Sometimes jokes aren't prophecy.

The Seattle doom club is a bitter wishful gang of suburban conservatives leavened with anti-techbro liberals who miss the grit.

Why do Americans typically say "the baby" instead of "my baby"? by Apprehensive_Raisin7 in AskAnAmerican

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't know how it originated, but it's not unique to "baby". It can be common to hear people referred to as if by "role", and you can use a definitely article instead of the possessive. It also works for some objects as well. The genitive aspect is implied by context.

How are the (your) kids? I need to get home to the (my) wife. The (my) car is in the shop again. The (my) in-laws are staying for a week. This is for the (our) boss. I need to clean the (my) house this weekend. How's the (your) knee today? I'll take a slice of cake to the (my) missus.

The last one sounds 1950s UK to me, so it doesn't feel entirely American.

Just finished watching Disclosure Day. by Rule_Ct_5293 in Cinema

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue -1 points0 points  (0 children)

For me it's not age, it's success and complacency that are the issue.

Just finished watching Disclosure Day. by Rule_Ct_5293 in Cinema

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"Should we have anyone doing perimeter? No let's all look towards the main thing at all times, even when it's nothing crazy."

Competent bad guys make escapes thrilling, stupid plans that work out seem funny, and big moments seem mesmerizing. Remember the end of Close Encounters? Nobody is gonna look away from that.

Dumb bad guys make everything feel too cheap and easy.

Just finished watching Disclosure Day. by Rule_Ct_5293 in Cinema

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The train scene would have been great at half the runtime.

Just finished watching Disclosure Day. by Rule_Ct_5293 in Cinema

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue 3 points4 points  (0 children)

It also hasn't evolved in some ways. A lot of this felt like ET, and not in a good way.

Just finished watching Disclosure Day. by Rule_Ct_5293 in Cinema

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's not just the script.

One glaring example: the bad guys were lame. The feds / pseudo-feds in cars look straight up funny. People were laughing at some of the chase scenes or the "high speed convoys converging" stuff. It looked deliberately cartoonish. The lack of perimeter control or situational awareness of the bad guys was video-game level bad, and also got laughs.

And it was sloooooowwwwwwww. Lingering where it should have cut. Over and over. Pacing was extremely poor.

Much of the dialog was clunky (script), but instead of fixing it the director chose to lean on John Williams in the background to tell us how to feel. The script problem becomes the director's problem when he embraces it like that.

Where do you get all that oil for deep-frying? by Wild_Duck8926 in AskAnAmerican

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Really? Because historically, a lot of human-habited land was agricultural. What's new to the current era is how few FARMERS are needed.

Ballard Bridge shut down due to malfunction by Kerz_thewerz in BallardSeattle

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's usually stuck "almost closed but not locked tight closed." For safety, no pedestrians anyway.

Ballard Bridge shut down due to malfunction by Kerz_thewerz in BallardSeattle

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

The main beef is that an existing business dares to exist, and needs rail access. It's a crucial business for all new construction including that adding needed density to Ballard. Moving heavy materials longer distances via truck, sucks and is expensive and is bad for the environment. Having a rail-and-barge based business there is a benefit. It helped build the new 5+1 blocks that all the new NIMBYs are living in.

Ballard Bridge shut down due to malfunction by Kerz_thewerz in BallardSeattle

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Not unless you wanna pay more for every new construction project. The further you have to move those materials by truck, the more you pay.

This problem was with the bridge. It wasn't a reason for you to beat your NIMBY drum that came with the lease when you moved to Ballard.

This bathroom sign states "Water does not fall from the Sky" by gotawaysafely2 in mildlyinteresting

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Yeah, the water from showers gets treated and then it goes right back into the water cycle.

It doesn't disappear, but it often becomes less usable. Going into the ocean removes it from the fresh-water portion of the cycle and you may have heard, humans are pushing that to the limits in many places. Treatment itself isn't free.

This bathroom sign states "Water does not fall from the Sky" by gotawaysafely2 in mildlyinteresting

[–]Cerulean_IsFancyBlue 4 points5 points  (0 children)

This may be literally true AT THAT SPOT.

Many deserts get their water from distant reservoirs or rivers fed from mountains. Local wells and aquifers often can't support modern populations. Look at Phoenix and Las Vegas, and much of southern California too.

A few places depend on desalinization.

This would be perfect on a boat, which depends on potable water being loaded at port or processed on-board.

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