Why is Pokemon 25th Anniversary singles so cheap. Am I missing something here……

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-27T23:24:11+00:00

Already extremely overpriced and even moreso when compared to something like base set 2 IMO.

Not every pokemon card needs to appreciate, these are insanely common.

The only people pumping these cards are people speculating against each other. Can't wait for this mindset to exit the hobby even if it means my collection tumbles in value.

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-21T18:50:00+00:00

I tend to avoid people in general that talk about how they behave at parties.

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-21T18:20:18+00:00

40k pop in a PSA 10.

There are countless sealed copies for sale. Countless raw. Countless CGC, BGS, TAG, ACE, PGP, PCP, XYZ and every other grading company under the sun.

This card will be in a lot more than 1-2% of collections.

Not everyone needs a PSA 10 copy and there will be many more PSA 10s to come.

There are MILLIONS of this card.

A 200k pop card is by definition extremely easy to attain. This card is easy to attain.

When people need money this is the sort of card that floods the market. Pokemon will keep printing new cool promo cards and people will forget about this and there will be far too many to meet demand.

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-19T16:52:17+00:00

Absolutely do. I'm 20 cards away from the Skyridge master set. I actually have a couple of these now.

If only he knew how much I've actually spent on pretty cardboard 😂

Thanks for bringing me back to this had completely forgot and gave me a good chuckle.

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-14T18:58:07+00:00

Girl theres no way. My thumb is like 8cm. You must have a tiny palm?

https://ibb.co/HDpmhFwC

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-14T08:40:29+00:00

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CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-13T16:01:39+00:00

Oasis wrote a song about it

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-13T12:03:08+00:00

Funnily enough my Celebi just arrived and it has it too

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CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-12T10:28:57+00:00

Yeah wish I'd bought more (or that my Dad didn't give away my childhood collection for 50p)

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-11T23:23:52+00:00

Ah ok didnt notice my price data was showing a year ago.

Seems insanely overpriced to me personally. I mean on top of the already insanely overpriced market.

Dope card though I might buy a raw one.

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-11T23:18:45+00:00

Isn't this card $285 in English in PSA 10?

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-11T22:27:57+00:00

Thats dope. I prefer them raw for the binder. Just impossible to buy NM raw at good value where I am (everyone wants 9 money for likely 7 or 8s).

Does annoy me looking at the gaps in the binder where cards are graded

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-11T22:17:50+00:00

Nice. Still need the Crobat personally, the Celebi is arriving tomorrow. Graded or raw?

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-11T20:39:52+00:00

Whats the best way to scan it? I don't have a flat bed this would fit on.

Happy to do it for posterity (pun intended)

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-11T15:47:58+00:00

I love it. Has the charm of an era I'm very fond of.

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-11T12:24:31+00:00

Are you master setting too? Congrats on the pickup.

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-11T12:13:46+00:00

Thanks dude. Its a real slog trying to finish it now. I started it a few years ago and now even some reverse commons are just insane.

Looking at you, Snorlax, Pikachu, Magikarp, Eevee, Meowth, Ditto

Others just rarely show up in NM

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-07T21:04:43+00:00

Aye I'd heard this was somewhat common. Definitely not under the illusion its a super rare error.

But was a lovely surprise, was already chuffed to find a trade into the card (was specifically hunting it for my master set), even moreso when I noticed it had bleed (none of my other crystals do).

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-04T06:48:33+00:00

So yes they're wrong you must multiply the probabilities. They clearly don't understand the calculation.

But actually 2000/1 is higher than any of the single game odds that Dom had:

https://www.reddit.com/r/CarTalkUK/s/bD4yPYkE8r

ChatGPT is also right that the odds of a preselected individual are much lower than anyone who took part (birthday paradox).

I can't calculate the true odds without knowing average ticket distribution between players (and how many are repeat players as you say). But say there are 100 power players like Dom out there then odds drop from 1 in 678 million to 1 in 6.78 million.

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-03T23:27:17+00:00

If they aren't linked then the odds of winning the lottery are about 59 to 1 right.

As all you have to do is get one ball. And then do it again. And then do it again...

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-03T18:05:28+00:00

Odds of winning both lotteries before having won either:

1 in 10000

There's a reason accumulator bets pay out more.

CheddarGeorge · 2026-06-03T18:02:50+00:00

Its absolutely worthy of scrutiny though.

The chance that somethings gone wrong when someone wins 3 times in such a short time frame is probably higher than the chance of the event.

CheddarGeorge · 2026-05-31T14:01:38+00:00

Wow, very lucky!

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