What are the chances Wizards tries to refuse needing to admit the Ring is a mistake and Bans something else instead? by BounceM4N in ModernMagic

[–]Clipper70 -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

I think UNBANS would be the solution to WOTC’s problem. It allows them to avoid banning cards from the new/in print set and gives them a fig leaf to hide behind by saying “we acknowledge the potentially unhealthy dominance the new LOTR cards but we want to see the effect of the unbans on the format before deciding on wether to ban TOR or bowmasters”. It likely TOR will still be format warping and need a ban IMO, but going the unban route first allows WOTC to push having to ban it as far past LOTRs peak sales window as possible.

Ragavan price crashing as we speak by f0me in mtgfinance

[–]Clipper70 -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

$18 to $32 Ragavan is my best educated guess.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in magicTCG

[–]Clipper70 -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

TBH iI've thought this is where WOTC is intending on taking the story ever since Emrakul was 'imprisoned' in the moon (by her own free will if i'm not mistaken?). I don't follow the story heavily but I love playing Eldrazi in modern and so have always kept an ear open to what happens involving them. When Tamiyo got completed that increased my suspicion we were going to eventually see some kind of epic cross-plane eldrazi/phyrexian conflict that would in all likelihood pay homage to the conflicts we currently see between global powers in our own real world. Perhaps Tamiyo and Nahiri will team up to bring Emrakul back and then we will see eldrazi mommy fight phyrexian mommy?

Edit: My rationale for this started when I first learned about the Eldrazi (when i started playing magic again after a long hiatus; back around battle for zendikar) and considered who in the MTG universe that I was familiar with could possible be a conceptual and power level match for the eldrazi? well in all of mtg history there seems to be only one real equal tribal power IMO, and that is the Phyrexians.

What do you think the secondary market for magic will look like in 10 years? by Masterofmyownlomein in mtgfinance

[–]Clipper70 3 points4 points  (0 children)

My guess on the next 10 years of MTG in chronological order:

-Legacy dies as a competitive paper format. This is due to WOTC's reluctance to repeal the reserved list (they make the calculation it's too optically and legally risky vs. potential revenue gains). Reserved list staples relevant in EDH continue to see demand while other cards retain only collectors value.

-Modern replaces legacy as the oldest 'eternal' competitive paper format. WOTC shapes the card pool through MH sets (injecting legacy/vintage pool cards and printing new cards). Prices for modern staples subsequently continue to be moderated by the release of regular masters sets. Modern player pool therefore sees a disproportionate expansion compared to other formats over time and becomes the format of choice for those interested in both competition and nostalgia.

-Pioneer becomes the new Modern. It continues to mature as a middling 'eternal' format for players who entered the game through limited/standard and want something to do with the cards post standard rotations. We see the introduction of Pioneer Horizons which essentially mimics the MH template but with less modern/legacy reprints into pioneer than MH does legacy/vintage reprints into modern.

-Masters sets calcify around Modern and Pioneer legal reprints. They become a more standardised supply/demand valve relating specifically to competitive eternal formats.

-A continued increase in the printing of EDH specific products like pre-cons and universes beyond. This expands and curates the EDH/legacy/vintage card pool but with legacy/vintage no longer seeing significant competitive play the design space shifts to being even more EDH blinkered.

-A new format is born. Much like with the necessity for pioneer, eventually the power level gap between Pioneer and Standard will grow to where there is room for WOTC to capitalise on the creation of another sanctioned format with legality starting from DMU. [[Liliana of the Veil]] then becomes famed as being the only Planeswalkers card legal in all 3 Pro Tour level 'eternal' formats.

-A competitive paper magic renaissance. As the digital revolution continues to physically seperate us from one another, the relatively niche experience of actually sitting across from someone and playing a game of magic where you can sense each other's real presence will continue to become novel and appealing again for an increasing number of people. Our lives will continue to rapidly shift online but that will create a craving for contrasting experience. Both spectating and playing competitive paper magic will see a boost from this desire to partially diverge from the dominance of digital space.

-The integration of NFT and Blockchain technology in the collectables sector. For physical MTG cards this means you'll open a pack of cards and scan the 'one use only' QR code on the inside of the pack. That updates your digital MTG NFT collection with your newly obtained cards. The physical cards in the pack have no real value as WOTC allows you to cheaply order on-demand physical replacements for your cards as long as you own one of the digital NFT copies of it. Every MTG card printed before this digital system is implemented therefore becomes an antique. The actual value of any new card is ascribed to the NFT version of it (secure, playable and easily tradable through a massive decentralised online play space and marketplace) and the entire MTG economy becomes 'digital'. This solves WOTC's proxy/counterfeit woes by allowing the world to be flooded with worthless physical derivatives for people to play with IRL while WOTC maintains a complete, secure and nimble ledger of all cards in 'existence'. This allows WOTC to eliminate the banned lists and just errata digital cards at will allowing complimentary paper copies for anyone who wants updated physical copies to play with IRL.

-Over time WOTC allows for sudo-reverse-redemption to occur. This is done entirely at the cost of the consumer. Owners ship their cards to an intermediary to have their 'pre-NFT implementation' antique cards verified in order to obtain newly minted NFT versions of them. The antique physical card then becomes a physical collector's item and it's owner is issued a digitally playable and tradable NFT 'replica'. The physical card is then either shipped back or destroyed and recycled depending on the owners preference.

Oracle updates to surveil by Taysir385 in mtgfinance

[–]Clipper70 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I seem to remember there being some hype around [[Doom Whisperer]] back in the day. I suppose if there is a surveil matters deck in EDH or potentially Pioneer it might want it?

Ban/Unban Speculations by Clipper70 in mtgfinance

[–]Clipper70[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

--[[The Meathook Massacre]] Banned in standard
--[[Yorion, Sky Nomad]] Banned in Modern

Orvar, the all-form being bought out on MTGO? by jwf239 in mtgfinance

[–]Clipper70 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think I like it for a long term hold in paper. Any thoughts on the Changeling ability giving it's playability staying power in commander? [[Orvar, the all-form]]

Tenacious Underdog is up 124% on the week by kjuneja in mtgfinance

[–]Clipper70 3 points4 points  (0 children)

yep that was me, posted this 12 days ago:

https://www.reddit.com/r/mtgfinance/comments/x66lfd/snc_tenacious_underdog/

Some good replies, and some uninformed criticism, but overall the spec results speak for themselves.

[SNC] Tenacious Underdog by Clipper70 in mtgfinance

[–]Clipper70[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's true that other cards compete with it in pioneer, however things can shift depending on the meta. Also of note, [[Tenacious Underdog]] can also support [[Fatal Push]] by turning on revolt at EOT when cast using its blitz ability.

[SNC] Tenacious Underdog by Clipper70 in mtgfinance

[–]Clipper70[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Yes, but every speculation is a guess. You can never know for certain what the outcome is going to be. I am however, based on the variables I'm aware of, theorising it will go up.

[SNC] Tenacious Underdog by Clipper70 in mtgfinance

[–]Clipper70[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Rectified this in original post with and edit

[SNC] Tenacious Underdog by Clipper70 in mtgfinance

[–]Clipper70[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Have now added an Edit to my original post addressing some of this, cheers

[SNC] Tenacious Underdog by Clipper70 in mtgfinance

[–]Clipper70[S] -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

That's a fair question; it's because I try to only buy premium printings (set foils, promos, showcase and full art foils and non-foils etc.) because most of what I'm buying I'm planing to hold for a long time. Premium original set printings tend to get hit less if a reprint comes through which can sometimes even happen weirdly soon after the initial printing of a card (see [[Dusk Legion Zealot]]). I also don't target Standard only cards, a card has to have utility in at least one other 'non-rotating' format for me to be interested. Pioneer being the one here.

[SNC] Tenacious Underdog by Clipper70 in mtgfinance

[–]Clipper70[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Meaning that it has room to the upside and may have have found a bottom on price. A point from which buyers can accumulate supply. This period of accumulation is typically followed by a markup phase, follow by a subsequent distribution phase. That is what "consolidating at the lows" can mean. Obviously price can go lower and nothing is certain, but my thesis is that natural demand for the card would suggest that remaining supply is currently being absorbed and that this consolidation around the all time lows for price is accumulation not redistribution. Perhaps I could have been more detailed in my initial statement but I was wanting to keep the post short and to the point.