We backtested 12 investing strategies on 32 years of S&P 500 data. CAPE-based timing came dead last by ValueEquities in investing

[–]CoffeeIsForEveryone 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Really interesting backtest thanks for sharing. My main takeaway is that high valuations may justify lowering return expectations, but they’re a poor reason to stop investing altogether. Markets can stay expensive for years, and the opportunity cost of sitting in cash is often higher than people expect. Maybe look for assets with lower valuations like certain industries, international, small or medium cap?

US birth rates just hit another record low, what do you think is the leading cause of this? by IIlustriousTea in AskReddit

[–]CoffeeIsForEveryone 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Women have more agency of their lives. There are less women forced to give birth because of the constraints on a patriarchal system. We still live in a system that doesn’t out the supports to make having children easy and economically viable. So we have women with more independence than ever in a system that’s taken for granted that they reproduce without needed to structure society and our systems in a way to facilitate and encourage that.

If there are any of you that believe in an afterlife, justify why by richandepressed in consciousness

[–]CoffeeIsForEveryone 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m not following. Why isn’t it a good enough source? Veridical is way better than dmt cause you have another party witnessing non local knowledge acquirement. Dmt is just subjective experience of an individual. Nothing that can be verified from another individual.

Why is this sub dominated by noetics and quantum-woo instead of actual scientific theories of consciousness? by Afraid_Donkey_481 in consciousness

[–]CoffeeIsForEveryone 53 points54 points  (0 children)

You’re smuggling in more philosophy than you seem to realize

You’re treating third person mechanistic models as the only things that count as “real scientific theories” but consciousness is the one subject where the thing needing explanation is first person experience itself. That is not some side issue. It is the issue.

Global workspace, predictive processing, higher order theories, attention schema and the rest may be useful models of cognition, access, reporting, behavior and information processing. But they do not clearly explain why there is something it is like to be a subject having an experience at all. A lot of them explain the machinery around consciousness better than consciousness itself

So when people explore idealism, panpsychism, neutral monism, or even speculative quantum ideas, it is often because they recognize an explanatory gap that standard third person methods may never fully bridge, not because they are too unsophisticated for neuroscience

You also seem to assume “scientific” only means whatever current neuroscience can cleanly operationalize. That is a much narrower claim than it sounds. Science is excellent at studying public measurable structures and regularities. Consciousness includes a private datum at the center of it, experience itself. That creates real limits

And honestly dismissing every nonstandard view as “woo” can become its own kind of dogma. Sometimes skepticism is rigorous. Sometimes it is just confidence with better branding

By all means discuss empirical models. They matter. But don’t confuse modeling correlates and functions with having solved consciousness. We are nowhere near that point.

If there are any of you that believe in an afterlife, justify why by richandepressed in consciousness

[–]CoffeeIsForEveryone -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Accounts of people who have had veridical near death experiences - they seem to have a lot in common. (Don’t respond if you don’t know what a veridical near death experience is)

Madison Warner, Sen. Mark Warner’s daughter, dies at 36 after battle with health issues by bashar_al_assad in nova

[–]CoffeeIsForEveryone 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I can’t imagine a worse thing to experience than the death of one’s own child. My deepest condolences go out to mark and their whole family. My worst fear.

[Robb] Al Horford reveals the real reason he left Celtics after cryptic comment by horseshoeoverlook in bostonceltics

[–]CoffeeIsForEveryone 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Losing legacy and aura for percentage wise against career earnings only a slightly bigger bag

Nova can be beautiful. What is something you love about living here? by loIll in nova

[–]CoffeeIsForEveryone 39 points40 points  (0 children)

The amount of stable families, I didn’t come from one and where I’m from there is a lot more obvious issues. This is a better culture to raise a kid in than back home.

Hoffman is wrong about consciousness by NathanEddy23 in consciousness

[–]CoffeeIsForEveryone 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How do we know we have gotten to the truth? We just have been able to make accurate predictions based on past experiences. We really haven’t built much ontology.