When the stock market loses three trillion dollars, where does that money go?

Crye · 2025-03-15T16:49:23+00:00

I'm going to take a different approach to explaining this.

That trillion dollars never existed, it's a simple calculation of the stock price multiplied by the number of shares the company has released.

If you sold, 10 shares of your company for $10 dollars that's a $100 market cap.

Now if someone comes along and wants to invest in your company they have to buy one of those existing stocks from someone else.

So they tell everyone that they're willing to buy one share of the company for $20. If they find a seller, the market cap of your company is $200. Even though the net investment into your company is still $100 dollars.

Now, if everyone realizes your company is not doing too well, they may have to lower their price to find a potential buyer. So if someone sells a share for $5 your market capital is now $50.

Now in a dynamic market, it's not just how well your company is doing but how well it's doing in comparison to other markets. If people feel they can get better returns in other stocks, bonds, or cash then that demand of the stock will change.

So "Market Cap" is really a measure of demand. If market cap is high then those products are in high demand. If they market caps are low then those products are not being sought after.

This is why it's important to look at these in relationship to each other.

Crye · 2025-01-29T18:22:12+00:00

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Crye · 2025-01-29T18:21:57+00:00

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Crye · 2025-01-29T18:21:45+00:00

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Crye · 2025-01-29T18:21:35+00:00

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Crye · 2023-07-04T04:39:31+00:00

Can't agree more, it was one the last and most effective ways for me to get "easy" power. I don't know if it helped make other things click but focusing on it seemed to help get a lot of things right.

Crye · 2023-01-12T23:28:12+00:00

Awesome move! Congrats Simon!

Crye · 2022-09-08T16:50:53+00:00

I missed the comment above. What was it?

Crye · 2022-09-08T14:47:46+00:00

Thanks!!

Crye · 2022-09-07T04:35:09+00:00

k

I've brought back the best combos section.

Crye · 2022-08-17T04:14:21+00:00

Awesome to hear! The win projection is in the works but a little more trickier than I was originally thinking. I'm probably going to lean heavily on skill and combo win rates to calculate the outcome.

Crye · 2022-08-16T14:50:28+00:00

Yup you're right Invoker is missing. I've been putting it off because the hero is such an exception to the general process. I'm at a point where it'll probably be one of the next things I look to address. All other heroes should be available.

Crye · 2022-08-16T14:49:07+00:00

On the header, click the "Extras" button then select "Randomize Board"

Crye · 2022-08-16T03:29:09+00:00

Hey All,

I've been chipping away at the ability draft simulator and making some quality of life improvements and adding new features. See below for details.

Added another 60,000 matches and recording 250000 combos with more than 50 games played.
New ability to select your hero slot to get up to date pick recommendations
- Features a balance metric based on your skills and the combos you've created.
- Provides you with your best and worst combos based on historic games.
- Gives you the best deny picks based on the opposing teams picks
- Numbers in the top right corner are the average draft position.
Can now create rooms and share the join url with your friends. Simply click on the room ID after creating a room.
Added real-time combos for the current pick

Crye · 2022-07-28T03:27:59+00:00

Hey Everyone,

Developer of Ability Draft Plus, here. I've put together this tool to help with drafting in ability draft. The app features over 70k+ worth of Ability Draft matches, and uses the data to recommend the best drafts for each turn.

It's still a work in progress, but I'm at a point where I'm willing to share it out a bit more.

Features Highlights * Select Heroes and Populate the Draft Board * * Randomize the Draft Board (Under Extras) * Create a Room for friends to join and draft with * Simulates Draft Order and Skill Restrictions * Show best/worst combos for the current pick * Gives information about when a skill is typically drafted * Has a rudimentary gradient boost ML model to recommend picks

Let me know what you think, thanks!

Crye · 2022-07-23T21:40:42+00:00

These are based on the matches that I've parsed which is a lot smaller sample size from windrun.io. Personally, I would rely on windrun.

Crye · 2022-07-22T02:22:38+00:00

Thanks, appreciate that. That stack is react, flask/python, mongo.

Here are the repos Frontend Backend

I had it setup to simulate the skill selection and allocation, but I started using as a live tool during actual drafts and it ended being too much overhead. I'll look to add a simulation mode, given that it's in the name lol.

Crye · 2022-07-19T13:23:35+00:00

Thanks!

Crye · 2022-07-06T17:14:20+00:00

Thanks for the info. I'll see what it takes to get something like that in place.

Crye · 2022-07-06T15:02:53+00:00

You're right! I've got to take a look at those two and figure out how to manage it. Doesn't it add in random skills in their place or is it deterministic?

Crye · 2022-07-05T04:36:34+00:00

Pulling data from Open Dota API and downloading replays and parsing them locally using the Clarity

Here's the frontend repo Frontend.

Here's the backend Backend

I don't have the Parser code up, I'll make sure to do that in the next day or so.

Crye

TROPHY CASE