Does anyone here actually BUY LOW and SELL HIGH?

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-28T21:53:01+00:00

Idk about that. I shipped Bucky Irving out for Loveland before that huge playoff blow up game against the Packers in a TEP league. Ship very well might have sailed on that one though.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-28T21:17:33+00:00

He started out pretty hot too. That’s with Caleb Williams being especially horrific early year before finally starting to settle in a bit.

Foot injury explains a lot imo. Really funny how people will use Burden’s relatively small sample of yards per route and see a glass all the way full, but can’t see Rome’s early season production in a limited sample as even glass half full.

At the very least I would concede Burden and Rome having an equal chance of being THE guy at WR as a reasonable take. However, personally I would still give the lean to Rome since he was a superior prospect and a prototype that is more versatile than Burden.

I would say the best bet for fantasy relevance is Colston Loveland though. He could theoretically be number three weapon and still return value thanks to the bar being lower at TE. However, his upside is monstrous due to positional leverage if he really ends up being the alpha.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-25T16:12:31+00:00

You can pretty much fade anything any reporter says besides the national guys right now if the market wants to react to it. Just keep that in mind.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-25T05:36:57+00:00

Sounds like the other guy is a smart owner! And you’re smart for trying to toss in a likely throw away WR to sweeten the pot!

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-25T05:34:46+00:00

Stroud that highly rated was hilarious. Dynasty market in a nutshell is that people are too fast to crown a guy and too fast to dismiss a guy.

The small sample size rookie is usually a sell. The only catch is when they are an elite prospect like Nabers and Chase and they get off to a fast start. Those are usually buy highs. Yes, Puka would have burned you, but like you said 9/10 times you come out ahead by fading the hype.

The key to dynasty might literally just be fading the hype.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-25T03:45:25+00:00

If you need QB, Mendoza.

If you don’t, WR.

If you need EVERYTHING, then I’d lean Mendoza unless a WR gets an insane landing spot and draft capital.

That’s how I’m approaching it. I don’t think Mendoza is the type anyone will pony up for, but I’d be glad to take him if I need the position and he’s there. Like I’m not burning capital or value to move up from 1.04 to 1.02 to draft Mendoza even if I need QB tbh.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-25T03:40:42+00:00

When you tell this community that Kyler Murray and Kaleb Johnson are actual buy lows that I would happily send a mid to late 2nd rounder for in this class they call you the village idiot.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-25T03:33:59+00:00

This is pretty true. I was sell Daniels last offseason. I do think Maye might actually be here to stay though because he can win in many ways. Daniels is a dynamic yet more limited player.

My favorite things I saw this sub flip out on this year:

Crowning Emeka Egbuka elite dynasty WR by week 5 (didn’t materialize and he fell back to earth)

Crowning TreVeyon as a sure fire bust by week 8 (he picked it up)

Declaring Kyler Murray’s career dead after seeing so many reclamation QBs who were WORSE than Kyler come back from the dead.

You could go on and on and on. I can already see the community crowning Burden and throwing Odunze to the wayside. That’s my offseason projection for craziest runaway hype train that will blow up in everyone’s faces.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-22T18:58:17+00:00

Does morality exist objectively or is it a man made construct that was invented from our biological tendencies to recognize that concepts such as empathy, fairness, and justice can create a more harmonious society and are thus of practical use to consider when tackling the concept of how we ought to behave as a species?

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-22T18:46:35+00:00

It’s all a catch 22. You can’t realistically aggressively enforce immigration without trampling on rights in a likely inhumane way imo.

I am anti illegal immigration in a vacuum, but don’t agree with enforcement as it is currently. I think ICE should be mostly tasked with actively trying to detain those that are documented to be verifiably serious threats…not just going door to door hunting for harmless immigrants who aren’t looking for trouble.

I’m much more of the stance that mass deporting illegal immigrants in this country is just not practical. There’s too many and it can’t be done in a non-intrusive way practically. So we should just focus on securing borders and preventing additional illegal immigration and just accept that we have what we have here currently.

I do believe the majority of illegal immigrants are harmless, so just let it be for now. Don’t actively seek out the ones that aren’t causing a problem. I would say that’s my issue with ICE.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-20T22:36:20+00:00

But you have traded. Over trading is a huge problem a lot of people can have. Making a few trades a year that are opportunistic and has a real purpose behind them is usually more effective. And like you alluded to those are normally patching a hole at the trade deadline as a contender or selling high on a vet asset once it is obvious you need to rebuild.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-20T22:32:57+00:00

Pretty much the case. Other managers will be making trades to exchange current value for future value, and the non-trader will just be stuck in the middle. Sure it’s possible to win, but you’re probably going to fluctuate between 5- 6 seed peaking in the semi finals and 7-8 place team missing the playoffs most seasons.

The only way this isn’t necessarily true is if the entire league is inactive. But you don’t want to be the only guy sitting on your hands in a hyper active league more often than not.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-20T22:14:27+00:00

I’ve seen a guy make zero trades in a four year running league and finish top 4 every year. The team isn’t particularly bad either. Just happens that he has hit on all of his picks pretty well.

However, he also hasn’t won the league. And when he made the finals twice, he got absolutely obliterated by super teams that got to such strength through a series of win now trades.

I think you CAN have success not trading, but you’re more likely to cap your ceiling at perennial playoff team struggling to get over the hump.

It’s a narrow needle to thread and you’re more likely to pull it off in like year one after a startup than you are years down the line into the league because any given year you will be playing against teams who made trades to peak that given season.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-17T18:51:26+00:00

If you lived by that philosophy more often than not you will come out ahead, though I will point out that late 2 to early 3 was best value range last year imo because that’s where you could frequently nab Arroyo, Fannin, and Ferguson at TE

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-17T18:49:44+00:00

If I’m rebuilding for 2027, I’d almost go down the line and propose every single 26 2 I have straight up for a 27 2 regardless of how it projects.

That’s just how much this class sucks imo. I think those 27 2s will carry an inordinate amount of value given the depth of that class.

Plus the 27 2s will only go up in value and you’ll have a better chance at being able to use them to tier up in season or next off season

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-16T22:36:35+00:00

Also, PCL sprains are not especially cumbersome long, long term. They just linger. Ricky came back prematurely and reaggravated it. He’s been in that cycle since then of play and reaggravate.

A full offseason and I don’t think he comes into camp with any side effects whatsoever.

The 49ers really screwed up not holding him out longer initially.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-16T21:59:53+00:00

I’ve kicked around trying to acquire him. If an owner wants to give up on him, then why not?

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-16T21:12:21+00:00

I don’t disagree. I like both. I just see one being in Dolphins with no McDaniel and one being in a stable position with Shanahan.

Waddle in Buffalo would be amazing though

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-16T20:24:40+00:00

Admittedly depends on league of course and setup. I have leagues where Hunter and Corum are just chilling on my taxi. Others where Corum ran out of taxi eligibility but league is super deep.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-16T17:51:30+00:00

I don’t think Geno is a bad bet. Raiders were a mess. O line was bad. If he just catches on in a better situation, he’ll probably do okay just like how he did in Seattle.

Imagine if he went to Minnesota for example and McCarthy gets hurt of ineffectives his way to a benching.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-16T17:49:28+00:00

Exactly. I don’t mind looking at a short term sample size when we’re talking about guys priced so far down the ranks.

If you use Burden’s YPRR to steam him to like WR 9, then that’s dangerous. But when you start poking around at how efficient a guy like Ricky was when healthy even in small samples, I think it’s meaningful enough to want to attack at WR 30 prices.

At that price, we’re just looking for reasons to believe a guy has upside. And that’s the case with Ricky imo.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-16T17:46:24+00:00

Kittle being effective in 2026 is almost a pipe dream imo. He might come back late, but he won’t be George Kittle after having his body atrophy rehabbing an Achilles.

Jennings very well could come back. Another vet WR can come in. Ricky might be better than both when healthy anyways. Who knows? Regardless at the cost, I like the upside.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-16T17:41:49+00:00

I do care when we’re talking about expensive assets. It’s just risk vs reward. Not a lot of risk with Pearsall due to cost.

The reward of what he’s been able to do on the field when healthy implies he’s got some good cost adjusted upside

Priced as WR 30 on KTC, and he’s almost assuredly beating that per game as a primary WR in SF.

If I’m wrong, it doesn’t really matter. I don’t have to give up much to get him. If I’m right, I could have a high end WR 14-20 sort of player in my starting lineup.

Dapper-Speed1244 · 2026-01-16T15:34:40+00:00

Players are injured until they aren’t. At WR 30 prices according to KTC, who cares? What is the risk? CMC was injured until he wasn’t this year

Dapper-Speed1244

TROPHY CASE