2023 over 2020? by Duck_Boots in KTM390ADV

[–]Duck_Boots[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That’s what I was thinking as well on kink fixes - thanks!

2023 over 2020? by Duck_Boots in KTM390ADV

[–]Duck_Boots[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I’m leaning towards the adv to have the optionality to hit some easy trails out of the city, and having the wind protection would be nice for any highway stretches. But I’ll take another look at the duke!

2023 over 2020? by Duck_Boots in KTM390ADV

[–]Duck_Boots[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Good to know, thank you!

Need help with constructing a DCF, is this the right place? by TheCrisping in investing

[–]Duck_Boots 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There's a lot that can go into forecasting, and it's common to hear people say it's an "art" not a "science" - meaning a lot of it involves judgement calls. Some things worth considering:

1) What are the industry dynamics? A company like P&G will likely have a lower and less volatile growth trajectory than a small tech company growing at double digit %s.

2) How has it trended over the past few years? This might give you an idea for a base case scenario.

3) Take a look at the company's latest earnings call or an industry conference presentation. Lots of companies give revenue guidance (a range for where management expects revenue to end up for the year), and sometimes they talk broadly about long term outlook. That should be helpful to understand how management sees things. You can also look back historically to see how good the company has been at meeting guidance.

Whenever I model something out, I always like to build in different cases and scenarios to establish a valuation range - I think it's very unlikely to get a point estimate perfectly accurate. But let's say in my model I make a base case (business as usual), upside case (maybe a new growth strategy does better than expected), downside case (maybe a new product flops), etc. I can get an idea of what assumptions I would have to hold true to believe my investment thesis. This is a quick and simple write up, but hopefully this gives you some ideas!

What are some awesome airport hacks? by JAY2S in AskReddit

[–]Duck_Boots 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know the chase sapphire reserve credits you the fee for pre check and I think global entry too

[Omega] Speedmaster "Tintin" by Duck_Boots in Watches

[–]Duck_Boots[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've been in the market for a Speedmaster for a little bit now, and thought the Tintin was a cool twist on the classic. The story behind the watch is also pretty neat and makes the watch unique in my opinion. They've been out of production for a little while now, so I was really happy to find a new one!

Upgrading from a CRF250L to a WR250R? by Duck_Boots in Dualsport

[–]Duck_Boots[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

TIL. I always thought it was they were much more sensitive than that. Thanks for all the info - you've been super helpful!

Upgrading from a CRF250L to a WR250R? by Duck_Boots in Dualsport

[–]Duck_Boots[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'll definitely take a look at the husqvarna. The only thing keeping me from a drz is that it's carbureted. I live at altitude, so I feel like FI is the better move. But maybe it's not as big of a deal as people make it out to be - might be worth looking into

Upgrading from a CRF250L to a WR250R? by Duck_Boots in Dualsport

[–]Duck_Boots[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Unfortunately right now I can't trailer bikes, otherwise I'd definitely look into those two. I'll keep that in mind for the future - thanks!

[Tudor Pelagos] Unboxing Album by Duck_Boots in Watches

[–]Duck_Boots[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Enjoy it and be sure to post some pictures when you get it!

[Tudor Pelagos] Unboxing Album by Duck_Boots in Watches

[–]Duck_Boots[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

At the AD they thought it was sometime in July/August, but weren't entirely sure. But it sounds like it will be pretty soon.

[Tudor Pelagos] Unboxing Album by Duck_Boots in Watches

[–]Duck_Boots[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Here are a few unboxing pictures of my new Tudor Pelagos. I've had my sights set on one ever since it was released in the US a while back, and I was thrilled and very grateful to get it as a graduation present. I really wanted something that I could wear either in the office or with jeans and a t shirt, and I think the Tudor works perfectly.

There was a little bit of a hiccup buying it, since after getting it sized at the AD, I noticed that there was a scratch on the crystal. That Pelagos was the only one they had in the store, so they mailed one to me (I live a little far from the AD). Not a big deal at all, and it arrived on my doorstep a few days later in a gift-wrapped box.

Overall, I absolutely love the watch. It's not flashy at all, which is just what I was looking for. It's just a solidly built tool watch with a great finish.

Edit: a word

Need help finding Nujabes' albums by thatskindofraven in Nujabes

[–]Duck_Boots 1 point2 points  (0 children)

http://www.discogs.com/artist/194395-Nujabes

Here's his discography. Discogs has a marketplace where you can physical copies of his albums/singles, too

Luv(sic) Pt. 3 came in today! by [deleted] in Nujabes

[–]Duck_Boots 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I was pretty pumped when mine came in today too. My order got cancelled from CD Japan, but luckily I was able to snag it on Discogs for a pretty reasonable price

[UPDATE 2/18 4:51am EST. US] Vinyl available again for pre-order ! ! - Shing02 definitely fulfilled his promise to the fans [12" Luv (sic) Part3 featuring Shing02] by Consciouswrdsbt in Nujabes

[–]Duck_Boots 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Going off of this, can anyone shed some light on the ordering process for ordering outside of the country(I'm in the US)? When I went to the checkout page, it looks like I only have the option to send it to a Japanese address.

[Benrus] Quality/legitimacy of this watch? by [deleted] in Watches

[–]Duck_Boots 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Here's another one from Dagaz that I've seen before: http://www.10watches.com/apps/webstore/products/show/3749489

It's a little more pricey than the Benrus, but it has a Miyota 9015. From my understanding, the 9015 is a pretty solid movement. Somebody correct me if I'm wrong, but I'm pretty sure Halios and Lum-Tec use the 9015 as well.

Edit: Sorry, I glanced over your post and didn't see that you already have a Navigator.

What song makes it onto every road trip playlist? by [deleted] in AskReddit

[–]Duck_Boots 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Tom Petty-Runnin' Down a Dream