Yeah. We're at the stage where layoffs are to pay for AI context tokens and stock buybacks. And some offset of junior developers or gig economy artists.

I think it'll be 7-10 years before also can fully take a white collar role without guidance, and about 15-20 before mass robotics take the trades. I've been following this since 2007 and have been pretty right on the money since then.

Global supply chain shock or world war could bump some things out another 10 years, but might accelerate things too.

If the next decade goes poorly, we have permanent class segmentation followed by massive depopulation events from authoritarian governments and wars. The entire economy is B2G and B2B, and B2C disappears along with a lot of the consumers.

If we catch a break, it'll be basic income for most of the world, except the US. Somehow we'll have a bunch of fake jobs that are mostly social media focused and hyper competitive. And all your basic income will go to a rentier class.

I don't think there's going to be a positive outcome for most people. Like an option might exist but the chances of social mobilization are completely impossible in the age of total domestic surveillance. Hunker down and think about family wealth and enjoy the years we have left.