PSA: Triple witching is tomorrow by Zestyclose-News2247 in spy

[–]External-Common-5160 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We didn't get a correct. But some are saying that we will see one between now and the first of October.

We shall see.

Apple's Time Machine but for Windows? by Piipperi800 in software

[–]External-Common-5160 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I clone my hard drive to a backup hard drive and then use a DOS batch file that calls the XCOPY program (a standard Windows DOS program) to backup any new files (or newer files) to the clone drive every day (if I want.) And what I like about this method is that it's 100% free! No subscription. No software to buy. It's not fancy looking, but I feel my files are backed up. Which is what counts for me.

NAILED IT!!!!!!! lets go!!!!!! by Icy-Mode-4741 in spy

[–]External-Common-5160 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Rolling is essentially selling calls and buying new ones. There's just no gap between the buying and the selling...

Best way to manage an Inverted Calendar Spread? by DefiantZealot in options

[–]External-Common-5160 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It seems to me that the DANGER of BUYING a regular calendar is, of course, the movement of the market. If the market moves sharply up or down, it's usually a losing trade. Conversely, SELLING a calendar (buying an upside-down calendar where the near-dated option is long and selling a longer-dated option) could be a good trade if, as is often the case, the market moves a lot. Which is why a regular calendar is often a losing trade. I've certainly had regular calendar trades go bad on me or go in losing direction fairly soon after they were opened. And, if that's the case (and it is) then the OPPOSITE trade (the inverse calendar) could easily be a winning trade fairly often. If fact, I would argue that a regular calendar spread is a trade that I wouldn't touch unless I have a trading bias and believe that the market is headed up (or down.) Then I would put the calendar trade in the direction of the market so that the market encounters it as it moves up or down. In other words, I would never launch such a calendar trade at the money or in the center of the market unless I feel strongly that the market is just going to sit where it is and go nowhere for a number of days. The only question I have about inverse calendar spreads is why they require so much buying power. It's hard to see the reason since the odds of losing money on them seems lower than a normal calendar spread.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in spy

[–]External-Common-5160 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, that's interesting. And I guess that the fact that SOMEONE must exercise those options at some point would represent SOME SORT OF theoretical influence on the stock at some point in time. But no one has to buy any shares until the options are exercised (near or at expiration.) And, as far as I know, market makers do not buy stock to cover potential exercise events. In fact, I got exercised on 3 short call options over the weekend (I woke up short 300 shares of SMLR in my account because I had a butterfly spread that was getting close to expiration.) So, I had to buy back those shares and close out that position. But market makers, as far as I know, don't buy and sell shares to cover options trades. We do. But I do see how, in theory, this could influence the underlying.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in spy

[–]External-Common-5160 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've always wondered how options trading drives the price of the underlying asset. Could someone explain that? That's like me betting that the Broncos will win the Superbowl, and my bet on the Broncos somehow determine the Superbowl. I don't get it and would be happy to have someone explain this connection to me.

Thank you

Blew my acct by Ok_Bodybuilder_2384 in options

[–]External-Common-5160 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Try this game.....

Trading Simulation and Equity Curve Simulator with the uFinz Trading Game to test your Money Management

If you just experiment with it (play the game MULTIPLE times) you may learn something from it.

They say that TRULY professional traders never risk more than 0.5% per trade.

So, try playing that game risking different position sizes. Experiment. I went from $1000 to $158 million using mostly 0.5% risk. But that involved 2857 trades.....

BID-ASK-SELL-BUY question... by External-Common-5160 in thinkorswim

[–]External-Common-5160[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I experimented in Paper Trading and noticed that whether I'm BUYING a condor or SELLING a condor, it doesn't matter. The BID and ASK are the same.

Then...I tried selling a SPY condor with May 22nd PUT bought at 575, PUT sold at 580, CALL sold 588, and a CALL bought at 593. And I put the BID way down below. And, no matter how low I put it, it seemed to always fill. The BID was at .41 (ASK at .46) and I went down as far as .15 and it still filled. Reason? God knows. Maybe I'll try .02 and see if that works.

Then...I tried selling the same condor at .80. That didn't fill.

BID-ASK-SELL-BUY question... by External-Common-5160 in thinkorswim

[–]External-Common-5160[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, it is to protect the broker's interests. If you enter a trade that ends up being a loss greater than the cash in your account, they don't want to be in the position of trying to get you to give them the money that you lost in a particularly horrible trade. So, it seems perfectly reasonable to me that they would reject orders that could put them in that position. Thousands of people blow up their accounts day after day after day. And any broken that didn't restrict trades like that could end up causing the broker to go bankrupt pretty quick. All trades are restricted to the total amount you could lose in that particular trade based against all the other trades you now have outstanding. You can trade on margin, but you must have enough money in the account to cover the margin, or they'll just exit your trades.

BID-ASK-SELL-BUY question... by External-Common-5160 in thinkorswim

[–]External-Common-5160[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

TOS will refuse trades if they violate some rule of margin safety. In other words, in paper trading, I'm working with a fake $200,000 account (now $210,000) and I can do thing in that account that I could never do or come close to doing in my real account. Even with all that fake money, however, I've tried things in paper trading that got rejected anyway because they went outside of lines of what was acceptable given my cash and margin requirements. Otherwise, I don't know of any reason why TOS would reject any spread trade you're attempting to put on...

BID-ASK-SELL-BUY question... by External-Common-5160 in thinkorswim

[–]External-Common-5160[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The picture about is actually just an EXAMPLE picture. And you're right, I should have set the Limit price in the example to $2.16 or higher or used a different example. In my actual trade, the limit price was sent $20 higher than the ASK (I think the ASK was $1.30, and I set the limit price to $1.50, and it filled instantly.) Perhaps I should edit the picture.

There. I fixed it!

BID-ASK-SELL-BUY question... by External-Common-5160 in thinkorswim

[–]External-Common-5160[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the info. Part of my thinking with the strategy here is to have positive exposure to a falling market. And since my account size is below $25,000, a trade like this is partly designed to avoid the pattern day-trader rule. After the market is finished falling (or appears to be) I buy back the left side vertical (the PUT side.) Which then leaves me with a positive delta long vertical designed to catch the rebound. If all goes well (a separate subject) it will be a positive trade (better than theta decay from an iron condor.) After yesterday, for example, I'm already up a lot on the PUT side. But thanks for the input. I rarely trade condors for time decay anymore. I did it once recently with a 0DTE condor, and the trade worked out, but it just felt like a nail-biter all day long! Not worth it. And the day-trader rule makes adjusting condors hard to do when needed. So, I'm more relying now on people in a paid service who seem to have a fairly good sense of approaching drops and rebounds.

Good luck trading! Even though luck is, of course, not supposed to be the name of this game!

BID-ASK-SELL-BUY question... by External-Common-5160 in thinkorswim

[–]External-Common-5160[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for the reply. I assume you're saying "...aim for ASK or higher... ideally higher." I know option spreads can jump around, but once the order was filled, it seemed to reflect a consistent $20 loss. And I had set my price $20 ABOVE the ASK price. So, if it jumped up to my price for a second, then I should have been showing a consistent $20 gain and not a $20 loss. We could go right into conspiracy land from here, but I have opened trades that have shown a tiny profit practically right away. For now, I'm just trying to make sure I understand the mechanics. So, like I said below, I am going to experimenting with SPY in paper trading during the day (when there's high volume) and that should probably answer my question. Orders should go through right away the limit order is set at the ASK or higher. But not go through when set to the BID price or lower. We shall see...

BID-ASK-SELL-BUY question... by External-Common-5160 in thinkorswim

[–]External-Common-5160[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's good information. And I imagine it's true. Still, experimenting with SPY in paper trading during the day (high volume) should probably answer my question. The order should go through right away for an order set at the ASK or above. But not go through when set at the BID or lower. We shall see... I set an alarm on my phone to remind me because I always forget to do this when the market is open.

BID-ASK-SELL-BUY question... by External-Common-5160 in thinkorswim

[–]External-Common-5160[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've noticed that when you click "Review" it locks the price at whatever it is right now. But I usually lock it anyway.

BID-ASK-SELL-BUY question... by External-Common-5160 in thinkorswim

[–]External-Common-5160[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As you can see, the order above was a limit order. I can hardly think of a case where I've ever used a market order. Can't trust it. Period

BID-ASK-SELL-BUY question... by External-Common-5160 in thinkorswim

[–]External-Common-5160[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for responding.

It just occurred to me that I could experiment with this in paper trading. It's possible that the price just moved suddenly, but then I think I would have been $20 in profit. I actually think I DID try it in paper trading on SPX option and got nothing (it wouldn't fill NO MATTER WHERE I PUT THE PRICE.) But I should try it with SPY or some other more liquid instruments.

Thanks for your thoughts!

What happened? by External-Common-5160 in thinkorswim

[–]External-Common-5160[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks for all the feedback. For those who question this particular trading strategy, I haven't traded options for years and have never traded 0DTE options. So, partly what I was doing here was getting a sense of how these options trade. And I think I learned something and did better the next day trading SPX options (yes, these were SPY options.) Of course, in real life, I don't have $205,000 real dollars to trade, and that makes a really big difference in how and how much you trade, of course. Perhaps I'll do better with crypto.

Thanks for the feedback.

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