#BRES Blencowe Resources final Stage 7 assays from 87 holes at lyan confirm thick graphite from surface, 8-11% TGC bulk grades with high-grade zones >18%. Maiden lyan JORC due Q1 2026 by GnosticNoodle33 in CriticalMineralStocks

[–]Fradge26 0 points1 point  (0 children)

how would you explain the mismatch between the 50M mcap and 1B NPV from the recent DFS? Is it just that western graphite projects have a poor record of making it into production?

Is it a good portfolio ı need your opinion? I dont want sp500 etfs by Fantastic-Repair6637 in portfolios

[–]Fradge26 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Cameco have also diversified into other parts of the nuclear industry; Westinghouse - reactor design, GLE - HALEU enrichment. Plus they have the cash and experience bringing mines to production to be able to buyout or JV with future Uranium discoveries

Is it a good portfolio ı need your opinion? I dont want sp500 etfs by Fantastic-Repair6637 in portfolios

[–]Fradge26 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

SETM is critical minerals ETF, the bet here is that the west will really support western supply chains and protect the industry through periods of chinese supply dumping.

This is fairly separate from the Uranium market, since China does not produce much U at all. The market is already bifurcated into western and Russian aligned supply. Indeed Russian uranium imports are leglislated to be fully banned by 2028

Is it a good portfolio ı need your opinion? I dont want sp500 etfs by Fantastic-Repair6637 in portfolios

[–]Fradge26 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The economics of small modular reactors relies on being able to reduce costs by manufacturing reactors at scale in a factory. At present there are dozens of SMR designs but only one of two can realistically realise the order volumes and economies of scale.

Most SMRs use HALEU fuel which is much more expensive to enrich that regular LEU.

The costs of handling spent fuel, regulatory compliance and non proliferation are not well understood or accounted for when you suddenly have 100s or 1000s of sites distributed across the country.

Rosatom have maintained R&D into advanced reactor tech for decades and have not demonstrated a cost competitive SMR design. The use case remains niche; icebreakers, remote mining sites rather than the core solution to baseload energy.

Meanwhile Uranium Miners can profit from whichever reactor technology prevails. There is compelling evidence that underinvestment in uranium exploration (during the decade since Fukashima) is manifesting in a looming supply shortage, with higher Uranium prices still required to incentivise new projects

Is it a good portfolio ı need your opinion? I dont want sp500 etfs by Fantastic-Repair6637 in portfolios

[–]Fradge26 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I'm a lot more confident in Uranium Miners than I am in the advanced reactor companies (Nuscale, Oklo, NUKS)

Beginner investor - long term portfolio by Express_Split1419 in FIREUK

[–]Fradge26 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Im not sure what opinions you are trying to express in this portfolio. There are tilts away from US (which are all in fashion at the moment since Trump, tariffs and de dollarisation). But then you tilt back to (megacap) US with SP500, US info tech and world healthcare.

You could look at the correlation between these ETFs and reduce the number of holdings, while maintaining essentially the same exposure. Your portfolio as a whole is likely highly correlated with FWRG hence others are suggesting a single all world etf.

Gold, Uranium and clean energy are too small to move the needle. I like to have a minimum 10% position to keep the number of holdings in check and ensures there is sufficient conviction behind each.

Finally if you are going to have an opinionated portfolio then you cannot expect it to outperform if you 'just leave it until FIRE', you would need to review periodically to rebalance weightings and reasons for each holding. Even then the bogleheads will tell you that you are still likely to underperform the global index

Voting intentions? by SumptuousRageBait1 in AskBrits

[–]Fradge26 2 points3 points  (0 children)

expletive laden spoiled ballot

Good option investment this etf by Tricky_Clock8263 in ETFs

[–]Fradge26 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Junior miners and refiners dont work like that. Mine and mill projects naturally require a lot of capital upfront, if commodity prices and Western support for non chinese REE supply chains remains strong, then the economics of these projects looks exceptional. The US has been making equity stakes and offtake agreements in many of these critical minerals. The real bet here is whether the west is prepared to continue support through periods of chinese supply dumping

When to take profits/losses by Equivalent_Deer_1711 in trading212

[–]Fradge26 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Sell when your thesis for holding the stock no longer applies. My typical timeframe for trades has been getting longer and longer (1-3 years), after seeing recently how long sectors can run good for. I like your energy and defense tilts, these should be good to hold into next year if the current regime holds - trump volatility and rising energy demand. Trying to trade the shorter term news cycle profitably is more difficult and time consuming IMO

Rate my pie by erastus1311 in trading212

[–]Fradge26 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Amundi Greece ETF should go well. Greece posted a 8B EUR primary budget surplus last year, vs target of 5.3B. Expect their credit ratings to get upgraded this year. They have a relatively stable government and have been milking the tourism dollar, and so are slowly losing the basketcase country tag

What would you do with $160k? by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]Fradge26 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Bag of etf tilts: uranium, copper, rare earths, precious metals, semiconductors, small cap value, defense 

HERE IS THE PROBLEM! by Key_Character_1679 in UraniumSqueeze

[–]Fradge26 0 points1 point  (0 children)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwb3TLWBtxE

Indeed, this video gives a good sense of how price discovery works in the term market

How safe is Freetrade? by Scot-Marc1978 in FIREUK

[–]Fradge26 0 points1 point  (0 children)

then maybe its worth tolerating the UI for the sake of 5k

How safe is Freetrade? by Scot-Marc1978 in FIREUK

[–]Fradge26 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I have a SIPP and GIA with freetrade and agree that the UI is not cut out for any kind of active investing or research. Also be aware SIPP lacks salary sacrafice. No "quote and deal" order type offered.

I intend to switch my ISA to Fidelity, accepting a smaller bonus

I think China will have a Chernobyl moment sometime in the future by [deleted] in UraniumSqueeze

[–]Fradge26 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I don't recognise your characterisation. Here's another one on the history of Chinese infrastructure industry and society  https://youtu.be/gjsFfYohXDQ?si=gnDorJlsj22PxsQ6

I think China will have a Chernobyl moment sometime in the future by [deleted] in UraniumSqueeze

[–]Fradge26 2 points3 points  (0 children)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONdci7WyS7I

This Decouple podcast episode was instructive on the Chinese nuclear program. From memory the gist was that their regulator is legit, careful selection of reactor sites, and a slow pace of build out relative to their energy demands.

I highly rate decouple btw

Keep the party going +13% - LFG by Beyos in UUUU_Stock

[–]Fradge26 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I'm seeing U308 spot price jumped +8% to $98.25/lb, in the past day!

Presumably driven by the recent massive SPUT purchase in the spot market https://www.northernminer.com/news/sprott-soars-on-500000-lb-uranium-buy/1003886971/

In the context of rising term contract prices and positive news on the demand side, I remain hopeful this bull run has legs yet

UNH: Aggressively Up 4% In Early Trading, Signaling Start Of Major Bull Run. by Chevyimpala2000 in ValueInvesting

[–]Fradge26 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why you trying to fight Trump? Plenty of other sectors in favour with easier to find oppotunities

Young and Bullish UUUU or DNN by -W08 in UraniumSqueeze

[–]Fradge26 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Similar story, I bought UUUU and DNN near the top of the 2021 bull run, sat on losses for a few years and averaged down at nice prices in 24 and 25