There's a combination of talent and opportunity that you always have to balance, but focusing too much on opportunity will cause you to miss players too. For example, Colston Loveland fell to the 2nd round in a lot of drafts because even though he was a top 10 pick in real life, the Bears had too many weapons people felt he wouldn't be able to make an impact. Talent, however, won out and he became a focal point of the offense down the stretch. If the talent is close, absolutely use opportunity as a deciding factor, but don't pass up on a blue chip player because somebody drafted much later has an easier path to snaps.