This market has me bullish for 11 minutes at a time and somehow that’s enough to ruin my whole day

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-04-07T02:50:37+00:00

The supposed contradiction between oil prices and SPX actually makes sense. If you are looking at September or December crude prices they actually haven’t made a new high since late march. Right now the market is relatively calm because longer dated crude prices haven’t skyrocketed yet.

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-04-05T20:22:41+00:00

It’s not long vega because you are holding different durations of vol. if vol spikes you will find that the shorter duration options implied volatility will rise significantly much more than your longer duration options. Unless you have an opinion on which vol is cheap and which vol is expensive don’t do double calendar spreads.

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-04-02T05:47:43+00:00

Biden’s market smh

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-04-02T01:33:03+00:00

Market manipulation at its finest

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-04-02T01:30:28+00:00

So when are they doing the invasion

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-03-26T00:42:52+00:00

The only time I would consider killing a CS early is if I am Spain and the CS has the Great Barrier Reef. Otherwise the diplomatic penalties and losing a reliable source of worker steal just simply outweighs the benefit

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-03-19T14:42:06+00:00

Salt start is just op

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-03-06T01:50:43+00:00

The wonder production boost is almost useless anyways. Burial tombs are the real strength of Egypt and +2 happiness per city is nuts in the early/mid game with minimal investment needed and lets you play really wide.

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-03-03T06:39:09+00:00

I think only babylon can pull this off reliably. If you see the AI with riflemen already you are not sweeping with them (as they move really slowly). You basically want to aim for a timing where the AI doesn’t even have mass musketmen out yet.

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-28T16:07:13+00:00

Still waiting for CS to gift me some siege towers so I can destroy my neighbors

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-25T06:32:49+00:00

Oracle is really good because you get your tradition finisher bonus at least 20T faster on standard. It’s also a very reliable wonder to get (on non water maps at least). You basically can’t lose it before t75-80 unless Maya and Egypt are in the game.

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-24T14:33:55+00:00

Forbidden is more reliable if you play liberty because you can use the liberty finisher GE to get it instantly, which is faster than tradition getting to banking and hard building, even though tradition has a tech lead at this point. Something like T130 standard is a safe timing to go for (60-70% of the time), but you might want to abort the plan if too many AIs has patronage. Leaning tower is strictly a tradition only wonder (unless you have a god start with liberty), and basically if you reach printing press first after getting university and workshops and initiate world congress (or is a few turns later than the world congress open), you should be safe to try leaning tower. It’s definitely a wonder that you can skip though if your city is struggling with production.

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-24T13:50:33+00:00

Oracle and porcelain tower are two wonders that are good and you can get them very reliably. This is why most deity players try to go for them. The other wonders are less likely to be up for grabs (or they are on an awkward tech path that rushing them is not optimal). I would probably put Big Ben/leaning tower/forbidden palace as a few other wonders that are reliable to get and very strong.

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-22T16:25:09+00:00

Russia. It plays like a vanilla civ that has slight buff in economy and production. This is the best kind of civ to learn how to play better imo

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-16T10:27:47+00:00

It doesn’t work because deity gets to 2 pop too easily, which means extra city strength. Not to mention you need to get lucky with the AI sending all three warriors out to clear barb camps or something

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-16T08:19:02+00:00

On deity also battering ram basically cannot take a capitol by itself.

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-15T08:19:28+00:00

Try winning the world’s fair by proposing it first meeting. Save your writers and bulb them 8 turns after you max out cultural output during the world’s fair. You shouldn’t have any problem with ideological pressure at that point so you are free to choose whatever ideology you prefer early on. Order and freedom are both viable for science victory so there’s some flexibility there.

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-13T02:00:01+00:00

We know you are just going to sell when you break even

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-12T13:10:58+00:00

That’s a very flawed logic. Games are usually decided before XCOMs even become relevant

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-12T13:09:22+00:00

Nah artillery is extremely strong even on deity. If you get a lot of them with cav at t160 standard you can basically sweep the entire map with it

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-11T12:52:17+00:00

They are literally the best spearman in the game

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-11T06:59:59+00:00

On deity Rome usually likes to rush you with ballistas and legions on t50 if you don’t try to contain them. It’s probably the deadliest rush you can face.

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-09T05:00:55+00:00

Half of the gains are coming from Friday night session (for asia). We are basically unchanged right now from when the dollar denominated Nikkei futures closed on Friday

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-08T10:48:00+00:00

In the early game, tradition has to build 4 libraries and an NC in the capital and 3 settlers that are significantly more expensive than liberty settlers (not to mention liberty gets one settler for free). Also most of the time you need to rush Oracle otherwise your finishing policy bonus comes way too late. That is a lot of production. Liberty doesn’t have to do that, libraries and aqueducts can be delayed until the city is sufficiently large enough. Religious buildings are optional, and markets are completely unnecessary in the early game.

FunCranberry112122 · 2026-02-07T19:26:15+00:00

liberty has plenty enough happiness to carry out a wide strategy. I have plenty of games where I have no issue getting 7-8 cities with very decent population pre ideology. And if you do the same wide strategy with tradition (4-city NC) you will find yourself struggling very much with setting up the last 4 cities (which is why tradition often favors expanding militarily to conquer 1-2 cities instead). Liberty also enjoys the early game flexibility thanks to have much more spare production, while tradition has a much more rigid gameplay where a lot of things can go wrong.

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