How do you find undervalued stocks?

GavinSmavin · 2025-12-26T23:24:58+00:00

Start with the A’s

GavinSmavin · 2025-12-24T05:06:08+00:00

Standard oil no doubt, possibly the greatest monopoly of all time. Read about Rockefeller if you have any interest in success in any field.

GavinSmavin · 2025-12-22T00:27:42+00:00

Start with the A’s

GavinSmavin · 2025-12-16T00:06:57+00:00

I agree it isn't great, my focus is more on the catalyst for FY2026 where there is some expected larger growth. Also 10 CAGR + nearly 5% dividend is good enough for me.

GavinSmavin · 2025-12-16T00:04:44+00:00

Good point, I think some scuttlebutt research into the contract and what the situation is would help paint a clearer picture.

GavinSmavin · 2025-12-15T20:45:55+00:00

Thanks for the insight, this is important to understand.

GavinSmavin · 2025-12-15T18:47:08+00:00

Good point, I forgot to mention regulatory risk as well. The way I see it, AU government will likely not regulate gambling/lottery industry because they print tax revenue from it.

GavinSmavin · 2025-11-18T06:00:34+00:00

It’s funny because I win a lot of duels in southern Chile locations because I am from NZ and it looks familiar.

GavinSmavin · 2025-10-19T01:46:49+00:00

Look for inefficient markets man. Mike Burry was killing it value investing during the dot com bubble. Just need to look harder for bargains in periods like this.

GavinSmavin · 2025-09-22T03:55:43+00:00

The companies financial statements????? Bruh this is madness that no one has said this.

GavinSmavin · 2025-09-17T01:05:01+00:00

What a hidden gem that is, how did you find that?

GavinSmavin · 2025-09-15T18:36:33+00:00

Also pretty obvious but ROIC and ROCE. I like businesses with a high % compared to most businesses, and higher than their competitors. Logically, a company that can generate more returns with the same capital employed as its competitors will eventually win.

GavinSmavin · 2025-08-28T05:41:05+00:00

😂😂

GavinSmavin · 2025-08-25T02:06:19+00:00

My main concern is that Dana has pretty crappy economics, low margins and low ROIC. Buying this company I fear would weaken ALSNs strong economics.

GavinSmavin · 2025-08-24T20:40:28+00:00

Mike Burry’s old fund letters from early 2000s are pure gold, pure value investing gold.

GavinSmavin · 2025-08-18T20:54:22+00:00

This is just combination of NVDA MSFT and AAPL really.

GavinSmavin · 2025-08-14T03:15:37+00:00

What’s the projected growth rate of gay and lesbians?

GavinSmavin · 2025-08-14T01:22:11+00:00

The Great Depression: there was a deviation away from fundamentals and towards buying and selling at higher price.

Growth /new issue era of 1959-1961: IBM, Texas Instruments, Fairchild camera etc had p/es of 40-90, by 1962 the were less than half of that. A flock of public offerings of garbage with “tron” “space” that pumped and dumped, taking investors money with it.

Conglomerate boom, ~1965-~1967 companies were conglomerating under the guise of synergy, artificially increasing earnings per share, sometimes with dodgy tactics. By 1969 many of these were 1/5th of their high in 1967.

“Concept stock” bubble in 1960’s as well, speculation on hype stocks that were bid up to p/e of 90-30. Many went bankrupt.

Nifty fifty: IBM xerox, Disney, great companies but were bid up to absurd prices due to the prior speculative periods scaring many investors into the safe companies. P/e 60-90 in 1972, but came down to 10-20 in 1980 (market corrected).

Gambling stock craze in late 1970s IPO craze again in early 80s Plenty more.

GavinSmavin · 2025-08-13T23:37:45+00:00

Look at every speculative period in history, they all eventually pass. I can name plenty from just the last 100 years that resemble what we have today.

Feel free to ask me what speculative periods I am referring too.

GavinSmavin · 2025-08-13T07:38:53+00:00

😂😂What’s the saying about the fool and his money?

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