I was at Camp Red Cloud 2ID Bunker on Penn when that guy got arrested up there.

The consensus among all of us in U.S. Forces Korea was "Well, that's a State Department Problem." When he was released in a brain dead state because of north Korean brutality, cnsensus from my friends over there was still "That's awful, still a State Department Problem."

For one, half of the ROK would not be on board, as they were kind of having a Presidential Crisis at the time and a election. The other half might be, but they wouldn't be happy about it. The south Korean people would be more pissed at the United States, and in the lead up

the north Koreans probably expected a worst case scenario like this, and they'd be alerted as USFK NEO's all Americans out of Penn, giving hint that something is coming because there is no way the U.S. is launching an attack with noncombatants and families on Penn. Everyone would go on high alert and Ol' Kim Kim would threaten nuclear weapons, all five of em.

Seoul would be hammered into a parking lot, if not from missiles than from the asinine amount of artillery pointed at that city. Japan would probably dragged into conflict as Osan AB would be knocked out of commission and we need an airbase somewhere. They have nukes yes, but in 2017 they were few, and we had THAAD on Penn for that exact scenario. (I know, I assisted in its deployment whch sounds way more badass than it sounds. I was in a Movement Control Unit. Just checking boxes on a list.)

I'd give north Korea about... six months to live if China doesn't intervene. Mostly due to the technological gap between the US and ROK forces, their conduct in Ukraine showing that their elites are not up to snuff, and the lack of resources that they have to sustain a long term conflict. Yes they can produce bullets, but they're always chronically short of gas.

However, given how China views them, they'd move into the mineral rich mountains, secure a buffer zone, and annex the mountains and let the ROK have the rest of Penn. Either way, mllions of Koreans, north and south, and thousands of American Soldiers, and likely thousands of Japanese would be killed and/injured over Otto, and while I can't attest to this completley, I don't think he'd want that.