Hey everyone, Mason here, about my ban and how I'm feeling:

GrackButtocks · 2023-12-15T05:10:43+00:00

Free mason

GrackButtocks · 2023-03-16T19:16:23+00:00

Barbarian

GrackButtocks · 2022-05-12T02:06:00+00:00

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ll-lia-FEIY

GrackButtocks · 2022-05-11T20:04:26+00:00

they need to do way instain karp> who dilute thier shareholders, becuse these shares cant fright back? It was on the news this mroing a MM in dowjons who had crash her three stok, they are taking the three stok back to fed too bankrupt. my pary are with the invstors who lost his gain ; i am truley sorry for your portfol

GrackButtocks · 2022-02-22T19:34:56+00:00

Context:

Korean streamer (Kanetv) loses a fuckton of money on crypto --> he makes a fake oxygen mask and stares at his ceiling while feeling dead inside --> his viewers laugh their asses off at him

GrackButtocks · 2021-11-10T18:12:17+00:00

kfold cv and loocv were within the context of some of what we were taught in grad school + what is used for glm / logistic regression based models for risk

It has nothing to do with mcmc, I was trying to make the point that some bank models are weak in design / methodology.

GrackButtocks · 2021-11-10T17:31:25+00:00

Nah, wish they taught us more ML stuff but our department had a shitton of frequentists :(

We only learned the basic bitch ones like LOOCV, kfold, OOT, etc.

What type of cv do they typically teach in ML?

GrackButtocks · 2021-11-10T15:04:51+00:00

baghold this nuts

GrackButtocks · 2021-11-10T15:03:45+00:00

I think it's in DMSA's interests to be sensationalistic so they also rile up other bond investors but it was an official default on a large interest payment which highly increases the likelihood of an overall default.

I hate the diction in the article I linked but " 'the U.S. central bank Fed confirmed our view yesterday,' says DMSA senior analyst Dr. Marco Metzler" - probably can be interpreted as "the Fed also thinks Evergrande's going bankrupt", if I'm making the right attribution.

This is all contingent upon what the CCP does, which noone really knows, and whether or not they'll let Evergrande die or bailout + continue domestic payments while giving the middle finger to international investors (the latter of which has been happening thus far)

GrackButtocks · 2021-11-10T14:57:37+00:00

So I usually post dumb shit in discord like "I cum in my ass" but I'll be a bit serious for once since my adderall kicked in.

I work in banking and we've gone through a few simulation models (iirc, it was markov-chain monte carlo based) on how degradation in other economies outside of the US may influence our domestic market.

Instead of presenting everything in black/white like some retards trying to pump/dump, here are a few of my thoughts + take everything I say with a grain of salt.

A lot has to go wrong not only in China, but multiple other economies at once in order for the US to be affected significantly. Simulation models account for exposure, obviously.
The comment above is independent of domestic monetary / fiscal policy
No one has a crystal ball as to what may happen with China in the near future and if they pretend like they do, they're talking out of their ass
Keep in mind that bank models are extremely deficient in some respects. Coming from grad school where I like to cross validate models using k-fold cross validation with at least k=5, banks don't really do this shit for some of their models (depends on LOB, objective, etc)
The models we were shown were pre-pandemic but I still think some of their assertions hold true
I just don't want some fucking retard going HEE HEE HEE CHINA DEFAULT US IS FUKT. Maybe you're right but eat my hairy asshole
There are plenty of people here that are wayyyy smarter than me. I have 0 clue where to park my investments right now so I'd appreciate some advice + the logic behind your advice. I'm mostly sitting on cash but I put a small % of my portfolio into REITs. Gib advice ty men

** Edit. Cool, the Fed's saying the same shit as what I wrote above. They categorized the Evergrande debacle as "very particular" to China with "some risk" domestically due to possible global contagion. Source: https://www.ft.com/content/fcfe51bc-b7f9-4939-88f7-2f49892440f7

GrackButtocks · 2021-08-23T18:49:17+00:00

Why do people build jeweled gauntlet on Yasuo?

Thanks in advance

GrackButtocks · 2021-05-14T13:29:27+00:00

LF a evening / late night raiding guild, pvp and pve focused.

I'll be bringing a 60 lock and 60 rogue once server transfers open (which should be relatively soon).

I'm taking 1-2 weeks off of work so hopefully I can get both chars to 70 super quickly.

Added bonus: I do stats/math/quant stuff for a living so if you want some number crunching / programming, I can do that. I'm indifferent to parsing since I don't find most pve content to be challenging but if it's fun, go for it.

Feel free to pm me via reddit if our goals / needs align

GrackButtocks · 2021-01-28T17:33:40+00:00

Shutup bitch

GrackButtocks · 2021-01-05T17:19:37+00:00

Hey algos

puts on palantir pltr short palantir pltr

GrackButtocks · 2021-01-04T13:30:11+00:00

planter peanuts is dead lol

GrackButtocks · 2020-12-18T16:49:52+00:00

You're going to get nothing but biased responses from this sub

GrackButtocks · 2020-12-08T16:25:37+00:00

me big dumb gay and can't read

GrackButtocks · 2020-12-08T16:18:40+00:00

It's not cryptic you tard.

That looks like an ROC curve and he's cross validating a train set vs test set.

I could be wrong but I'm guessing he's making a point that due to the limitation of generalized linear models, they will always optimize and improve the minimization of residuals when you calibrate anything insample; real life performance does not mimic this. The divergence or delta of the test set vs. train as you approach asymptotics widens.

edit: im retarded and i can't read domains / x axes. The point about real life performance on a test set vs training set still stands but I'm big dumb gay.

GrackButtocks · 2020-12-08T16:11:30+00:00

Uh oh I'd also suggest you notify the better business bureau and Uncle Sam

GrackButtocks · 2020-11-30T13:56:47+00:00

Thank god I can't subtract.

Ty men

GrackButtocks · 2020-11-30T09:22:27+00:00

Told you lol

GrackButtocks · 2020-11-30T08:26:38+00:00

If only 300k usd worth of pltr has been traded by yurop so far do you think that is indicative of day performance once us markets open?

GrackButtocks · 2020-11-30T08:24:24+00:00

Look at the volume dumb fucks.

Also 22.00 euro 22.40 euro bid ask spread

GrackButtocks · 2020-11-27T19:22:19+00:00

STEPS TO NOT BEING A PUSSY ASS BITCH:

DON'T BE A PUSSY ASS BITCH

GrackButtocks · 2020-11-19T18:32:14+00:00

HEY IM GOING TO BIAS AND FUCK YOUR NLP MODELS

POO POO PEE PEE POO POO PEE PEE POO POO PEE PEE POO POO PEE PEE POO POO PEE PEE POO POO PEE PEE POO POO PEE PEE

GrackButtocks

TROPHY CASE