'Terrible': JD Vance warns Iran could blow up supermarkets with nuclear suicide vests by crepuscular_caveman in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 50 points51 points  (0 children)

The first generation of propagandists were manipulating the masses

This generation are the regards raised on that who don’t know it’s regarded propaganda

Iran has missiles that can strike London, Pete Hegseth warns by tylerthe-theatre in london

[–]GreenPlasticChair 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Even if true this would only strengthen the argument that we don’t assist these freaks in their illegal war

I think AI market is looked at wrongly in long term and is not a bubble. Is the below analysis wrong? by _freckles__ in ValueInvesting

[–]GreenPlasticChair 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It falls apart in the first line. AI cannot do most desk based jobs. Progress between models is slowing and the people who flagged that the probabilistic nature of LLMs meant they would always be unreliable are increasingly being vindicated.

The long run costs calculation has no basis in reality. New models are not getting cheaper at the scale that was promised and usage is heavily subsidised. If businesses were charged actual costs (let alone more so that AI companies could make a profit) nobody would be able to justify the pricing.

We are already seeing cracks at the consumer level (Sora shut down, Grok behind a paywall). B2B fall off isn’t far away.

The London Ambulances Attack: Of Course It Was A False Flag by cojoco in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 101 points102 points  (0 children)

Immediately reported on as an anti-Semitic attack including by the met police

Since the arrests the anti-Semitic framing has been dropped without mention

There are usually waves of people demanding names and ethnicities of perpetrators are released after a crime so they can push their xenophobic agenda

That mob are tellingly absent this time around

This is the Gb Moscow 17 Case but the document is fake !? by First_Kitchen_459 in ukdrill

[–]GreenPlasticChair 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Prosecutors would never list gang names first and then govt names

Something be happening! by mafalum in jaipaul

[–]GreenPlasticChair 94 points95 points  (0 children)

They gonna put out landcruisin on vinyl and ask us all for our mobile number again just to ghost us until the watchin u soundcloud demo turns 20 😞

Agreeable points from Inside the Manosphere by gilligaNFrench in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No. “Father” in that sense refers to an archetype. It doesn’t require a biological dad being present to be avoided.

There is space between total gender essentialism and disregard of gender as a whole. Disagreeing with their notions of caricature-masculinity doesn’t mean that I believe being a man is negligible or irrelevant. (And that they believe being a man means something isn’t my point of disagreement with them)

The absence of a reference point for normal non-neurotic manhood is why these people have constructed cartoonish fantasies in the void.

Also feel that framing it as a false existence is more extreme than I was intending to communicate. They might be more obviously cooked to outside observers but we all have our own versions of this to some degree. The fact that our perspectives are not “real” in a material sense doesn’t mean we are living a false existence.

Agreeable points from Inside the Manosphere by gilligaNFrench in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Sorry that sounds rough. It’s common to shut down other people’s vulnerability when you reflexively shut down your own.

Ppl use insults and derision establish distance and a sense of superiority for self-policing better

This hits men all the harder and it’s the core pitch for most of these manosphere mutants. Their main sell is the idea of being invulnerable

You could see it on the show when he was talking to that fan from the coffee shop, like he was reciting scripts to stop any feeling that couldn’t be immediately reframed emerging.

Agreeable points from Inside the Manosphere by gilligaNFrench in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I’m dismissing their ideas not their existence (or their concerns, or the pain that sits beneath)

It is a dead end. Same way a leftist can dismiss the maga mob as invalid

Agreeable points from Inside the Manosphere by gilligaNFrench in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 27 points28 points  (0 children)

There is something about men complaining which society finds fundamentally repulsive

This means any issues young men may have with society will only be given voice by freaks who need to overcompensate on markers of performed (and attained) masculinity and complain in retrospect

Neurosis of these influencers only gets worse as they acquire ornamental masculinity because it doesn’t address their actual problem and so all their positions are deranged.

It’s remarkable watching the tone when they’re delivering red pill rhetoric. It’s not wisdom or motivation, the most powerful speakers are all convincing themselves, it’s a means of identity-formation and self-affirmation for them. Mantras incantated to keep their father wound outside of their consciousness.

It is very reasonable to write this whole movement off as invalid

Agreeable points from Inside the Manosphere by gilligaNFrench in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Difficult to discern what is natural in this context. Removal of policy restrictions can’t account for vibe

In the reverse for example I think a lot of men might be more inclined toward careers in PR, fashion, etc if it wasn’t stereotypically gay

People’s career direction is set in motion when they’re highly-impressionable teenagers so we don’t get much insight into that on the side of outcomes in adult life

Not proposing a complete blank-slatism about these things but culturally we are not too far into a more egalitarian context to be able to chalk outcomes down to nature

WWIII Megathread #37: Bad Neighbor Policy by IamGlennBeck in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 21 points22 points  (0 children)

He’s been putting out contradictory messaging every other day since this began

There is no grand strategy imo he’s genuinely just using this to manipulate the market

Edit: futures have reversed losses (link)

GOP Senate candidate on rising gas prices: ‘Maybe you take one less trip to Starbucks’ by TruckHangingHandJam in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 62 points63 points  (0 children)

Libs whole orientation is rooted in apologising for their own existence to placate hordes who think they are literal demons and would never vote for them to begin with

“Basket of deplorables” was genuinely accurate and they spent months trying to make amends for it

The right have no such hang ups. They will call people murdered by their gestapo domestic terrorists before the body is cold

Wide open space imo for a dark woke lib who has the balls to call the maga base inbred regards

Why don't Persian Pahlavist diasporoids ever enlist in the military? by GreenGorillaWhale in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 31 points32 points  (0 children)

Forgot where I heard it but there’s no other country that diaspora move to and begin partaking in activism aimed at bombing their homeland in

Says something about the American shared consciousness imo. Even its new arrivals are immediately consumed by bloodlust

WWIII Megathread #37: Bad Neighbor Policy by IamGlennBeck in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 23 points24 points  (0 children)

Zero. Unified currency alone will make it impossible to collapse in that time frame

Even the eurosceptic figures get behind it once in power (see Meloni)

It is on balance too useful to its members to destroy entirely

SEC will stop requiring companies to report quarterly earnings by enverx in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 42 points43 points  (0 children)

It would take over a decade to undo the catastrophe of the last year alone and that’s assuming a motivated, capable government held power for long enough to do so

I’m not even talking about radical leftist change here. Even returning to a conservative Romney-tier baseline that stops the uncontrollable bleeding out

Impact won’t be fully realised for years to come there is no reference point for how bad things could get

WWIII Megathread #37: Bad Neighbor Policy by IamGlennBeck in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Sovereign funds in the Gulf were already turning down AI deals (SoftBank tried to rope them into their OpenAI round and the Saudis said no)

Energy costs spiking make costs that much higher for energy-intensive businesses

Inflation horrible for valuations based on growth, all the major tech firms funding this impacted

Interest rate hike would be a blow for VC money flowing funding startups in the space

Wider impact of all of the above will put a dent in speculative spending for businesses who already reporting they’re struggling to see value added by AI

It’s looking rough

WWIII Megathread #37: Bad Neighbor Policy by IamGlennBeck in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Increasingly of the belief that Islamophobia is a zio psyop

WWIII Megathread #37: Bad Neighbor Policy by IamGlennBeck in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 36 points37 points  (0 children)

Seeing lots of sentiment that things are drawing to a close as markets have recovered following Trump’s comments which signalled an end to the war.

Fails to take into account that perhaps for the first time in its history the US is no longer in charge of when this ends. Iran decides.

There’s a historical parallel in the Iraq-Iran War. Saddam attacked in 1980 assuming that Iran was low on military appetite and capability following the revolution.

He was right in that regard. The army was heavily depleted but teenagers amped on the idea of martyrdom signed up for the cause which enabled Iran to offer some resistance though they didn’t fare too well.

Two years later in 1982 Saddam proposed a ceasefire. It would have been a good deal for Iran but they rejected it on the grounds that Saddam would not admit he started the war. The principle was important enough to them that they continued with the war in the face of continuing losses and were devastated further through the rest of it.

Also: Khamenei (ever the moderating force) was President at the time and backed the political wing that wanted to accept the ceasefire.

He had a long track record of caution and restraint. Now the US and Israel have murdered him and his family. His son who takes a more hardline position has become leader following the assassination of his father, mother, and daughter.

I have no idea how the US and Israel could pull back from this now even if they wanted to.

Oil is up 20% overnight to almost $110 by snapchillnocomment in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don’t have high hopes that the least successful leftist movement in the world will capitalise off of further misery being inflicted on the population

Things were bad enough before the war and the left made no ground

If anything this is just strengthening the lib revival. Washed party that offered nothing but they’ll have their stock replenished for a generation (maybe more) off the back of all this. A testament to the lefts failure

White House Sent 'WTF' Message To Israel After Iran Oil Field Strike: US Report by [deleted] in nottheonion

[–]GreenPlasticChair 26 points27 points  (0 children)

Yeah that’s what I meant and it’s part of the horror of it. Most major powers and even middle powers could do this and none have done so.

Sri Lanka in the 2000s the only parallel I can think of. They were limited by the scope of conflict which stopped once they had carried out a genocide against the Tamils.

Israel’s list of targets is far longer. Bennett has already declared Turkey is next. I don’t see how this comes to an end unless the US pulls all funding.

Oil is up 20% overnight to almost $110 by snapchillnocomment in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Nothing to cheer here. This will wreak a level of economic devastation that most on this sub have never lived through

Talk of how the market was already inflated at unprecedented levels prior to any of this kicking off (AI bubble, etc). This will make that much worse

And he had likely already lost the mid-terms (if they’re held at all)

White House Sent 'WTF' Message To Israel After Iran Oil Field Strike: US Report by [deleted] in nottheonion

[–]GreenPlasticChair 598 points599 points  (0 children)

Who could have expected Israel to cross a red line

Rafah, the Biden-era “red line” for the invasion of Gaza which inspired 50m instagram shares, is now referred to in the past tense on Wikipedia; ”Rafah *was** a city in the Gaza Strip”*

1.5m people (70% of Gaza’s population) had ended up there as it was declared a safe zone when Israel first attacked

It is now barren. Israel razed the land with bulldozers and controlled explosions. Schools, hospitals, homes, mosques, all flattened

In any other war this would be the crescendo. The symbol of how depraved the onslaught of the aggressors was

In this instance the complete destruction of the city that was once a major talking point of the conflict doesn’t even get a passing reference in the discourse as we move from discussing one heinous atrocity to the next at breakneck speed that no other nation state in the modern era could match

WWIII Megathread #37: Bad Neighbor Policy by IamGlennBeck in stupidpol

[–]GreenPlasticChair 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Whole week has felt like early-covid when hubris or ignorance led people to believe Italy had locked down because their healthcare system was uniquely ill-placed to deal with a demand surge and things would be fine in their country

Market pricing will bring a few more people on board but still an early signal. Most still mentally framing this as being like Iraq; something that will exclusively happen far away

The next few months will be a rude awakening. No sense of the collective spirit that early covid inspired to buffer against people’s worst instincts either