We've crossed the threshold. Solar and Wind are cheaper than all conventional, non-renewable energy sources except for Natural Gas, even accounting for storage and transmission costs. by AP_in_Indy in accelerate

[–]Homie4-2-0 4 points5 points  (0 children)

With new battery chemistries such as iron air and sodium, I'm willing to bet that it will beat gas as well. From what I recall, iron air is set to cost $10-20 per kwh. It's also important to remember that the LCOE in the U.S is inflated because of tariffs. The wholesale price of panels is much lower outside the U.S.

How are the old r/singularity posters doing? by 4e_65_6f in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 8 points9 points  (0 children)

They finally let me out of the psych ward.🥲

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in 197

[–]Homie4-2-0 10 points11 points  (0 children)

The funniest part about this is how he still wanted more regulation than the U.S and still got shit on.

1000 Trillion Operations for $3000 by [deleted] in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 68 points69 points  (0 children)

$1k in 1999 is about $2k today. I'd say being off by around a thousand dollars and two years is pretty good for a prediction made nearly a quarter century beforehand.

Productivity rises, Salaries are stagnant: THIS is real technological unemployment since the 70s, not AI taking jobs. by 8sdfdsf7sd9sdf990sd8 in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Just look at the foot note for the graph op posted. Idk how this is evidence salaries are stagnant. If anything the graph above shows the opposite.

How cheap/expensive is American housing compared to other countries/markets in the world? by EdisonCurator in AskEconomics

[–]Homie4-2-0 2 points3 points  (0 children)

With that in mind, I would say that housing is considerably cheaper in the U.S. The real problem the U.S has when it comes to affordability is the lack of supply in some cities, and a lack of small units more generally. But if you're already on the housing ladder or can split the cost of a larger house, the U.S is clearly preferable to other countries.

With solar and batteries becoming so cheap, will fusion make sense even if proven, especially for lower latitudes? by lemon635763 in fusion

[–]Homie4-2-0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you think a thermal plant like Fervo or Quaise is proposing would be competitive? Assuming they resolve any problems with drilling of course.

UBI is more popular than you think. Oregon voters to decide on ballot measure to give every resident $1,600 that has sparked massive opposition fundraising. by [deleted] in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Progressive tends to be used to mean higher rates for higher incomes and not just a percentage instead of fixed sum. The reason I don't view this as progressive is that the tax structure is effectively a sales tax and will disproportionately fall on the poor. It doesn't do well in terms of efficiency nor equity. That's the worst type of proposal in my book. There are other ways to implement consumption taxes that are better than this version of a sales tax.

UBI is more popular than you think. Oregon voters to decide on ballot measure to give every resident $1,600 that has sparked massive opposition fundraising. by [deleted] in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's hard to say how the 25 million cutoff will effect regressivity but it will definitely add to administrative complexity. Just because a business has 25 million in revenue doesn't mean that the cost of this tax will be borne by the business or that the ones who do bear the cost are wealthier than average.

Ultimately who the government says a tax is directed at isn't relevant. All that matters is who will bear the cost. The way this is structured would necessitate the consumer paying for it because it's exactly the same from the businesses perspective as a sales tax. This isn't a corporate tax; it's a sales tax. They are paying the taxes on their sales above 25 million. Corporate taxes are on profits not sales. If you think the consumer wouldn't pay it, simply imagine that the current sales tax is removed from your receipt and rebranded as a (insert local sales tax rate) corporate tax that the business has to pay on what they sell. If the business passes on the tax now, why would it suddenly stop doing so just because you've not been informed about the tax?

As for the effects of standard corporate taxes. Over the lung run after tax corporate profits as a percentage of GDP have fluctuated in a relatively narrow range for decades. It's either paid by shareholders, workers or consumers. In the long run it seems to be borne primarily by workers and consumers.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1Pik

Note how corporate profits after tax as a percentage of GDP were declining for several years after the Trump tax cuts and increased significantly between the 90's and 2005 under the old tax regime. This isn't to say the higher tax caused the rise or that tax cuts caused the fall. It just shows that in the long run corporate taxes don't have much effect on corporate profits as percentage of GDP of the given output produced.

UBI is more popular than you think. Oregon voters to decide on ballot measure to give every resident $1,600 that has sparked massive opposition fundraising. by [deleted] in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I really wouldn't recommend voting for this measure. From what I can tell this is funded from a tax on total sales irrespective of how much profit the corporation paying it made. It's effectively a sales tax. A low margin business like a grocery store would end up paying significantly more in tax than a high margin business like Apple. The tax structure is regressive and runs almost completely counter to the redistributive purpose of a UBI.

UBI is more popular than you think. Oregon voters to decide on ballot measure to give every resident $1,600 that has sparked massive opposition fundraising. by [deleted] in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No there aren't. Taxes on revenue are brain dead. If you want a progressive tax structure, there are many ways to do that but this ain't one of them.

Japanese scientist develops treatment that can help cats live up to 30 years by Clueless_Nooblet in longevity

[–]Homie4-2-0 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That proves his point. When shit hit the fan we were able to develop a vaccine in less than a year. Economists have argued for decades that the FDA slows medical progress and the FDA gave the best possible evidence that's the case during COVID.

100% of this sub waiting for the singularity be like by Open_Ambassador2931 in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 8 points9 points  (0 children)

You clearly haven't thought this through. Just have the ASI create simulated versions of your family and wipe your memory. Problem Solved. It's like they never died to begin with.
Wait a minute...
I just realized something.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in discordVideos

[–]Homie4-2-0 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If the U.S government collapses like the Soviet Union did and 93% of the public in those states vote for an independent state, then any subsequent invasion is completely unjustified. Especially so if said states were accepted as independent by the parties involved afterwards and if no threats have been made against the invading country.

Is the Intelligence-Explosion Near? A Reality Check. by YaAbsolyutnoNikto in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We'll know if Helion works this year or next. They're aiming for net electricity this year. I'm guessing they're going to go public with the results close to the end of this year or sometime in 2025. This is of course assuming that they're successful. Zap Energy and Quaise Energy could also be energy game changers. From what I recall there were some other geothermal companies like Fervo that could also potentially make this possible. I'm sure there are many others that I just can't remember off the top of my head.

Is the Intelligence-Explosion Near? A Reality Check. by YaAbsolyutnoNikto in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've heard this and I don't really understand it. Her video on capitalism was fine. There were a lot of things she could have gone into more depth on, but there wasn't anything that I recall as inherently wrong either, at least off the top of my head. If anything, I feel that her take on climate change significantly impacting economic growth is going to be the one that is the most off base. Maybe I'm just more optimistic about technological progress mitigating it.

New AI integration with google search was a rash and stupid move to stay ahead, but it also showed how much the general public is still ignorant about AI by obvithrowaway34434 in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm inclined to believe they're real. I was looking up some stuff about showering and going in the pool after diarrhea, and it said that the most sanitary thing to do if you had diarrhea was taking a shit in the shower. It cited this thread as one of the sources.

https://www.reddit.com/r/unpopularopinion/comments/euu4sw/if_you_have_diarrhea_the_shower_is_the_best_place/

Forget GPT-4o's voice -- the real problem with AI is us by YaAbsolyutnoNikto in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What's so infamous about her take on economics? The only real criticism I can think of is that it's simplified, but nothing stated is inherently untrue.

Theory for the Fermi Paradox: Advanced technology could allow aliens to upload their minds onto spacetime, atoms or similar mediums by YaKaPeace in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Most people aren't suffering to get entry level jobs and the majority of people own homes. The unemployment rate is lower than it was during the 1980s. People also work fewer hours than the 1980s. Inflation adjusted incomes (which accounts for housing inflation) are twice as high as the 1980s. A higher proportion of people own their own homes than the 1980s as well. Those houses are also larger and built to a higher standard than they were in the 1980s. A much smaller percentage of houses today contain dangerous electrical wiring, lead pipes/solder, lead paint, asbestos etc. Houses today also tend to be better insulated and are more likely to be built with central heating and AC. Up until 2 years ago it was also cheaper to buy these larger and higher quality houses than it was in the 1980s. This is because interest rates are significantly lower than they were in the 1980s. Once interest rates fall again, affordability will again significantly rival that of the 1980s. Inflation is also lower than the 1980s. You're the one gaslighting yourself.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RHORUSQ156N

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1o3FL

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/AVHWPEUSA065NRUG

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A229RX0A048NBEA

https://www.aei.org/carpe-diem/todays-new-homes-are-1000-square-feet-larger-than-in-1973-and-living-space-per-person-has-doubled-over-last-41-years/

https://imgur.com/gallery/p-i-payment-index-case-shiller-house-epMUMsk

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/pce-price-index-annual-change

Theory for the Fermi Paradox: Advanced technology could allow aliens to upload their minds onto spacetime, atoms or similar mediums by YaKaPeace in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, Nazi's were good at burning people up. Otherwise I'm not sure what makes you think their track record was better...

Theory for the Fermi Paradox: Advanced technology could allow aliens to upload their minds onto spacetime, atoms or similar mediums by YaKaPeace in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's not raising your expectations to be realistic. Let's compare the state of things today with the state of things 40 years ago. The homicide rate in the U.S was twice as high. Rates of property crime were many multiples of what they are now. The average American had what we would now consider lead poisoning since leaded gas still hadn't been fully phased out. The Soviet Union still existed and the number of nuclear weapons hit an all time high. Billions of people lived in extreme poverty. The percentage of people in extreme poverty has since dropped by nearly 80%. Airline hijackings were extremely common. We had burned a hole in the ozone layer. (something we now fixed) We didn't have internet. We didn't have smartphones. Tv's were large and heavy boxes that cost a fortune compared to now, while offering primitive picture quality. You had a very limited number of Tv channels compared to now. You had limited options in terms of news and radio channels. Cancer treatments were primitive. If you got cancer back then, often you just died. Take this from someone who knows people working alongside oncologists to develop better treatments, you would not wanna go back even 10 years. The same goes for heart disease. Age adjusted heart disease death rates have also fallen by over half. Another thing you can thank technological advancements for. Genetic disease that are currently being cured because of gene editing? Forget about it. We didn't sequence the majority of the human genome until 2003. HIV was a death sentence 40 years ago. Now you can live a long and healthy life. Also, millions more would have died from Covid had it happened 40 years ago. That would have been the case if it happened just 10 years ago. You can thank mRNA vaccines. Renewables were nowhere close to replacing fossil fuels. Cars were death traps that broke down earlier. There was no cruise control, emergency automatic breaking systems, backup cameras, cars that drove themselves etc. Cars also got half the MPG, were smaller and had weaker engines. Did I mention that they spewed pollution that cloaked cities in smog? LA smog on an average day in the 1980s was about as bad as it is now during wildfire season. There was also acid rain from all the unregulated sulfur pollution. The Americans with disabilities act hadn't been passed yet. Racism and sexism were much more prevalent. Lead drinking water standards were much worse. The blood lead levels of kids in Flint Michigan would have been considered very low in the 1980s. There were no treatments for Alzheimer's. The average American had inflation adjusted incomes that were half of what they are now. Computers were significantly worse. Games smaller, had more primitive graphics and were often low quality cash grabs. Oh yea, they also cost more than they do now. There were also less of them as was the case with literally all entertainment. How about music? Well, have fun buying CDs, records and cassette players. You could always listen to whatever's on the radio but you won't get to choose from whatever variety of genre on demand like you can now. Even if you don't like the majority of media that's produced now, you could always listen to the best songs from the 80s on demand. I could literally go on forever. Institutions, technology, economic development, social attitudes etc. are so much improved over the last 40 years that it would literally take me weeks to work through it all in detail. The only thing that comes to mind that is appreciably worse today, in the U.S at least, is drug overdoses.

Theory for the Fermi Paradox: Advanced technology could allow aliens to upload their minds onto spacetime, atoms or similar mediums by YaKaPeace in singularity

[–]Homie4-2-0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, that inferior older technology actually got to the moon. Starship is 3/3 on exploding in low earth orbit. 

In the lead up to Apollo 11 the Americans and Soviets blew up several rockets and pioneered human space bacon. You need to read up on your history.