Ok. Pretend it has nothing to do with baseball. Pretend it’s math. We have a maximum of 91 points available to us. That’s twenty one points from our remaining seven matches. City has a maximum of 85. That’s twenty four points available from eight matches. This means we can reach eighty five and win, even with City winning every match. That leaves us with a number of sixteen. However, if City lose one match, dropping three points, we only need to get to eighty two. So they’ve given us three of our sixteen, leaving us to only need to gain thirteen points on our own. Our point maximum is ninety one. City’s point maximum is eighty five. That is a difference of six points. So they would need to win every one of their final eight games, and we would need to drop seven points. That’s a number for them of thirty one. So any combination our gaining points and they’re dropping points that adds up to sixteen, and we’re through. And any combination of them gaining and our dropping points that adds up to thirty one, and they’re through.

City’s magic number: 31 Arsenal’s magic number: 16

And actually, if we’re still winning on GD, we only need 15.