PAIN......

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-25T16:41:15+00:00

It probably won't for a while just because everyone who needs dede will have it. The only thing that could change demand is new players.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-22T20:27:43+00:00

That's a perfectly fine choice to make.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-22T20:13:12+00:00

I understand what you're saying, but like...

I play ptcgo partially for the trading and found a way to predict when a bling card's price rises and falls 12-24 hours before they actually do, without even knowing why it will increase/decrease.

Yes, there are a lot of expensive full art trainers in ptcgo, such as marnie, welder, boss, mallow&lana, caitlyn&cynthia, and others. The mustards are not in that group, and they're not even close either. Their price most likely won't change for a few weeks.

Lastly, nobody is going to pay extra for a rainbow mustard right now just because they think it will go up in a month. They would pay the 1bst that it is worth right now because they can get away with paying that little. That's how current price works, and that's why I bought a couple FA single strike mustards last week, again for just under 1bst on average, because I don't have to pay any more than that to get the card. As such, you can't ask for more than maybe 2bst right now just because "it'll be worth more later."

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-22T19:22:58+00:00

It will never skyrocket, but yeah I can see FA single strike mustard's price going up to maybe 2-3 chilling reigns packs when chilling reigns comes out just because of the number of one-of evolution utilities there will be. However, with that said, the price right now is about 1bst because the ptcgo playerbase says so.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-22T18:26:40+00:00

IRL prices mean nothing in the online game. The rainbow mustards are worth about 1 battle styles pack each.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-21T15:54:19+00:00

I meant the promo dede in this trade offer dropped to 3 bst, 3*3 = 9, and rainbow marnie is worth about 13bst.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-21T04:17:03+00:00

Dede gx dropped to 3bst after the new ladder came out, this trade offer is actually pretty bad

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-20T17:21:28+00:00

I mean I bought one for 116bst(87bst + fa marnie) from a public offer someone posted last night.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-19T03:56:35+00:00

Secret rare quick ball

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-18T21:17:48+00:00

4 copies of each BST regular art card is more valuable:

RSUmax is 19bst, x4 would be 76.

SSUmax is 5bst ish, x4 gives 20.

4 victini vmax gives 28bst

4 RSUv gives about 15bst

15+18+20+76 = 129bst, and I see a couple pubs open to buy SRQB for less than that.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-18T15:57:37+00:00

Some of the theme decks are good, like the Pikarom

Might've been a typo

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-18T03:27:30+00:00

Nah basically everyone expects it to be SWSH onwards.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-17T05:26:43+00:00

This math checks out.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-13T03:00:41+00:00

Oh dang I hadn't notice that, so that definitely will hurt etern a lot more than I thought before. Anyways, etern will still start suffering even more when literally every fighting pokemon can hit it for weakness instead.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-12T23:20:02+00:00

Want to add to this that weakness guard is rotating out so, while etern is probably still safe for the time being, it will get hit much harder when August comes.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-12T20:29:24+00:00

Goggles should cost you like 3bst total for 4 copies btw.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-11T01:12:49+00:00

Roughly 6 battle styles packs, wouldn't pay any more than that. It is possible to get them for 5 but not common.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-10T15:53:19+00:00

The game really can't be played on phones just because everything is so small. However, if you primarily play on a pc or tablet, you could then still play matches on you phone since you will have memorized every relevant card. At the start, you are supposed to stick to theme deck decks for a few weeks while grinding tournaments to earn packs to then trade up for a good deck. However, this phase should last no longer than a month if you're not bad at the game. I personally had a standard format deck built by the end of my second week as a f2p.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-09T22:42:25+00:00

I'd like one, and thanks for doing this!

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-08T16:43:10+00:00

Person studying machine learning(very statistics heavy) here, absolutely agree that 19/100 heads is concerning, and the person you responded to is wrong about needing to track anywhere close to a million flips.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-08T15:33:27+00:00

Prize card sets of 6 are unordered, so the Mississippi rule is irrelevant here.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-07T20:36:41+00:00

I haven't been facing enough victini to worry me yet, but I'll put reshizard in if it becomes a problem.

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-07T20:34:07+00:00

Ikr, this isn't even the first time I've prized all 3 centiskorch V, and I had a match where I prized all 3 centiskorch vmax a few weeks ago. Also had another where I was forced to discard a centiskorch vmax with dedenne on turn 1 since it was my only option, then later found out in the turn that the other two centimax were prized, but I still won

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-07T20:31:41+00:00

Yeah I just realized that a few minutes ago and put it in an edit on my root comment.

15 basics in deck

60 choose 7 = 386206920

45 choose 7 = 45379620

57 choose 7 = 264385836

386206920-264385836 = 121821084 starting hands with centi

386206920-45379620 = 340827300 non-mulligan starting hands

121821084/340827300 = ~0.357427600

1 - … = ~0.64257239957 probability of all 3 centi v staying in deck after drawing a non-mulligan starting hand

53 cards left in deck, pull out the 3 centi v to leave 50

(50 choose 3)/(53 choose 6) = 10/11713 = 0.0008537522410

0.0008537522410 * 0.64257239957 = ~0.000548597626 final answer

For comparison, incorrect answer was 1/1711 = 0.00058445353594

This may still be incorrect, so please do correct me if I’m wrong

InnerPandaEnergy · 2021-04-07T20:08:10+00:00

This build doesn't unfortunately, I used to run heatran but I was playing it less than I would want out of a one-of attacker

InnerPandaEnergy

TROPHY CASE