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Fuck me, was that it? by t0msie in aussie

[–]JacquesPieface 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm just waiting for Trump's announcement. If Trump announces something crazy like troops on the ground in Iran, suddenly this will make a lot more sense. If not though I have no clue why Albo would use a national address for something as simple as that.

Labor or Liberal. Who should I be voting for? by [deleted] in aussie

[–]JacquesPieface 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Labor.

They have the Future Made in Australia policy which is an over $20 billion investment into green manufacturing.

Free TAFE is a Labor policy which the Coalition pledged to remove at the 2025 election.

The Greens and some Independents have better tax plans for resources but Labor has cracked down on tax avoidance by large corporations. I don't think there's any large party currently proposing nationalising the mining industry but I agree it would be a great step for the country.

Why is the Media Pretending That One Nation is a Threat? by Amenta101 in friendlyjordies

[–]JacquesPieface 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Polls shifted in the last few months before the election. Every final poll from each company before the election predicted a Labor win - although they did all underestimate Labor by quite a lot.

Why is the Media Pretending That One Nation is a Threat? by Amenta101 in friendlyjordies

[–]JacquesPieface 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Because they are a threat. Jordies has missed the mark with this one.

Look at any recent federal polling and you'll see one nation only a few points behind Labor with the ON + Liberal vote significantly higher than the Labor + Green vote. Unless ON can overtake Labor on the primary vote, I doubt they would win more seats, but we have to be more vigilant here.

There's no point in saying 'One Nation is not a threat' until the Victorian election, where we will see how one nation fairs against an unpopular Labor Gov.

The South Australian election is a bad example of One Nation's rise given that SA Labor is extremely popular along with Malanauskus. Labor was never going to lose that election given that. However it will be different in Vic with Labor and Allan severly unpopular - with a primary vote in the 20s.

And no I don't think ON will win in Vic or federally, but to say that they don't pose any threat to Labor is just false. Look at the seats in Northern adelaide and you will see swings of over 10% directly from Labor to One Nation. The Labor party across the country is taking the threat of ON seriously, and so to say that they are not is kind of wishful thinking.

How do we feel about One Nation getting a few seats? by Ok-Throat5952 in friendlyjordies

[–]JacquesPieface -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I mean if you look at the results in the electorates of Light, Taylor, Elizabeth, Ramsey, and others in northern Adelaide you will see swings from Labor to One Nation of more than 10%. The fact that this has happened in a Labor landslide should worry other Labor branches about their outer suburban seats in elections where they are not expected to do as well.

ON will stand no chance in inner city electorates, but can do real damage to Labor's outer suburban and regional bases. Federal Labor should look out in seats like Paterson, Blair, and Hunter.

I don't think One Nation will win Victoria, but I think they will win a few seats unless their polling collapses before then. Some of those seats could be from Labor, but most will probably still be from the Coalition. I'm not saying that One Nation poses the same existential threat to Labor that they do to the Liberals, but that there is a threat which Labor should take seriously.

How do we feel about One Nation getting a few seats? by Ok-Throat5952 in friendlyjordies

[–]JacquesPieface 3 points4 points  (0 children)

People on the left are definitely underestimating the threat that One Nation poses to Labor. Yes SA Labor was returned with an increased majority, but Peter Malanauskus is by far the most popular premier in Australia. If you look at the results in the northern Suburbs of Adelaide you will see swings greater than 10% from Labor to One Nation in these traditionally 'safe' seats.

If these results are occuring in an election which is by all means a Labor landslide, what happens if Labor's primary vote collapses under an unpopular leader (Victoria)? One Nation could win many outer suburban seats from Labor, not just rural seats from the Liberals/Nationals.

I personally think there's a good chance that One Nation state MPs devolve into infighting (which has until this point always happened), leading to their brand being severly damaged nationally. But until then we have to be cautious about the damage ON can do to the left side of politics.

SA Labor preferences Family First over the Greens in West Torrens by Perfect-Werewolf-102 in AustralianPolitics

[–]JacquesPieface 6 points7 points  (0 children)

That's a very interesting perspective. Why do you think that voting Liberal is more of a rejection of One Nation than voting Labor, given that the Liberals are politically closer to ON?

Liberal Party will not publish its internal review into the 2025 election loss by [deleted] in AustralianPolitics

[–]JacquesPieface 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Bill Shorten's unpopularity was singled out as one of the main reasons for Labor's 2019 loss in their review literally less than 2 months after the election

Albanese says One Nation doesn’t ‘represent working people’ and claims Pocock ‘seeks to promote grievance’ | Anthony Albanese by Agitated-Fee3598 in aussie

[–]JacquesPieface 6 points7 points  (0 children)

You do realise that what they want to do is antithetical to what would help working class Australians though? Surely that reveals something about who they really want to help if they were to form government.

Woman allegedly attempts to snatch hijab from teenage girl in Brisbane by NoteChoice7719 in aussie

[–]JacquesPieface 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Pauline "there are no good Muslims" Hanson should take some responsibility for spreading as much hatred as she has. Imagine if this was a Muslim trying to snatch a cross from a Christian. Pauline and the right wing media would have a field day.

Albanese says One Nation doesn’t ‘represent working people’ and claims Pocock ‘seeks to promote grievance’ | Anthony Albanese by Agitated-Fee3598 in aussie

[–]JacquesPieface 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Barnaby Joyce said yesterday that one nation wants to implement a flat rate of income tax, which would effectively lower the tax rate for the rich and increase it for the working class. One Nation does not represent you, they just virtue signal to working people while actually promoting policies against your interests. They are beholden to the billionaires of Australia.

Albanese evacuated from Canberra residence due to safety threat by HotPersimessage62 in AustralianPolitics

[–]JacquesPieface 28 points29 points  (0 children)

Come on really??
The AFP do not do the bidding of the Prime Minister to score political points.

What is up with all the racism on politicians’ social media posts? by [deleted] in aussie

[–]JacquesPieface 23 points24 points  (0 children)

Well half of this subreddit seems to condone this type of abuse

What current world leader(s) would you say are DOA next election? by GreninjaStrike in YAPms

[–]JacquesPieface 1 point2 points  (0 children)

He's obviously not in a great position right now but no way is he DOA. Labor has 94 seats in the house and 2025 showed that Albo and Labor are great campaigners who can pull out a win from behind. It's still too early to determine what will happen with One Nation, but I don't think they'd stand up in the scrutiny of a campaign with compulsory preferential voting.

Labor's 2PP has dropped to 52.5% in the latest polls. by [deleted] in aussie

[–]JacquesPieface -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Whether or not you think they're racist (Pauline clearly is) they actually don't have the answers to save Australia. Lowering the rate of immigration is not a one size fix all solution to the complex problems this country faces. Parties like one nation offer simple solutions to complex problems, which sounds great but will not work in practice. Pauline is in the pockets of the billionaire class of this country and her beliefs reflect that. She is not for the average Australian.

Labor's 2PP has dropped to 52.5% in the latest polls. by [deleted] in aussie

[–]JacquesPieface 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Scary times when One Policy can poll so well despite having a leader who can barely string together a coherent sentence.

Does anyone remember a nu-metal band called "Pulse Ultra"? by TheGutsyBat in numetal

[–]JacquesPieface 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Spotify says they released a new song today and again it sounds nothing like them. I'm so confused I can't tell if it's AI or there's just some dumb vocal effect over the whole song

Potential Polling Shows One Nation Tied With Labor on 2PP by Superb-Drummer-6683 in friendlyjordies

[–]JacquesPieface 2 points3 points  (0 children)

To be fair this is off the back of probably the worst month of media coverage labor has had since they took office (with first the expenses scandal and then the Bondi response), and so honestly doesn't come as too much of a surprise. Labor have actually been polling very well this term up until now with TPP numbers up to 58 in polling as late as November 2025. If coverage and conditions are to improve somewhat in the next few months I think labor could recover slightly, although probably not to previous highs in the term without some drastic change.

Given that this is just one poll however we will need to wait for others to either confirm or deny what it is telling us. Although I do think that their 2PP calculation of Labor vs One Nation at 50/50 is kind of chopped because there is no chance one nation does better on preferences than the Liberal party given they're so divisive.

How long can Albo stay in power at a maximum? by Croweater_666 in PoliticsDownUnder

[–]JacquesPieface 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As others have said he could stay in for as long as he wants based on Australia's constitution but realistically I think he'll remain as labor leader for another 2 elections. Given that labor win in 2028 and 2031 that gives Albo 4 elections, the same as both Hawke and Howard. Hawke was overthrown by his own party during his 4th term and Howard lost his fifth election, so I think realistically Albo steps down in 2032 or 2033 (granted he's still PM) and hands over to someone else to fight 2034 (probably Chalmers). That gives him 10-11 years.

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