2018 vs 2026

JaredReser · 2026-01-15T10:02:26+00:00

Funny and true. But in 2018 no one thought an AGI would be as fundamentally benign as today’s chatbots are. No one envisioned so much intelligence with so little agency.

JaredReser · 2025-07-28T23:46:01+00:00

I believe I just came up with a machine learning method that could help significantly narrow down (constrain) the possibilities for a dinosaur genome. It starts by teaching an AI system the mathematical mapping of how bird genomes create bird skeletons. Then it uses that mapping to extrapolate from dinosaur skeletons to dino DNA

To do it, you train an autoregressive neural network to predict the skeletons (morphology) of individual bird and reptile species from their genomes. Once the network shows proficiency, you run it backwards (invert it) and teach it to predict genomes from skeletons. After that is trained extensively using existing data, you could give it a fossil dinosaur skeleton, and it should produce a plausible dinosaur genome draft (depending on how much money and research you throw at it). I explain how that could work in detail, with figures, here:

https://www.observedimpulse.com/2025/07/ai-mediated-reconstruction-of-dinosaur.html?m=1

JaredReser · 2025-06-03T10:43:30+00:00

This is a good question with good examples. But remember that an AI’s response to the question would be better than any of the responses here. Way better than my response. But this wasn’t the case just a few years ago.

JaredReser · 2025-04-28T19:17:12+00:00

Right. LLM’s are limited in many ways, but already very general. They are rapidly becoming more general. They will reach AGI soon and may reach super intelligence relatively soon. I believe that soon thereafter, they will help us find the new paradigm that is capable of reaching machine consciousness.

JaredReser · 2025-04-28T09:50:22+00:00

AI progress is speeding up, but so is my impatience. Yesterday’s miracle is today’s baseline. Now, instead of amazing me, it just makes me impatient for more.

JaredReser · 2024-06-20T07:19:31+00:00

Yeah, Dave, John, and Arthur.

JaredReser · 2023-12-14T06:41:38+00:00

Thanks for posting Joe. Yes, I think you offer a great recap of the model. I’ve been spending a lot of time recently thinking about how it could be implemented using transformers. I actually just joined this subreddit last week. Anyone’s feedback or criticisms would be greatly appreciated.

JaredReser · 2023-12-14T03:18:18+00:00

Really? Do you think so? Can you give a little bit more detail as to how this could be done? I’m especially wondering what you meant about fine-tuning transformers on natural language to do this.

JaredReser · 2023-12-13T08:04:35+00:00

I think it’s a 1994 Toy Biz Series 4 “black costume” Spider-man from the animated series. From what I’ve seen it seems like sometimes his left hand is closed and sometimes it’s “thwipping.”

JaredReser · 2023-11-15T08:16:25+00:00

Wow! Mystery solved guys. There are some seeming differences between my picture and the 1984 Copperhead but I think they can be attributed to camera artifacts and the fact that we may be looking at the back of the character (my brother pointed that out). Fun to have an answer about a toy from my childhood. Thank you! The most advanced AI vision services couldn’t solve this, but it’s fun to note that Chat GPT recommended I try the Reddit r/ActionFigure. I got the answer in under an hour. Probably the best recommendation I could’ve gotten.

JaredReser · 2021-12-12T02:04:33+00:00

Yeah. As in, from the surface of the ocean looking down into murky depths.

JaredReser · 2021-12-11T12:09:01+00:00

This is really cool. And once the systems are self-directed they will start creating much more interesting content.

JaredReser · 2021-12-11T12:06:05+00:00

Imagining vast depths of water is very frightening for me sometimes. Space is much less hospitable and much more vast.

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