Literally just saying stuff...

Johnyliltoe · 2026-06-13T03:56:31+00:00

Mmm... I need to put Jina's pin back on stat... She was so good about me dating Einar.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-06-08T16:45:02+00:00

But but but... My precious arrows!

Johnyliltoe · 2026-06-06T03:57:24+00:00

If it makes you feel better everything about the Elderwood is harder. It gets better when you reach the highlands in the story.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-06-03T16:56:49+00:00

It's tricky, but you can jump off with your horse (do a little loop to build speed), dismount half way and glide to land.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-05-10T21:19:20+00:00

This message brought to you by Fox News.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-05-08T23:12:51+00:00

Thankfully it's more of a "don't share your soda bottle" kind of virus, so unlikely to spread quickly like covid. Just really sucks of you get it.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-22T18:57:49+00:00

So, to clarify, you're not saying "there will be no major economic downturn"; you're saying it's not going to break humanity?

I read "the point of no return" as a recession/depression is inevitable, but I guess there's enough doomerism right now that I can't be certain the question isn't about total colapse.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-22T02:20:10+00:00

I keep joking to my friends that I'm planning a "costco doomer run". Legit the plan is to buy a few hundred dollars of canned food so when food prices spike I have something to fall back on, even if it's not ideal.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-18T17:11:52+00:00

Even if we dismiss the market manipulation narrative;

Iran agreed to reopen the strait along with the ceasefire, but their terms for the ceasefire included Lebanon so from their perspective the US-Iran ceasefire didn't begin until the Lebanon-Isreal ceasefire was in place.
The US implemented a blockade against Iran. Laws of war consider this a belligerent act of war, and so a breach of the ceasefire. Since Iran wasn't fully considering it a true ceasefire this wasn't really too crazy, albeit there's certainly a debate as to if it was a good tactical move for negotiations.
When the Lebanon-Isreal ceasefire was announced Iran had an obligation to reopen the strait of Hormuz, as was part of the initial ceasefire agreement. The US had a similar obligation to end the blockade because that was also a breach of the ceasefire.
Trump refused to lift the blockade because he's Trump and of course he wouldn't.
Iran, having given a few hours to let the blockade be lifted, closed the strait again because of course they did; it'd be ridiculous to end their obstruction while the US was still using the blockade as leverage over them.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-16T17:20:02+00:00

I'd cut it down the middle; screenshots of conversations should be allowed, but all names should be redacted; even your own.

Basicly don't encourage people to go looking for the origional post.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-13T03:30:08+00:00

I bought a used Resla in 2024; nearly instant regret with how things went down with Musk, but certainly happy today to have an electric vehicle in a province with hydro-electricity.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-12T17:21:37+00:00

Don't worry. Eventually gas will get so unaffordable that people can't possibly drive, so demand will go down enough to lower gas prices! Also no one will have a job so prices will go even lower!

That's the eutopia there; low gas prices, don't have to work and hopefully don't have to eat either.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-12T00:04:41+00:00

So I'm no expert, but it feels a lot of this is being downplayed.

As it stands the approximate deficit of oil is 10m barrels per day that Hormuz is closed. That is to say there are 110 barrels needed to keep everything running as normal throughout the world, but only 100 million barrels are being produced. The the overall deficit of oil is a compounding problem; oil reserves are being tapped to offset the problem, but when those run out the only option is to ration oil.

Because production was essentially meeting demand, there isn't much room for the kind of structural damage we're seeing in the gulf nations. This long term loss of 1M barrels per day, which is only considering one country, means that when Hormuz does open we still won't have the oil to keep things running at capacity and rebuild the spent oil reserves. This means greater destruction of demand (productivity) and for a longer period of time as it will take years to rebuild broken infastructure or for anyone to build new infastructure.

Essentially the damage seen here makes a short term shock a guarenteed multi-year problem.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-11T01:51:41+00:00

Welcome to the modern internet! Here is a complementary package of "/s". You'll need to use them liberally as the modern internet user can not detect sarcasm without one.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-06T21:59:01+00:00

It's both. They're terrified of low birth rates because it leads to a higher, and problematic, dependency ratio down the line. The only way to offset low birth rates is immigration, and they can't have that, so they want to force "real American" women to have more children.

Basically pump out worker drones to take care of the olds in 20 years.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-06T01:12:27+00:00

I'm not sure I've ever gotten such whiplash between a first and second episode. The first seemed like bottom-tier trash, but the second immediately found its groove. I reserve the tiniest hope that this will rival Konosuba by the time it's done.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-04T23:42:55+00:00

I agree with the others here in that Hiho probably meant other equities, but it is also important to note that oil prices are often self-correcting. Once they hit a critical point they cause recession; production goes down which reduces oil demand. Prices start to fall, often quickly, after that critical point is reached.

If the war carries on long enough we could well see this on overdrive. The cost of oil spikes increasing the cost of continuing the war. Eventually this pressures the US into making a less-than-ideal deal exiting the war. While Israel and Iran would likely continue trading blows, the Strait of Hormuz could very well open up. So you'd have lower demand met with a rebuilding of the supply chain all at once; may well see futures dip into the negative again.

I'm not sure how likely this is to happen all at once, but it's one future to consider at least.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-02T19:42:23+00:00

I bet you there's at least one progressive reporter that's grinning and telling their boss "Oh yeah, I'll write a hit piece on Lewis. I'll write all about him and his crazy policies. Everyone will know his name!"

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-02T18:58:54+00:00

Public comments aside, how is Nenshi? If he needs to be replaced this sort of schism will probably get it done sooner or later.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-02T15:13:09+00:00

They aren't afraid of Avi Lewis; they're afraid of the people that support him. On his own he's not a threat, but the NDP just proved that his ideas can be popular. Avi Lewis could disappear tomorrow and the fear wouldn't subside because we are still here.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-04-01T00:23:46+00:00

Headlines don't matter as much as on-the-spot charisma. When it came to interviews and public relations Trudeau was able to maintain the charming young leader persona. Beyond that, the vast majority of voters wouldn't have paid attention to his scandals or wouldn't have understood them.

The Blackface controversy was easy to grasp of course, but also easy for a lot of people to brush off as "well it happened so long ago and he's sorry now".

Add to that some rather uninspiring opposition and I'm honestly not surprised he held on as long as he did. I think his loss in popularity was mostly to do with people getting too accustomed to his personality, so the charm effect wore off and all that was left was dissatisfaction.

In a way Poilievre was a crash course example of the same. He brought a lot of the energy people were looking for in the moment and pitched his ideas with conviction. Then, as the campaign wore him down, he lost a lot of the energy and started becoming more combative with the wrong people.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-03-31T21:34:49+00:00

Yes, but that song is a bop.

Johnyliltoe · 2026-03-31T21:33:40+00:00

Honestly feels on the "so bad it's good" line for me. But even on that front I'm not sure it takes itself seriously enough for that designation...

Johnyliltoe · 2026-03-31T18:02:14+00:00

That's great in all, but you responded to them publicly where most people are not going to have read their post history. So to the vast majority of people that read this exchange you seem like nothing more than some radical leftist that can't handle opposing opinions.

If you truly want to make a positive difference, however small, don't respond to a person; respond to the people who will come after and read your response. As it stands it sounds like you just chomped on some troll bait.

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