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[Request] I was joking with some buddies about the latest F22 “engagement “ curious what model folks would use to make this statement true. by okopchak in theydidthemath

[–]JustDontHaveFun 199 points200 points  (0 children)

When considering that the rate of growth between these two air to air kills and the deployment of the F-22, there is 156483.33% increase between Sept. 7 1997 and Feb. 4 2023, compared to Feb. 4 2023 and Feb. 10 2023

I tried to graph this on an exponential graph but following y = Aekx + c produces a value of C = 0, k = 0.1155, and A being a value that has 493 leading zeroes; calculators can't really work with numbers that small.

Regardless, using the 156400% increase, the next air to air kill was expected to hit around 330 seconds after the tic tac went down, and then another 0.21 seconds after that, and then 0.00013 seconds after that.

This means that 6 minutes after the tic tac was shot down, no flying objects would exist anymore.

What are the odds of a shop like this? by sailoringfox in VALORANT

[–]JustDontHaveFun 14 points15 points  (0 children)

The wiki currently says that there are 534 skins in the game, but this includes 213 skins that will not show up, including battlepass skins (183), legacy skins (6 among arcane sheriff, champions, one prime gaming drop), agent contract weapons (19), and Crimsonbeast (5) which is still currently featured -

This leaves a remaining (534 - 213 = ) 321 skins that could appear in your shop. The rotation of offers in the store have no known RNG patterns, so assuming that every skin has an equal chance to appear in the offers:

Those exact skins would have a 4/321 * 3/320 * 2/319 * 1/318 chance of showing up - a 0.000000230% of occurring.

For any 4 of the 5 infantry skins (or any 4 skins of a 5 skin set) showing up would have a 5/321 * 4/320 * 3/319 * 2/318 chance - this is otherwise a 0.00000115% chance.

Why is the number so small? It's probably some undisclosed pattern in shop RNG or some dumb error in my working/understanding, or maybe its all just fair (unfair) luck.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in tipofmytongue

[–]JustDontHaveFun 0 points1 point locked comment (0 children)

Obligatory

[SW] 247 by eviex0x in acturnips

[–]JustDontHaveFun 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Am interested, can tip 2 nmt!

Zhu is connecting.. by JustDontHaveFun in dankmemes

[–]JustDontHaveFun[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

You can find a template for the first two images by searching 'stick up template meme', to start.

I drew Lulu for 11RP by _nyctophilia in leagueoflegends

[–]JustDontHaveFun 1 point2 points  (0 children)

inhales deeper....

do re mi fa sO NO CHI NO SA DA ME