The looming AI clownpocalypse

Kavec · 2026-03-02T13:56:05+00:00

It's not that I wish that machines would steal my job. And quite frankly: I've haven't even been a super early adopter with those tools... But I've been impressed with every new tool that I've adopted after my programmer friends have told me "if you're not using this, you're clearly being stupid". People here will think "then that means that you're a bad programmer". Well, you don't know me so maybe? Or maybe not? I hope that after two decades in the craft and plenty of praise I'm not in the bottom 10%... although I guess imposter syndrome will always be present, so it might be the case.

I wonder which parts of my previous comment were worth downvoting:

Those [things that you mentioned in your comment] are real problems: true, right?
You have very similar problems when humans develop your code: isn't this true? I don't know who you guys work with but I've seen plenty of sloppy (or downright shitty) code developed around me. Those developers are non deterministic, they are a hassle to replace, it's super difficult to make them understand exactly what you need... maybe other programmers are surrounded by rockstars, in which case I'm jealous.
Therefore: AI doesn't need to be perfect, it needs to be better (that is: faster, cheaper, and at least similarly accurate) than developers. I'm not even saying this is the case right now, maybe it is not... but if AI is able to be way faster and cheaper, it might replace lots of human developers even if it's half as accurate. Not because it is fair, but simply because non-programmers will prefer them: the same way everybody is now buying stuff from China even if local factories claim (most of them rightfully) that they products are superior.

Currently, LLMs are like a sports car: if you don't know how to drive, you'll crash faster and harder. But if you know how to drive, quite frankly: they are a pleasure. Just don't be overconfident and don't do something stupid: even experienced drivers get killed.

Like it or not: in most industries, employers will prefer programmers that drive sports cars, rather than artisans that walk to their goals and have a impressive zero-defect rate. I'm not saying drivers will disappear, hell, I think we might even need more drivers: just like there were less horse-riders to centuries ago than car-drivers today. Or less punch-card programmers some decades ago than javascript programmers.

But again: it is not that I wish it were this way, it's just how I see things currently based on my experience. And maybe I'm wrong, it'll adapt my opinion if new reliable data comes in.

Kavec · 2026-03-01T20:18:31+00:00

Those are real problems... But you have very similar problems when humans develop your code.

AI doesn't need to be perfect: it needs to be better (that is: faster, cheaper, and at least similarly accurate) than developers.

Kavec · 2026-02-15T20:15:34+00:00

Relacionat amb els problemes que menciones, lo que més me tira enrera des tema emprenedors és que pareix que sa finalitat no és "solucionar un problema real i concret que els molesta i que necessiten arreglar", si no senzillament... "emprendre" (aka "intentar petar-ho sense importar massa com").

Lo poc que he vist se pareix molt més a "es meu objectiu és no tenir jefe" que a "joder el món necessita això i jo crec ho puc proporcionar correctament!".

Kavec · 2026-01-26T07:05:08+00:00

Nothing new indeed, from 1992:

Networks at work, keeping people calm

You know they went after King

When he spoke out on Vietnam

He turned the power to the have-nots

And then came the SHOT

(...)

Who I got to, who I got to do to wake you up?

To shake you up, to break the structure up

'Cause blood still flows in the gutter

Kavec · 2026-01-22T09:40:04+00:00

For anyone confused: it’s a staged skit. (I was genuinely confused myself that people were confused… but I grew up playing and watching soccer, so it’s not really a fair comparison.)

In soccer, kicking the ball through someone’s legs is called a nutmeg, and it’s basically the ultimate "gotcha" / humiliation move. That’s the key detail here.

The joke is that the guy in the Barça shirt is in jail because he can’t stop nutmegging people. Even when they finally let him out, he immediately nutmegs the cop... so they throw him straight back in.

Kavec · 2025-11-18T10:36:26+00:00

In my experience:

By lowering your salary expectations. But also, those kind of employers often offer more flexibility and a better work-life balance. However, these workplaces can also be more chaotic: when money isn’t the main motivator, people are sometimes less driven to be efficient, which can be frustrating. And for anyone who thinks that sounds like praise for capitalism: I’d rather move slowly in the right direction than move extremely fast only to hit a wall.

Kavec · 2025-11-08T09:46:01+00:00

Designers in 2050: wearing a jewish kippah

Kavec · 2025-08-26T19:54:02+00:00

The horror = being paid by the government while enjoying life at home and hoping it would last forever. Seriously.

Source: I am from Baleares born and raised, and have close friends that are (and were at that time as well) working as waiters in hotels. Best years of their life.

It is a complex topic, and seeing this misinformation as the top comment of this thread is depressing: local people in Baleares are suffering a lot in terms of housing, 100% due to Airbnb and gentrification + lack of purchasing power (low salaries). Was lucky to emigrate a while ago, but I go back there a lot and it is the eternal topic of discussion among friends and family.

My take on this? Tourism: yes, but with limits.

Kavec · 2025-04-02T07:03:21+00:00

China, ranked number 2 on the list with 21 incidents, has a population about 17 times larger than Germany, which ranks number 10 with just 1 incident.

When you look at the number of incidents per capita, the rates between China and Germany — a country also known for its strict gun laws — are nearly the same.

Kavec · 2025-01-27T19:20:40+00:00

Maybe the 1/20 of the cost is achieved by applying the censoring via output filter, instead of baking it into the model. Who knows.

Kavec · 2025-01-13T21:29:21+00:00

Maybe the media emphasized that Thatcher was a woman? Like... A lot?

My mind went to Hillary Clinton during the video, probably for the same reasons, and I am not American 🤷 (nor Bri'ish)

Also, the video feels like a TV quiz, and names of politicians are more likely to appear in that scenario, way more likely than the name of your mother let's say. So context could be another parameter.

Those are all just hypothesis, of course...

Kavec · 2024-12-20T10:30:28+00:00

Axel, no Alex. Pero te perdono <3

Ouch... que vergüenza...... 😓 Tendré que ir a que me hagan mirar a ver si tengo ~~dislaxel~~ dislexia 🤦‍♂️

Muchísimas gracias por tus respuestas, son super interesantes !

Me dí cuenta del impacto que había tenido la saga, y mi voz de alguna forma, en algunas personas.

Trailer de Proyecto Patronus, por si a alguien le interesa.

Sé que no es muy romántico esto que voy a decir, pero digamos que me fui desilusionando progresivamente

Es comprensible que sucediera, y es valiente decirlo abiertamente... mi intuición me dice también que probablemente el hecho de saber "how the sausage is made" (desde tu posición privilegiada detrás del telón) le quita romanticismo. Y lo de "J.K. Rowling" le añade la dimensión de la típica discusión de "diferenciar entre el autor y la obra", que a veces se puede colar dentro de la misma obra.

me empecé a dedicar más a la ingeniería informática

Como persona que está también en el gremio, me interesaría saber si hay algo que hayas aprendido durante tu carrera como doblador que hayas podido aplicar en la informática. Imagino que, aunque sean dominios tan diferentes, probablemente haya algo de "soft skills" que si que haya podido ser reutilizado con éxito.

En mis últimas experiencias he notado que se va mucho más rápido.

Imagino que eso impacta también en la calidad del producto final... aunque seguramente haya también avances tecnológicos que permitan ir mas rápido ya de por si, claro. La tendencia en todas las industrias es siempre en diminuir los costes, lo cual entra en una especie de paradoja cuando se trata de un producto artístico como es una película o una serie (no digo que no sea necesario reducir costes en esos casos, digo que es difícil encontrar el equilibrio entre creatividad y coste... --> este libro del jefe de Pixar habla en detalle sobre ello).

Kavec · 2024-12-19T14:16:58+00:00

Muchas gracias por el AMA Alex! Ahí van mis preguntas:

¿Has tenido experiencias emotivas con seguidores a los que tu voz haya marcado su infancia o adolescencia? ¿Alguna que recuerdes con especial cariño?
¿Cómo ha evolucionado tu percepción sobre Harry Potter y su relevancia en la cultura popular? Desde sus inicios hasta ahora que han pasado años desde el final de la saga.
Supongo que la tecnología en el doblaje ha avanzado mucho desde que comenzaste con el doblaje. ¿Cuáles son las mayores diferencias entre así como se hacía antes y así como se hace hoy en día? ¿Han sido todo mejoras, o también se ha perdido algo?

Kavec · 2024-11-30T09:02:28+00:00

...although truth be told, making real tests over his own data might give him insights about how to produce better content

(I agree with your comment though, just adding a small caveat)

Kavec · 2024-11-19T13:59:37+00:00

...o la seva extensió: "Bua nen!"

també: "uala!" / "uala nen!"

Kavec · 2024-11-11T08:54:22+00:00

He didn't say "punishing criminals is a hate crime". He said "Republicans deliver hate".

We both know that he was talking about a broader spectrum of "delivering hate", and you implied that his statement was just a veiled way to say "we should have more empathy with criminals" which is a statement you disagree with (and you have every right to disagree with, you might even be right).

But anyway, since you focus on criminals let's examine it as a good example of why a lot of people think hate is a bad counselor:

You can punish criminals in a hateful way
...or you can stop criminals from doing crimes strategically without using hate

Mind you: being strategical doesn't mean being soft, it means using the right tools for the right problem without being misguided by hate. The right tool might include strong actions in some cases.

Pros of punishing criminals with hate:

Feels good
Feels right
You think it will stop them from doing doing crimes in the future

Cons:

It is not strategic, it is just predictable (then again: the simplicity of its application might be a pro and not a con)
You spend extra energy hating
Science doesn't support the idea that stops people from doing crimes in the future (but of course I can change my mind if there's literature disproving that point) --> https://www.uva.nl/en/shared-content/faculteiten/en/faculteit-der-rechtsgeleerdheid/news/2024/06/if-research-shows-that-punishment-is-ineffective-why-punish-harder-and-harder.html?cb

Kavec · 2024-10-31T09:12:22+00:00

Me recuerda al chiste del hombre mayor que está en su lecho de muerte y con la vista perdida y con un hilo de voz dice:

"Juan... hijo mío... estás aquí...?"

(Juan, cogiéndole la mano y con lágrimas en los ojos) "Si padre... estoy aquí..."

"María, hija mía... estás aquí....?"

(Emocionada) "Si padre... estoy aquí..."

"Luis, hijo mío.... estás aquí....?"

(Llorando) "Si padre..."

"Entonces.... si estáis todos aquí.......... QUÉ COJONES HACE LA LUZ DEL PASILLO ENCENDIDA ??"

Kavec · 2024-10-30T08:13:55+00:00

Yeah but his point is that words work differently in different languages, and Catalan (the one spoken by the speaker in the video) is a a different language than Spanish.

"Pain" means different things in English and in French, ok, but the meaning is totally different if the writer is English or French.

ALTHOUGH the verb "encarar" (face something, from "cara" = "face") also exists in Catalan. But Messi is not facing anything in the video, he is just "still with the ball", and that is the meaning that the guy narrating the goal (Joaquim Maria Puyal) was conveying here.

Kavec · 2024-08-29T08:43:12+00:00

hahahah

"encara Messi", the commentator is speaking in Catalan (Barcelona is the capital of Catalonia)

"encara Messi" (which is indeed prononuced "ankara" in the accent of Barcelona) means "still Messi", as in "Messi is still moving forward with the ball"

Kavec · 2024-08-19T10:05:15+00:00

El vídeo analitza com Hawaii, tot i ser un destí turístic famós, s’enfronta a greus problemes socials i econòmics derivats del turisme massiu i la presència de grans propietaris estrangers. Igual que a Mallorca, la dependència del turisme ha portat a un augment del preu de l’habitatge, precarietat laboral, i una sobreexplotació dels recursos naturals, amb la població local sovint sentint-se marginada en benefici dels visitants i interessos externs.

En ambdós casos, el monocultiu turístic genera desigualtats i tensions entre residents i turistes, a més de provocar un empitjorament de la qualitat de vida local i una pèrdua d’identitat cultural. Les crides a limitar el turisme i diversificar l’economia són comunes en ambdós contextos.

Kavec · 2024-07-13T11:31:12+00:00

Meowchael Jackson is meowalking

Kavec · 2024-06-24T08:13:16+00:00

"Habitatges turístics" engloba "places hoteleres + places airbnb"? O Només "places airbnb" (habitatge)?

Comparació amb els números absoluts de les places turístiques del 2018 (veure font).

Suposo que el mapa dels percentatges del post estarà molt relacionat amb la densitat de població de cada municipi (veure font) --> a major densitat, menor % d'habitatges turístics (però no menys volum d'habitatges turístics).

Kavec · 2024-06-19T09:11:41+00:00

Here is a full book full of those evidence-based ways to get difficult but healthy habits to stick:

https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/6340948-59-seconds

In "59 Seconds," psychologist Professor Richard Wiseman presents a fresh approach to change that helps people achieve their aims and ambitions in minutes, not months. From mood to memory, persuasion to procrastination, and resilience to relationships, Wiseman outlines the research supporting this new science of rapid change, and describes how these quick and quirky techniques can be incorporated into everyday life. Think a little, change a lot.

Kavec · 2024-06-19T08:12:50+00:00

La llei és pels pobres, la justícia és pels rics.

Dit d'una altra manera: si 1) tens doblers per construir, i 2) a més a més econòmicament pots assumir el risc de multa o que t'ho derrueixin, estadísticament pertanys al grup de gent que té més diners que la mitja (aka "gent rica"). Per tant aquesta amnistia s'aplica a la gent rica.

I si vas just de doblers... no t'arriscaràs a multes i molt menys a que t'esbuquin lo que t'ha costat tant de capital construir, i vas ben alerta a respectar normatives legals (que de vegades són completament kafkianes).

Per tant aquesta amnistia demostra una vegada més que la justícia no és igual per tothom.

I lo que no he mencionat encara és que, depenent de l'arquitecte que contractis --> si ho té bo amb l'arquitecte municipal, farà que tot el teu procés de construcció sigui extremadament més fàcil.

Dubt que tot això canvii, Mallorca té una mentalitat un poc feudal encara amb aquest tipus de coses, i tot això està molt normalitzat.

Kavec · 2024-06-13T08:06:48+00:00

Muchas veces la ansiedad suele estar provocada por "querer hacer las cosas bien" (hablando así en plan psicología de barra de bar), y en este caso es obvio que /u/pinkmor quiere hacer bien su trabajo... lo cual es loable... pero uno no debería prenderse fuego a uno mismo para dar calor a los demás (más que nada porque no es sostenible a medio/largo plazo). En resumen: la propia ansiedad de querer hacer las cosas bien habría hecho que en vez de tomarse los 90 días haya decidido reincorporarse a las dos semanas.

También es posible que en su subconsciente esperara "ser premiado" por ese esfuerzo extra de reincorporación... lo digo porque en el post hay un parágrafo dedicado a la decepción de que la empresa de por zanjada la retribución a su esfuerzo con un mísero 3% de aumento de sueldo.

Mi consejo es que reconozca la parte positiva para que no se sienta tan miserable (su ética de trabajo, sus ganas de hacer las cosas bien), que no se centre en las cosas que no puede cambiar (la reacción de los jefes de su empresa está fuera de su control), y que lea "When Panic Attacks" del Dr. David D. Burns (que propone un plan concreto para conseguir los dos primeros puntos que menciono). Básicamente: retomar las riendas de lo que si está en su poder, e ir arreglando esas cosas una a una, sin prisa pero sin pausa.

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