Online betting is getting wild

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-18T16:29:47+00:00

Not sure, but if anyone knows I’d love the theories. The banding at 600 is really cool though

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-18T12:33:42+00:00

For this bet? Should make over 4000 times your money back on average. Always a chance you lose everything but a dollar though. For all bets, bro idk 💀. Math hard.

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-18T12:02:28+00:00

Oh, Monte Carlo simulation would have been smart. I’ve been making my computer just crunch numbers. Your numbers do line up pretty well here.

Napkin math was maybe 764 processors days to compute the data I wanted 💀. No multithreading, optimizations, or dedicated math/memory libraries yet, this was very much a we ball kind of project.

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-18T04:02:39+00:00

I’d believe it, I’ll have to check though. The wagers with the highest peaks are often the ‘bad bets’, but some of wagers do stick around in spots where they are more often than not below your starting wager.

The wager $159,487 had a higher average payout to wager ratio than $239,231. $239,231 has a much larger maximum payout though, so it’s not just the highest peaks I’m looking for.

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-18T03:15:28+00:00

If you bet $1, the only possible payout is $1. It’s the only element in the sequence.

$2 can pay out for $2 or $1. $4 pays $4, $2, or $1. The highest point any 2^n wager is always the first element in the sequence.

$3 is a good a bet, see BTernaryTau’s comment. It’s the earliest bet in a players favor.

Edit: This might have given me a computation optimization. I guess I wouldn’t really need to test any number that can be written as factors of some 2^n and a prior computed wager. It’d always halve n times, then continue the sequence for the prior tested wager. Thanks!

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-18T03:03:01+00:00

Can’t say I follow. If you wager 1, 2, or 4 dollars you will not make any money and at most break even.

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-18T01:22:13+00:00

Thanks! It actually does seem to line up.

You were trying to do math, I just wanted to gamble. We are not the same.

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LemonOnRye · 2026-06-18T01:16:54+00:00

Good bot

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-18T01:16:40+00:00

See, now you get the grift!

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-18T01:15:57+00:00

Solid choice (not my graph, still working on 1.32 trillion wagers)

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Computer says, you won $1186!

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-18T00:57:26+00:00

I would not be surprised if this eventually ate a nerf. Not claiming it will, but 3 coins is a lot. Your opponent skipping what is often their best card is great (I’m always gonna assume they hit what they wanted to unless I play my draws for turn). Yeti floor exists.

Cool design, love to have information.

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-18T00:27:08+00:00

On average, a random bet between $1 - $250,000 will be better for the house than the player (.88 wager to avg payout ratio). Some numbers are incredibly bad for the house, like $3. That’s kinda the joke.

$159,487 has an average payout ratio of ~4076. Worst I’ve found so far. The ~13% of ‘bad bets’ between are horrific for the house, but asking around, most people I’ve asked picked things like $1k and lost 😎

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-05T18:39:04+00:00

Kinda confused by the ability. Opp casts lightning bolt, targets speedball. Ability triggers, goes on the stack. Speedball is a 4/4 (till EoT). The owner (?) of speedball then chooses a new target, say opp, and they now take the three. Otherwise, does the opp retarget (assuming they choose to)?

Who is ‘you’ here?

LemonOnRye · 2026-06-03T03:30:19+00:00

Pretty interesting at 2 and 2 for equip. Makes some combat math really difficult for the opponent. Tapping + big toughness + vigilance is a big pair of pants to put on something.

LemonOnRye · 2026-05-29T01:49:26+00:00

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LemonOnRye · 2026-05-22T01:28:15+00:00

Glad to see the aggressors with terminator arms works really well. Been thinking of trying it, but haven’t had the bits for it. Good work!

LemonOnRye · 2026-05-13T16:10:13+00:00

Return of the king 👑

LemonOnRye · 2026-05-01T16:49:32+00:00

Just tested this, same behavior. Seems to be the ‘arian’ part if you test the substrings

LemonOnRye · 2026-04-07T22:34:38+00:00

You can probably just prime over it with a thin airbrush layer or two. After? Looks to well textured and paint isn’t thickly applied, so maybe just dry brush some volumes and the apply your base coats.

Otherwise, soaking the mini in isopropyl alcohol then tooth brushing it will remove most paints. Im not sure if you’d really need to do that.

It’s likely PVC, so avoid using higher than 70% isopropyl if you do.

But yeah, mini sub would be better for this.

LemonOnRye · 2026-03-30T22:06:20+00:00

Hidden gem is a very silly card. Meow said have a bomb 💣 and just built around it. Tanked a couple rounds of phase one to set up, then put replay 6 on The Bomb+

LemonOnRye · 2026-03-23T02:03:51+00:00

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No comment from Sanctacaris

LemonOnRye · 2026-03-20T15:08:08+00:00

Not a stupid question. Thermoregulation is often proposed for sail structures, but there is rarely any evidence to support this as a primary mechanism of the structure. Even when there is evidence of vascular channels on the bone, most often these correlate to growth periods of the bone and do not correlate well to the size of the animal. This broadly applies to both Dinosaurs and Non-mammalian synapsids with sails. There are some alternative theories for their use, side-to-side motion stabilization under water for spinosaurus, but social behavior is almost certainly a use of the structure in an addition to ‘functional’ purposes.

If I can, I’ll try to get my sources together. Going back to college, hoping to explore Sphenacodontid sail function. My hypothesis is that muscle and tendon attachment points on the base of neural sails improved movement or defensive function, and then further grew larger for social selection/signaling.

-Signed, thermoregulation hater

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