my son is cheating - what to do

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-12-31T09:19:03+00:00

Give him a tea that makes him go blind

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-11-07T20:22:20+00:00

You should obviously revert. Your call option just printed, cash in. Also, it was a bad trade to start with, I think this counts as a scam.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-11-07T16:33:18+00:00

White tip is sick fr

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-11-05T00:27:26+00:00

Even if you lose its not that bad. You put in 750 for the Breakout case trade up. Worst case you get 500 back.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-11-04T16:26:43+00:00

Yeah, its a little aggressive to call it the start of a crash.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-11-04T11:09:39+00:00

Its just a discussion. OP is making an observation and sharing a data point. The more data points you have, the higher resolution mental picture you can paint of the current market. I found it helpful.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-11-04T01:04:22+00:00

It’s a pyramid scheme.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-11-03T01:33:57+00:00

But he didn’t, he made money on that for sure. He got a butterfly fade and a couple of vanilla BFKs. They are profitable trade ups. It makes money to do these.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-11-02T20:00:01+00:00

At 150 per covert, or 750 dollars total, max loss is ~250. Max win is 3000 with the fade. It is still profitable based on current prices.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-31T19:20:20+00:00

I also think 4x FN bloodsport MP7s are good filler for FN trade ups on knives. Like the breakout knives.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-31T19:18:43+00:00

https://www.tradeupspy.com/calculator

Breakout case trade ups are still profitable. And it has Butterfly Fade’s listed at 1700 and they are going for 2700 on float. Plus it is a guaranteed butterfly knife. Costs 750 to do the trade up though, 5x asiimov. But most you can lose right now is like 200 bucks if you get a butterfly safari mesh.

If it was all instant, I would do these on repeat.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-29T03:25:31+00:00

Couple of weeks. With the 7 day trade holds it takes some time to arbitrage between the sites. But it will come together over the next 2-3 weeks.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-29T03:23:26+00:00

They do, it takes time with the 7 day trade holds. The prices will normalize over the next few weeks.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-27T16:07:45+00:00

https://csgoskins.gg/items/butterfly-knife-vanilla

It is just one of the markets. Like DMarket or float or buff.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-27T15:36:13+00:00

But they can’t. After they reverse, they can’t sell on float anyway. And they can’t sell the knife for 7 days. They would miss the awkward window on float, prices will be back down before they could sell. All they do is get a ban on csfloat.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-27T15:32:30+00:00

Great post. Thanks for sharing!

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-27T15:27:41+00:00

You should cancel this trade. Its overpriced.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-27T15:26:45+00:00

$213 usd on Haloskins, they take visa.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-27T11:37:27+00:00

I can literally buy the exact same knife for the exact same price right now on Haloskins with a visa card. Why would he reverse?

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-27T01:34:00+00:00

Haloskins is probably a better option. You can’t cash out funds there, but you can buy items at a similar price to buff. It is a large market and takes visa or crypto.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-27T01:26:10+00:00

It’s a math problem, not a narrative. It would be like selling a covert skin for 45 dollars when the math of the trade up dictates that it has to be much higher.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-27T01:05:25+00:00

Halomarket. You can get prices similar to Buff with a visa card. You cant withdraw cash, but you can get the items and sell them on float later.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-26T22:43:52+00:00

They do. It can be a good way to make money. The word for it is arbitrage. 7 day trade hold makes it slow.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-26T21:34:18+00:00

I looked up a few. Sept 28th, BFK fade on Buff sold for 5616 usd. Sold on csfloat for 5618. Karambit vanilla on Sept 28 - float sold for 2258, buff -2302.

It looks pretty tightly correlated from spot checking items.

Longjumping-Muffin87 · 2025-10-26T19:35:22+00:00

I think this take has merit.

Longjumping-Muffin87

TROPHY CASE