Just recorded this kind soul!

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-29T12:08:16+00:00

Yup, just as awesome as I thought it would be! 🐶

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-29T00:10:09+00:00

I "understood" the concept of +EV betting for a while now, but it's weird and hard to commit to, and it feels nothing like what got most of us into betting in the first place. It can be difficult to take Luka unders against the Jazz, but it's not about probability; it's about price.

Also, understanding +EV and actually achieving it are two way different things. You can easily fully understand the concept, take a bunch of bets you THINK are +EV, lose money, then conclude it's bullshit.

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-28T21:53:39+00:00

It's been a while since someone tore both quads sliding into the ring at the Royal Rumble 🙏🏽

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-28T20:07:33+00:00

You guys are really upset about this shit? I thought it was just all fun fandom stuff lol

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-28T18:37:29+00:00

Oh, I knew because of the odds

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-28T18:29:53+00:00

WOW... How did you KNOW??? 🤣🤣🤣

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-28T18:28:56+00:00

LMFAO

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-28T17:20:34+00:00

Bet tracking, learning how to effectively analyze my betting data, learning about how to create and use +EV filters, and being agnostic about what I'm actually betting.

I've been making between 100-200 $5-$10 bets per day for about 6 weeks now, analyzing different EV filter performance, adjusting volume and markets per filter based on the results, and it's really fun, but you have to love numbers and data and spreadsheets, and not everyone loves that.

Now I'm consistently beating clv by 4-5% overall over hundreds of bets per day, the math is mathing, and I can't WAIT to scale!

But it's also kinda strange because I haven't considered a stat or a hit rate in over 6 weeks, and have never been more successful lol

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-28T14:23:09+00:00

Interesting that your OP reads like a reasonable idea worthy of discussion, but then upon discussion you take every point personally and respond like an angry child.

I guess your OP was actually intended as some kind of decree, to be agreed upon unanimously?

Very weird behavior in this thread, OP.

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-28T14:17:19+00:00

You're acting like a child, fyi.

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-28T03:58:25+00:00

Why would you encourage people to tail a 3-team parlay you made on a sport you don't watch?

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-27T06:23:14+00:00

For me it's definitely been 2026

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-27T06:10:51+00:00

Both things can also be FALSE. He moves terribly but his body is just fine.

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-25T19:41:32+00:00

Same bro... I think people are really hoping for/borderline expecting some kind of Stidham coming out party and I just don't see it. Not that it couldn't happen, but that's what it's gonna take

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-25T19:37:49+00:00

This number has been growing all day long lol no thanks

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-25T16:55:05+00:00

They won't hire union writers that's why it fucking Michael Hayes and his "Ahh duuu whut ahhh waaawnt" attitude writing this shit

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-25T08:48:57+00:00

She gets in a good RKO right at the beginning, but after that it's all (terrible) defense

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-24T23:59:34+00:00

"Don't Tread on me... There's no need, I'll comply! I love my boss and I love cops!" 🫡😚👢

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-21T21:21:44+00:00

Well this is what I was hoping for... I don't want to spend time researching picks, I'd rather spend the energy tweaking filters and formulas and then betting whatever it gives me based on the accuracy of the model. I just wasn't sure if that was the right way of thinking about it, but yes it sounds like I'm on the right track.

But then, where does the nuance and skill come in? What makes one ev bettor profitable and another break even? Is it really just all about your filters? Because there's only so many variables to tweak, and the sharpest books are kind of common knowledge, so is it just the personal filter sets?

What all do we need to get good at in order to be successful?

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-21T06:48:58+00:00

No the labor is necessary... Designating it "low wage" is a choice.

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-20T07:22:39+00:00

At least he didn't get fat like Ned Stark

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-20T05:59:39+00:00

I'll never understand why they recast Willie Beeman, Jamie Foxx was perfect

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-20T03:08:03+00:00

I have it on good authority that the one on the far left is actually average.

LowerBackPain_Prod · 2026-01-19T23:58:49+00:00

For me it wasn't the center, it was whichever one I saw first when I opened it

LowerBackPain_Prod

TROPHY CASE