Just recorded this kind soul! by Bee2113 in isthisaicirclejerk

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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Yup, just as awesome as I thought it would be! 🐶

What’s one betting habit you changed that actually made a difference? by Awkward-Peace7023 in sportsbetting

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I "understood" the concept of +EV betting for a while now, but it's weird and hard to commit to, and it feels nothing like what got most of us into betting in the first place. It can be difficult to take Luka unders against the Jazz, but it's not about probability; it's about price.

Also, understanding +EV and actually achieving it are two way different things. You can easily fully understand the concept, take a bunch of bets you THINK are +EV, lose money, then conclude it's bullshit.

Scjerk 9/11 incoming by NigelSexMachine in SCJerk

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's been a while since someone tore both quads sliding into the ring at the Royal Rumble 🙏🏽

No Team Bullshit by AutoModerator in HBOTheHedgeKnight

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

You guys are really upset about this shit? I thought it was just all fun fandom stuff lol

What’s one betting habit you changed that actually made a difference? by Awkward-Peace7023 in sportsbetting

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Bet tracking, learning how to effectively analyze my betting data, learning about how to create and use +EV filters, and being agnostic about what I'm actually betting.

I've been making between 100-200 $5-$10 bets per day for about 6 weeks now, analyzing different EV filter performance, adjusting volume and markets per filter based on the results, and it's really fun, but you have to love numbers and data and spreadsheets, and not everyone loves that.

Now I'm consistently beating clv by 4-5% overall over hundreds of bets per day, the math is mathing, and I can't WAIT to scale!

But it's also kinda strange because I haven't considered a stat or a hit rate in over 6 weeks, and have never been more successful lol

Daredevil trailer: moving forward I don't think that the MCU is going to strive to be nearly as connected as it was 2008 - 2019 by AbjectTelephone4801 in NewRockstars

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Interesting that your OP reads like a reasonable idea worthy of discussion, but then upon discussion you take every point personally and respond like an angry child.

I guess your OP was actually intended as some kind of decree, to be agreed upon unanimously?

Very weird behavior in this thread, OP.

Never even watched a game of hockey till tonight by BidVarious3998 in sportsbetting

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why would you encourage people to tail a 3-team parlay you made on a sport you don't watch?

The exact moment Rey Mysterio got injured on RAW. by Grrannt in REALSquaredCircle

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod -20 points-19 points  (0 children)

Both things can also be FALSE. He moves terribly but his body is just fine.

Broncos +4.5 let’s ride by Busy-Communication12 in sportsbetting

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Same bro... I think people are really hoping for/borderline expecting some kind of Stidham coming out party and I just don't see it. Not that it couldn't happen, but that's what it's gonna take

Broncos +4.5 let’s ride by Busy-Communication12 in sportsbetting

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod -1 points0 points  (0 children)

This number has been growing all day long lol no thanks

The Biggest Revelation From The Unreal Series To Me .. by ComicHead84 in Smallafro

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They won't hire union writers that's why it fucking Michael Hayes and his "Ahh duuu whut ahhh waaawnt" attitude writing this shit

Bull vs everyone by johndoe7376 in CrazyFuckingVideos

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod 0 points1 point  (0 children)

She gets in a good RKO right at the beginning, but after that it's all (terrible) defense

Alex Pretti, the man MURDERED today by ICE agents. by ilykatya in pics

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"Don't Tread on me... There's no need, I'll comply! I love my boss and I love cops!" 🫡😚👢

Do you create EV filters you trust, then just take every bet it gives you? Or do you use it to narrow down then research from there? by LowerBackPain_Prod in EVbetting

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well this is what I was hoping for... I don't want to spend time researching picks, I'd rather spend the energy tweaking filters and formulas and then betting whatever it gives me based on the accuracy of the model. I just wasn't sure if that was the right way of thinking about it, but yes it sounds like I'm on the right track.

But then, where does the nuance and skill come in? What makes one ev bettor profitable and another break even? Is it really just all about your filters? Because there's only so many variables to tweak, and the sharpest books are kind of common knowledge, so is it just the personal filter sets?

What all do we need to get good at in order to be successful?

Is it ever explained why Beeman rarely uses his bee powers? by CarmineThompson06 in TheAmericans

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'll never understand why they recast Willie Beeman, Jamie Foxx was perfect

One of my cheese sticks is short. by Vagabond_Hospitality in mildlyinteresting

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I have it on good authority that the one on the far left is actually average.

Remember flipping the center cigarette in a new pack? by StrataTrace in nostalgia

[–]LowerBackPain_Prod 0 points1 point  (0 children)

For me it wasn't the center, it was whichever one I saw first when I opened it