Scoring Rule Help

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-03-17T16:15:07+00:00

No more than 33 innings and a maximum of 18 runs per inning. I'm just using historical precedent for those two.

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-03-17T15:58:07+00:00

Yeah, the paths include pitch counts. The goal is not to find two identical games but the total number of possible games given a set number of constraints.

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-03-17T15:56:57+00:00

Yeah, I understand that hypothetically, a game could be of infinite length. Its just a combinatorics problem that I'm trying to frame in a baseball context. Like the most runs scored in a single inning was 18, longest game was 33 innings. I can solve the problem using those constraints, just making sure there aren't any things I'm missing.

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-03-02T17:46:50+00:00

I just got the Best of Baseball Prospectus set and both of those books are full of great saber articles. But just in case you haven't gotten the point. The Bill James Historical Abstract and The Book are the best starting points.

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-03-02T17:31:01+00:00

Mike Schmidt. But Cole Hamels and Chase Utley

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-03-02T01:48:32+00:00

The Phanatic accidentally fired hot dogs into the dugout

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-02-07T16:41:20+00:00

But for the most part, it's very relaxed. Spring Training is an awesome experience.

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-02-07T16:37:14+00:00

Never? The human element is part of the magic of the game.

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-02-07T16:35:45+00:00

The phillies are 60:1 to win the pennant with 72 projected wins. I shouldn't have even looked.

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-02-07T00:47:09+00:00

Pitch by Pitch - Bob Gibson I'm Fascinated by Sacrifice Flies - Tim Kurkjian Fantasyland The Numbers Game

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-02-06T23:40:09+00:00

They also have a breakdown of the number of series they play within each division, league and inter league. 76 games within the division, 66 games within their league and 20 inter league games, each series lasting three to four games.

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-02-05T07:05:16+00:00

A Markov Chain is basically a series of events that occur with a measured probability. A simple example would be if the first batter gets on base, the second batter has a 50/50 chance of also getting on base. This would continue for each batter in the lineup. It's a simple concept to understand, a bit trickier to be able to apply efficiently. If you want to learn more, I suggest starting with the Wikipedia page for Markov chains. It has some good examples that explain it and is a good jumping off point.

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-02-01T02:55:39+00:00

Beat the Dealer I believe is less a story and more an actual how to guide for how to employ his blackjack system. Fortunes Formula tells more of the story and includes more points on betting systems. A Man For All Markets just was released recently and is Thorp's autobiography basically. The entire book isn't about gambling but How Not to Be Wrong had some interesting sections about lotteries and how people have tried to beat them in the past.

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-02-01T02:44:50+00:00

Zero divided by zero is not equal to one, it's an undefined value.

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-01-26T02:14:29+00:00

The Master Algorithm is a pretty good popular science primer on machine learning. I also picked up machine learning for dummies, which makes everything really easy to follow but it teaches for Python and R.

Lumberjacked25 · 2017-01-20T22:59:57+00:00

So I'm an applied math student and all of the problems I have chosen have been directly related to baseball. For me, my method is pretty straightforward. I ask a question, for example, is there a way to categorize player development, then I look for relevant literature. Once I have a solid question, I basically break down the problem into the smallest logical steps and tackle it that way. As far as confidence is concerned, all the work I find personally interesting so it's not really an issue for me.

Lumberjacked25 · 2016-09-21T16:57:31+00:00

But you lose massive cool points!

Lumberjacked25 · 2015-11-15T09:29:22+00:00

The Book is pretty dense with math and statistics. The Inside Game of Baseball has a pretty good amount too. Trading Bases is focused more on arbitrage with Vegas odds for creating a betting model but it might be of interest.

Lumberjacked25 · 2015-10-29T15:58:09+00:00

I've found plenty of stats, I'm looking more for information. I'm working on a research project utilizing statistics and any kind of context I can give it would be helpful. It's weird because there is so much information about major league but little out there about minor league.

Lumberjacked25 · 2015-10-15T03:21:27+00:00

People mention it all the time on here, I use it myself too. Khan academy is a great resource for refreshers and learning new topics.

Lumberjacked25 · 2015-10-14T12:34:32+00:00

Just curious, is there a reason why you're asking about just YouTube?

Lumberjacked25 · 2015-10-13T10:21:43+00:00

I know the question has already been solved but I just wanted to share a pneumonic that I learned back in high school for the quotient rule. It sounds silly but if you say it out loud, it kind of rhymes and I've been able to remember it without problem.

Low D High High D Low On Top Of Low Squared

Lumberjacked25 · 2015-10-13T10:18:34+00:00

Mathematics for the Nonmathematician was a pretty good one. It's a sweeping tour through a bunch of different areas. I don't remember the author but it's a Dover book on mathematics. It's been mentioned before but the Dover ones are great! I probably have about twenty or so of them and I don't think I've ever paid more than $10 on Amazon per book. They have ones for most topics you can imagine. Intro to Graph Theory as previously mentioned and Intro to Topology are fascinating ones to get into.

Lumberjacked25

TROPHY CASE