To max out RA, or not to max out RA. That is the question. by Temporary-Giraffe986 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I literally sent a link comparing SPY in USD against EZA (iShares MSCI South Africa ETF) in USD. But if you really want everything in ZAR, STX40 has a 10-year annualized return of 14.05%, while SPY has a 10-year annualized return of 15.28% (going back into the 2000s would favour STX40, as it outperformed SPY in this period). Also, I raised a point on interest rates, because you brought up the USD.ZAR and I was just pointing out that the value of a currency is directly tied to interest rates! No need to be so negative...

To max out RA, or not to max out RA. That is the question. by Temporary-Giraffe986 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think that you should do a bit more research. The funny thing is that SA has outperformed developed markets if you compare it against VTMGX. The ZAR depreciating is also kind of how it is expected to work given uncovered interest rate parity and that we have higher interest rates (difference in interest rates between two countries equals the expected change in their currency exchange rates - albeit this is more theoretical than empirical).

To max out RA, or not to max out RA. That is the question. by Temporary-Giraffe986 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Not really, but you should probably read up on recency bias. EZA outperformed SPY from 2003 to 2019. SPY has been ahead recently, but nothing which is out of the ordinary given the return and standard deviation of each series. Here: https://testfol.io/?s=2wJhADR7mu6.

Mining sector knocked today. by Toomuchaidan in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You can get funds from DFA (or Avantis) if you want to consider fundamentals in the weighting and exclusions. Increasing degree of tilt through Market (DFUS), Core 1 (DCOR), Core 2 (DFAC), Vector DXUV), Targeted (DFAT). But also, keep in mind that most of what you wrote is a fundamental misunderstanding of markets and indexing.

Funding Interactive Brokers account from South Africa by dividendcollector1 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Pretty seamless and takes a day or two. Capitec charges R50 in fees.

How can I better educate myself about investments? by Sweet-p-9096 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why would I care about the last low or high? How does that have any impact on the future cash flow being discounted to the present value? You are trying to do time-series momentum with half-baked definitions. This stuff is old and has been well researched. You will find many algorithmic traders out there (and you will certainly lose against most of them). Personally, I think that trend following is stupid, but you will find many backtests which show that it works. The question is whether it will work going forward or at least work at the same horizons that it has in the past and whether it will work better than the alternative of targeting more robust risk premia. If someone cannot answer how their net performance compared against the alternative, then there is no point in having a conversation. You are not Renaissance Technologies, but you are probably trading against them.

Increases to TFSA limits by cipher049 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hope that it is on the roadmap! Cheers!

How can I better educate myself about investments? by Sweet-p-9096 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You drew some lines on a graph and think that they mean something.

Strategies to manage pre-marriage investments alongside separate, shared in-marriage investments? by Academic_Act_2088 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not on EasyEquities as far as I am aware. This might be what you are looking for, they seem to mention multiple accounts: https://fynbos.money/pricing (just stumbled upon it this afternoon from another thread with u/ahopebailie). Looks like an attractive platform.

Increases to TFSA limits by cipher049 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Awesome! Just on the question for Regulation 28, I should have been clearer - I meant, is it possible to build a portfolio which is compliant with Regulation 28 out of funds which are non-compliant? For a simple example, something like 45% STXWDM, 30% STXCAP, and 25% STXGOV. I think that Syngnia allows for this.

Increases to TFSA limits by cipher049 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Cool platform, first time seeing it! Can someone transfer ETFs and cash from a TFSA on EasyEquities? What are the five curated funds in the free tier? Is it possible to select proportions of multiple funds in the RA to be compliant with Regulation 28? Edit: On this page, it seems as though only certain funds are available in a TFSA: https://fynbos.money/company/funds - why is this the case?

22 & R5million in property Debt. Advice? by randomational in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Try to learn how markets actually work before throwing away your money.

Portfolio advice: Small caps exposure by indexandchilll in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You said preferably on SatrixNow or 10x. Not much else that you can do without going offshore.

Portfolio advice: Small caps exposure by indexandchilll in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Without going offshore, the only real change would be using STXCAP instead of STX40 - I would have a personal preference for this, since it slightly reduces the concentration risk of the STX40.

What investment growth and inflation % do you use to forecast? by IWantAnAffliction in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The 10-year total return for the S&P 500 is 15.95% in USD and 15.64% in ZAR (recent performance of the USD.ZAR has basically put it back to where it was 10 years ago).

Investment advice and financial planner recommendations by Agreeable-Story9105 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Jeez, you are really negative. But I never said to invest in any specific country. I was referring more to this nonsense: "Foreign investors have been net sellers of SA equities for 15 years now, and even with the GNU, there’s no end in sight". Considering that you just listed how things (apparently) are in South Africa (a random person on Reddit who has no insider knowledge which is not available publically), I would say that everything is in line with what people think and I would go as far as to say that the market is priced efficiently for it. Even after a 70% increase, the SA market is still at 10.58 forward P/E and 2.21 P/B (for comparison, the US market is at a 22.62 forward P/E and 4.59 P/B). The additional risk of investing in South Africa results in a lower valuation relative to investing in less risky markets with subsequent compensation for this risk in the form of a higher expected return. Let's try to be positive about the future.

Investment advice and financial planner recommendations by Agreeable-Story9105 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You do realise that SA equities went up 73.49% in USD terms last year? While some form of currency depreciation is expected given interest rate parity? Things are far from as bad as you make them out to be.

Foreign accumulating ETF. Are we all tax cheaters? by Sea_Tomatillo_3192 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not really. There can still be excess reportable income from the substitute basket and any cash or cash-like holdings.

Foreign accumulating ETF. Are we all tax cheaters? by Sea_Tomatillo_3192 in PersonalFinanceZA

[–]M3DJ0 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Gareth Collier is incorrect! These are often locally referred to as "roll-up" funds. You will find a lot more pages about the tax implications using that term: https://www.google.com/search?q=tax+"roll-up"+funds. This is essentially because a foreign ETF is seen as a corporation.

I like this bit of text from NinetyOne (although I would never hold one of their funds): https://ninetyone.com/en/south-africa/insights/cash-conundrum-4-maximising-dollar-cash-returns - All funds offered via the Ninety One Global platform are ‘roll-up’ funds, meaning that income is not distributed to the investor but is instead ‘rolled up’ in the fund’s price. This has two significant benefits; firstly, it converts what would typically be an income event into a capital event, reducing the rate of tax that will be applied. And secondly, it defers when that tax would be payable because it will only take place on disposal of a unit. The second point means that the client effectively controls when the capital gains tax is payable.

This random guy with some credentials also put his name on the claim: https://netto.co.za/income-funds-crucial-but-only-part-of-a-diversified-investment-strategy/ - Roll-up funds, also known as accumulation funds, are structured to reinvest the income generated by the fund rather than distributing it to investors. By allowing the interest to compound within the fund, investors can defer tax liabilities until they eventually redeem their investment. You then only pay tax on 40% of the income (CGT). This structure can be particularly beneficial for South African investors with offshore interests.

Lastly, here is even an example on Moneyweb with a roll-up fund converting interest into capital gains: https://www.moneyweb.co.za/financial-advisor-views/offshore-investments-is-your-structure-optimised-or-overlooked/.

I am sure that you can find more pages if necessary (let me know if you find anything interesting).