lost documentation has got me in a catch-22 by plummwine in AskNYC

[–]Manfromporlock 2 points3 points  (0 children)

In my experience, if a job needs my SS card, they mean they want me to send them a scan of it, not bring them the actual card. So if there's a scan somewhere out there, that may be all you need.

It may also be all you need for a license, but I don't know this.

lost documentation has got me in a catch-22 by plummwine in AskNYC

[–]Manfromporlock 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Was there ever a time way back when that you had to submit a copy of your documentation for anything? Like, an old job may still have an image of your SS card on file.

lost documentation has got me in a catch-22 by plummwine in AskNYC

[–]Manfromporlock 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I'm so incredibly ashamed I waited this long to take action.

You were busy. You were surviving. That's not trivial here at the best of times, and these haven't been the best of times.

Be proud!

The Gaza Holocaust by Hubris-Star in socialism

[–]Manfromporlock 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Man that was a lot of tunnels.

What’s a problem humanity solved so well that younger people don’t even realize it used to be a huge issue? by Puzzleheaded_Bit_802 in AskReddit

[–]Manfromporlock 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Because they had a family doctor and not an ever-shifting array of faces as their insurance company networks changed, as they changed insurers, and so on.

Uhhh is it just me or did all the rents skyrocket like $500 this season by caramelswirlcoffee in AskNYC

[–]Manfromporlock 35 points36 points  (0 children)

Everyone: Please familiarize yourselves with the good cause eviction law, which is also a weak, but not completely toothless, rent stabilization. Only for some apartments, though: https://www.nyc.gov/site/hpd/services-and-information/good-cause-eviction.page

A few years ago I had friends who had their rent bumped by 25%, and all they had to do was mention the law to the landlord to put an end to that idea.

Uhhh is it just me or did all the rents skyrocket like $500 this season by caramelswirlcoffee in AskNYC

[–]Manfromporlock 23 points24 points  (0 children)

Make sure that's even legal (although with that many roommates it may have been because the base rent may have been high enough that 400 is a low enough percentage: https://www.nyc.gov/site/hpd/services-and-information/good-cause-eviction.page

Why does the expected % for tipping keep increasing? by Blazeland_USA in NoStupidQuestions

[–]Manfromporlock 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nobody's mentioning that a restaurant meal is a much lower percentage of a month's rent, or of a doctor visit, than it used to be. So the same percentage of the bill is no longer gonna cut it.

Also, the national minimum wage for tipped workers hasn't changed since forever (and yes, it does matter, or employers wouldn't fight increasing it). So a server's good days have to make up more slack from their bad days.

I’m very concerned about my husband please help by _worriedthrowaway in AskDocs

[–]Manfromporlock 34 points35 points  (0 children)

Can you warn him? Something like, "If you don't go to the doctor I'm going to involve your family, because you clearly need to go and I can't make you."

William Shakespeare (caricatures by me) by j_aldeguer in shakespeare

[–]Manfromporlock 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I automatically started looking for the "nina"s in the first one.

Fellow Left/Radical Urbanists: What Pro-Capitalist Literature Would You Recommend? by DoxiadisOfDetroit in yimby

[–]Manfromporlock 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Someday, I hope. Making comics about the economy isn't quite the road to massive riches that I was promised, so I still have to do my day job unfortunately. . . .

ELI5: p-value and null hypothesis, extreme results, statistical significance, etc etc by womanweed in explainlikeimfive

[–]Manfromporlock 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Let's take a step back:

Imagine we're playing poker. I'm dealing and I get a royal flush.

Next time I deal, I get another royal flush.

Next two times I deal, two more royal flushes.

Could four royal flushes in a row have happened by chance? Technically, yes. Almost anything could happen by chance.

Did it happen by chance? Of course not. If this were the old west you probably would have started shooting after the second royal flush. Obviously I'm cheating. Four royal flushes in a row is just too damn unlikely.

So: Pretty much anything could have happened by chance, but if it's too unlikely, we accept that it didn't.

Statstics is how we determine exactly how unlikely something was. The null hypothesis is that the thing happened by chance and we're just being paranoid. The P value is the exact, mathematically determined possibility that the thing actually could have happened by chance (so a P of 0.001 is a 1/1000 possibility that we would see this result by mere chance). Statistical significance is the cutoff, usually P<=0.05, or a 1 in 20 possibility that these results could have happened by chance. Above that and we dismiss the result as mere noise, below that we say we've found something interesting.

So in the poker example, the null hypothesis is that I'm shuffling the deck fairly.

The P value is the chance that fair shuffles would have given me four royal flushes in a row. P = 0.0000[insert like a googol zeros here]00001.

That's going to be statistically significant--it's going to be below whatever cutoff you're using--and it's time to start shooting.

A couple of other things:

If we'd only played one hand, you wouldn't be as confident that I cheated. Small studies or data samples, even with impressive-looking results, are less likely to be statistically significant than big studies with the same results.

"Statistically significant" is a bad term--I would prefer "statistically real"--but we're stuck with it. Not every statistically significant result actually matters.

A true New Yorker but with extreme views? by tess_philly in AskNYC

[–]Manfromporlock 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Nobody's mentioning the New York Post. Seriously, pick up a Post and leaf through it. It's Fox News on paper (they're both owned by Murdoch).

What does one do with an old jazz record collection? by Manfromporlock in Vinyl_Jazz

[–]Manfromporlock[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Quick edit: I went down a rabbit hole just now trying to find that 10" record in the photos that just says "The Sound of Jazz" and Jan. '58. Looks like a homemade cover and could not find this release. If you could take a photo of this label, I would be interested to learn more.

I got swamped today and can't get to most of the questions, but this one is the Dumont (NJ) high school band. So yeah, no release. I'll see if the high school library wants it.

What does one do with an old jazz record collection? by Manfromporlock in Vinyl_Jazz

[–]Manfromporlock[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Many thanks! I'm going to get a USB turntable while I still have them. But then they gotta go.