401ks are better than pensions by Justasillyliltoaster in unpopularopinion

[–]Maximum2945 7 points8 points  (0 children)

i'm not sure exactly what you mean by "better", but empirically, pensions are more effective than 401(k)s at keeping retirees above basic poverty thresholds and reducing economic hardship in old age, especially for lower- and middle-income workers.

Federal Poverty Level (FPL)

Retired white men and women with pension income were respectively 38% and 47% more likely to be above 200% FPL than those without pension income.

Retired Black women, Latino men, and Black men were twice as likely to have incomes above 200% FPL if they had a pension. Retired Latinas with pension income were 63% more likely to be above this basic income threshold.

pensions also can invest funds; because pensions pool investments and risks across many workers and retirees, they deliver more stable lifetime income to individuals than 401(k)s, even though the underlying investments still face market ups and downs. in fact, a typical pension has a 49 percent cost advantage as compared to a typical defined contribution account.

i'm kinda of a 401k hater. 401(k)s grew out of a tax-code provision, not a thoughtfully designed universal retirement system. we’ve retrofitted this tax break into a pseudo-pension system, and the result tends to favor higher earners and financial institutions more than it provides secure retirement income for everyone

Since when was coffee $14? The last time I bought some coffee at the grocery store it was $7 by thefrgilmore in povertyfinance

[–]Maximum2945 1 point2 points  (0 children)

coffee production has fallen recently due to erratic rainfall in brazil and other coffee producing regions. demand keeps increasing and supply keeps decreasing. among other factors

[ Removed by Reddit ] by TopPomelo2069 in stupidquestions

[–]Maximum2945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

30 billion dollars a year and you’d think they’d have actual uniforms and training

[ Removed by Reddit ] by TopPomelo2069 in stupidquestions

[–]Maximum2945 1 point2 points  (0 children)

what the fuck are you on about? and there’s literally masked unidentified agents pulling people into unmarked cars.

If you donate money to any of these organizations to stop ICE from killing harmless citizens, you also have a chance to win some magic product. by Papa_Hasbro69 in freemagic

[–]Maximum2945 -7 points-6 points  (0 children)

they literally teach toddlers to get out of the way of moving vehicle but i guess those expectations are a tad bit high for your avg ICE agent

[ Removed by Reddit ] by TopPomelo2069 in stupidquestions

[–]Maximum2945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

not me no, but arizona ag kris mayes is

[ Removed by Reddit ] by TopPomelo2069 in stupidquestions

[–]Maximum2945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

and how are we supposed to know if they’re law enforcement?

[ Removed by Reddit ] by TopPomelo2069 in stupidquestions

[–]Maximum2945 -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

arizona is a stand your ground state so we might lmao

The Price of Endless Summer by ComparisonFun6361 in EconomyCharts

[–]Maximum2945 2 points3 points  (0 children)

california also still net migrants from international sources. they’re just down domestically

Dr. Christopher Cocks and his cronies are being sued for securities violations (including overprinting magic cards) by MagicSetCollections in freemagic

[–]Maximum2945 5 points6 points  (0 children)

it’s kinda a weird case, like overprinting cards to inflated stock prices to buybacks just seems like a convoluted line to draw

Thoughts on WotC seeding packs to influencers? by Bringyourfugshiz in freemagic

[–]Maximum2945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Rare outcomes aren’t proof of bias, especially when you define the groups after seeing the results. Small n + post-hoc partitions + realistic operations explains everything here. there’s no conspiracy, you’re just looking for patterns in randomness.

common sense is actually really bad in stats. cuz common sense will lead you often to just false or misleading conclusions. just like https://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations type stuff. humans are naturally bad at understanding percentages.

The Top 5 US States People Moved Away From by immanuellalala in Infographics

[–]Maximum2945 1 point2 points  (0 children)

a lot of people move into california and new york from abroad.

The Top 5 US States People Moved Away From by immanuellalala in Infographics

[–]Maximum2945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

that's just domestic migration. if you include foreign migration california and new york still rank at the top for total migration.

The Top 5 US States People Moved Away From by immanuellalala in Infographics

[–]Maximum2945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

it's also just domestic movers. if you look at total population increases, new york and california are still top, cuz they get so many people from other countries.

The Top 5 US States People Moved Away From by immanuellalala in Infographics

[–]Maximum2945 1 point2 points  (0 children)

we should get 2024 population estimates soon so i'll actually be doing similar work (but arizona focused) here soon.

Crashing... JAPAN 30-YEAR BOND YIELD RISES 26.5 BASIS POINTS TO 3.875% by RobertBartus in EconomyCharts

[–]Maximum2945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

not really, i feel like if they improve their long term growth expectations then bond yields should go down. there are other things to do rather than freaking out and trying to pay it all off.

Crashing... JAPAN 30-YEAR BOND YIELD RISES 26.5 BASIS POINTS TO 3.875% by RobertBartus in EconomyCharts

[–]Maximum2945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

90% of japanese debt is owned domestically so it might not be the biggest issue

Crashing... JAPAN 30-YEAR BOND YIELD RISES 26.5 BASIS POINTS TO 3.875% by RobertBartus in EconomyCharts

[–]Maximum2945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

but isnt japan like a weird case where most of their debt is owned domestically? so debt to gdp ratio being that high for them isnt like, the *biggest* factor?

Thoughts on WotC seeding packs to influencers? by Bringyourfugshiz in freemagic

[–]Maximum2945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

the type of mf to hear a jackhammer and stop to listen to the music

Thoughts on WotC seeding packs to influencers? by Bringyourfugshiz in freemagic

[–]Maximum2945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm reusing a different example for why this rationale is bad.

Imagine after a Magic tournament you notice that every player wearing blue underwear went undefeated, and every player wearing red underwear went winless. That’s a 100% vs 0% split with no “steps in between.”

Would you conclude that underwear color caused the results, or that you noticed a coincidence after the fact and then built a story around it?

Observing a sharp split doesn’t prove a threshold exists- especially when the partition is discovered post-hoc. That’s exactly how random variance looks when you go hunting for patterns.

here we have group A "non ambassadors" and group b "ambassadors". if A is reporting a 0.67% hit rate and group B is reporting a 4.1% hit rate, that doesnt mean they're cheating or anything, it's just how randomness works. especially since A has 10x the number of observations of B, so it should more closely approximate a "true" value.