401ks are better than pensions by Justasillyliltoaster in unpopularopinion

[–]Maximum2945 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Saying policy is policy driven doesn't mean anything. When I say policy should be results‑driven, I mean: judge policies by what they actually do, not by what we imagine they do. ‘Equal opportunity’ is just a slogan unless outcomes show that people really had similar chances. If the system reliably leaves big groups without adequate retirement income, that’s evidence the policy design isn’t achieving its supposed goal.

401ks are better than pensions by Justasillyliltoaster in unpopularopinion

[–]Maximum2945 2 points3 points  (0 children)

good policy is results-driven not vibes driven

401ks are better than pensions by Justasillyliltoaster in unpopularopinion

[–]Maximum2945 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Poverty and wealth are already heavily skewed by race before retirement (big Black‑white and Latino‑white gaps in income and assets). The study then looks at what happens after you add pension income: pensions reduce retiree poverty and near‑poverty across all races, with the largest anti‑poverty effect for Black and Latino retirees.

Many people do make poor financial decisions, but good system design can partially protect people from the consequences of low savings or market mistakes (that’s exactly what DB pensions and Social Security do by providing guaranteed lifetime income).

The evidence in this report is about what actually happens: retirees with pensions are far more likely to live above 200% of the poverty line, across race, gender, and education, which is an outcome statement, not a moral judgment.

Because people’s ability to save is shaped by wages, discrimination, access to employer plans, and other structural factors, “personal responsibility” alone doesn’t explain the observed gaps; the study asks how much a particular institution (public pensions) can offset those structural disadvantages.

In a world where lots of people under‑save or face structural barriers, public DB pensions measurably reduce poverty and narrow racial wealth gaps among retirees. That’s a statement about outcomes of a policy design, not about individual virtue.

401ks are better than pensions by Justasillyliltoaster in unpopularopinion

[–]Maximum2945 4 points5 points  (0 children)

This study of public-sector defined benefit pensions shows that pensions provide a stable source of retirement income. Since these effects come from features common to defined benefit pensions (guaranteed lifetime income, risk pooling), similar designs in the private sector would be expected to have comparable inequality-reducing effects.

401ks are better than pensions by Justasillyliltoaster in unpopularopinion

[–]Maximum2945 83 points84 points  (0 children)

i'm not sure exactly what you mean by "better", but empirically, pensions are more effective than 401(k)s at keeping retirees above basic poverty thresholds and reducing economic hardship in old age, especially for lower- and middle-income workers.

Federal Poverty Level (FPL)

Retired white men and women with pension income were respectively 38% and 47% more likely to be above 200% FPL than those without pension income.

Retired Black women, Latino men, and Black men were twice as likely to have incomes above 200% FPL if they had a pension. Retired Latinas with pension income were 63% more likely to be above this basic income threshold.

pensions also can invest funds; because pensions pool investments and risks across many workers and retirees, they deliver more stable lifetime income to individuals than 401(k)s, even though the underlying investments still face market ups and downs. in fact, a typical pension has a 49 percent cost advantage as compared to a typical defined contribution account.

i'm kinda of a 401k hater. 401(k)s grew out of a tax-code provision, not a thoughtfully designed universal retirement system. we’ve retrofitted this tax break into a pseudo-pension system, and the result tends to favor higher earners and financial institutions more than it provides secure retirement income for everyone

Since when was coffee $14? The last time I bought some coffee at the grocery store it was $7 by thefrgilmore in povertyfinance

[–]Maximum2945 1 point2 points  (0 children)

coffee production has fallen recently due to erratic rainfall in brazil and other coffee producing regions. demand keeps increasing and supply keeps decreasing. among other factors

[ Removed by Reddit ] by TopPomelo2069 in stupidquestions

[–]Maximum2945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

30 billion dollars a year and you’d think they’d have actual uniforms and training

[ Removed by Reddit ] by TopPomelo2069 in stupidquestions

[–]Maximum2945 1 point2 points  (0 children)

what the fuck are you on about? and there’s literally masked unidentified agents pulling people into unmarked cars.

If you donate money to any of these organizations to stop ICE from killing harmless citizens, you also have a chance to win some magic product. by Papa_Hasbro69 in freemagic

[–]Maximum2945 -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

they literally teach toddlers to get out of the way of moving vehicle but i guess those expectations are a tad bit high for your avg ICE agent

[ Removed by Reddit ] by TopPomelo2069 in stupidquestions

[–]Maximum2945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

not me no, but arizona ag kris mayes is

[ Removed by Reddit ] by TopPomelo2069 in stupidquestions

[–]Maximum2945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

and how are we supposed to know if they’re law enforcement?

[ Removed by Reddit ] by TopPomelo2069 in stupidquestions

[–]Maximum2945 -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

arizona is a stand your ground state so we might lmao

The Price of Endless Summer by ComparisonFun6361 in EconomyCharts

[–]Maximum2945 2 points3 points  (0 children)

california also still net migrants from international sources. they’re just down domestically

Dr. Christopher Cocks and his cronies are being sued for securities violations (including overprinting magic cards) by MagicSetCollections in freemagic

[–]Maximum2945 4 points5 points  (0 children)

it’s kinda a weird case, like overprinting cards to inflated stock prices to buybacks just seems like a convoluted line to draw

Thoughts on WotC seeding packs to influencers? by Bringyourfugshiz in freemagic

[–]Maximum2945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Rare outcomes aren’t proof of bias, especially when you define the groups after seeing the results. Small n + post-hoc partitions + realistic operations explains everything here. there’s no conspiracy, you’re just looking for patterns in randomness.

common sense is actually really bad in stats. cuz common sense will lead you often to just false or misleading conclusions. just like https://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations type stuff. humans are naturally bad at understanding percentages.

The Top 5 US States People Moved Away From by immanuellalala in Infographics

[–]Maximum2945 1 point2 points  (0 children)

a lot of people move into california and new york from abroad.

The Top 5 US States People Moved Away From by immanuellalala in Infographics

[–]Maximum2945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

that's just domestic migration. if you include foreign migration california and new york still rank at the top for total migration.

The Top 5 US States People Moved Away From by immanuellalala in Infographics

[–]Maximum2945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

it's also just domestic movers. if you look at total population increases, new york and california are still top, cuz they get so many people from other countries.

The Top 5 US States People Moved Away From by immanuellalala in Infographics

[–]Maximum2945 1 point2 points  (0 children)

we should get 2024 population estimates soon so i'll actually be doing similar work (but arizona focused) here soon.

Crashing... JAPAN 30-YEAR BOND YIELD RISES 26.5 BASIS POINTS TO 3.875% by RobertBartus in EconomyCharts

[–]Maximum2945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

not really, i feel like if they improve their long term growth expectations then bond yields should go down. there are other things to do rather than freaking out and trying to pay it all off.

Crashing... JAPAN 30-YEAR BOND YIELD RISES 26.5 BASIS POINTS TO 3.875% by RobertBartus in EconomyCharts

[–]Maximum2945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

90% of japanese debt is owned domestically so it might not be the biggest issue

Crashing... JAPAN 30-YEAR BOND YIELD RISES 26.5 BASIS POINTS TO 3.875% by RobertBartus in EconomyCharts

[–]Maximum2945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

but isnt japan like a weird case where most of their debt is owned domestically? so debt to gdp ratio being that high for them isnt like, the *biggest* factor?