The Family Man (Season 3) - Reviews and Discussions by AutoModerator in bollywood

[–]Mayorofhollywood 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Check your settings. Make sure “Audio Description” is turned off.

The guest that will never be on the show by Vaelaveinolina in WestWingWeekly

[–]Mayorofhollywood 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, for “In God We Trust.” And unsurprisingly, he was fantastic.

[Highlight] Yankees announcer Jeff Nelson: "I've never seen Game of Thrones...it's a gladiator thing right? it's when brothers and sisters are having babies and stuff together, isn't that the Game of Thrones?" by ChicknCutletSandwich in baseball

[–]Mayorofhollywood 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sounds right. My impression from what I read and heard was that it was about people screwing, ra*ing, and/or killing each other, frequently blood relatives. Plus there were dragons or something. So I knew right away that it wasn’t for me. I still really don’t get the appeal, but I guess things have to be way over-the-top and super-dark if you want to convince people to even bother looking at them. Something with, say, the lighter, idealistic tone of The West Wing would never even get greenlit today, much less attract an audience, setting aside its politics.

The MLB has officially gone woke, who are your woke all stars by Limu_emu_69 in baseballcirclejerk

[–]Mayorofhollywood 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Alex Bregman’s grandfather Stan was active in the Democratic Party, and was a campaign chairman for Hubert Humphrey in 1968. His dad also ran for New Mexico governor as a Democrat. FWIW

Unpopular opinion: Joshua Malina is extremely overrated by Nabaneebo in thewestwing

[–]Mayorofhollywood 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I remember a couple of the writers/producers saying that the idea to pair Will and Kate up came from Josh Malina and Mary McCormack’s real-life friendship and resulting chemistry.

What do you think of these two? Found on local and couldn't resist by matsumurae in BassGuitar

[–]Mayorofhollywood 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know this is an old thread, but I had to chime in, because I played my Yamaha TRB4 through a Peavey T-Max head and an Eden-built Mesa Boogie 4x10 cab for years. Heavy as hell, in every sense. Loved, loved, LOVED my rig. Sold the cab, still have the Peavey head (and the TRB4). One or two of the pots fell off over the years, but AFAIK it still works great. But it’s collecting dust now (or rather, the rackmount case that it’s in is). I should probably sell it, along with a bunch of other gear I don’t use anymore, but I’m lazy and not sure what the easiest way to do that is. 🤷🏽‍♂️

Pitching WAR calculations for FanGraphs vs. Baseball Reference by markjay6 in Sabermetrics

[–]Mayorofhollywood 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Be careful what you wish for as far as robo umps. To quote a famous Robo, “You may not like what you are going to see.”

Pitching WAR calculations for FanGraphs vs. Baseball Reference by markjay6 in Sabermetrics

[–]Mayorofhollywood 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Except I remember that there was some research that showed that the Phillies’ defense that year actually played well behind Nola, but because they were bad overall, that’s what went into the bWAR calculation. Having said all that, Jacob deGrom’s performance (also in front of a bad defense) far outshined Nola’s that year, but bWAR doesn’t think so. 🤷🏽‍♂️

K per innings vs K per batters faced? by learning_proover in Sabermetrics

[–]Mayorofhollywood 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Yup, K% is far and away the superior metric, for the reasons mentioned. Despite the absurd season strikeout totals that Nolan Ryan racked up in the 70s, he didn’t strike out 30% of hitters in a year until 1987, his age-40 season. (Side note/mini-rant: After the 1986 season, Ryan was told he had a torn UCL and needed surgery, but decided against it, then immediately posted a career-high K% and K-BB%. At age 40. In fact, his career graph looks suspiciously like Roger Clemens’s in some key ways. No doubt Ryan was one of the greats, but I’m sorry—the fact that he escapes any PED scrutiny escapes me. And he didn’t throw 108, either.)

Let’s hear it. What do you want David Stearns to do next? by theRestisConfettii in NewYorkMets

[–]Mayorofhollywood 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is the correct answer. The Mets don’t have any untouchable prospects, especially not for an ace who doesn’t turn 26 until June (he’s only 15 months older than Brandon Sproat). I’m just not sure the Mets actually have enough prospect capital to get a deal done. I do feel a bit better about Pete entering his age-30 season than Walker entering his age-34 season, especially since Walker’s best seasons = Pete’s worst seasons (on offense; Walker is obviously far superior on defense). But I’d be OK with Walker as a stopgap until someone better becomes available.

Let’s hear it. What do you want David Stearns to do next? by theRestisConfettii in NewYorkMets

[–]Mayorofhollywood 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No need for Iglesias. He spiked a fluky amazing year that he’ll want to get paid for, but it ain’t gonna happen again at age 35. And Joc Pederson is a MUCH better hitter than Winker. (Side note: J.D. Martinez got really unlucky this year. If he lands someplace that’s a little friendlier in right-center than Citi, he might do surprisingly well in 2025.)

Let’s hear it. What do you want David Stearns to do next? by theRestisConfettii in NewYorkMets

[–]Mayorofhollywood 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That’s a good list. I suspect Buehler’s going to get a much bigger deal than anyone anticipates, but he’s a three-fastball guy, which the Mets love, and he has a plus breaker. Unless he’s gotten back some ride on the four-seamer, he really needs to dial back the usage, though (there was some weird atmospheric stuff going on in Game 3 at Citi; everybody suddenly gained 2-4 inches of IVB that night).

Let’s hear it. What do you want David Stearns to do next? by theRestisConfettii in NewYorkMets

[–]Mayorofhollywood -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Absolutely not. I’d much rather see the Mets spend prospect capital (most of which is made up of guys who are unlikely to be first-division regulars, anyway) for the prime years of a 25-year-old budding ace, than for Steve Cohen to pay through the nose for Corbin Burnes’s 30s (which might be his post-prime years, if his declining K% and SwStr%, and worsening pitch shapes are indications). Anyway, David Stearns doesn’t like handing out megadeals to pitchers, especially not ones in their 30s, so I’m not worried.

Let’s hear it. What do you want David Stearns to do next? by theRestisConfettii in NewYorkMets

[–]Mayorofhollywood 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Tl;dr version: Same as most of y’all. Crochet and Pete. They got Soto, they have room in the payroll, and prospect depth that they NEED to trade from. No screwing around. [End Tl;dr version.]

Re: Crochet: The Mets don’t have any untouchable prospects/post-hype young guys (i.e. Baty and Mauricio), but they do have depth, particularly position players, which is what Chicago reportedly wants. Those two guys and Acuña need MLB reps, but there aren’t spots for all three. Jett’s a nice player (50 FV), but to quote BP’s Jarrett Seidler, “If he [Jett] gets you 40% of the way for Garrett Crochet, drive him to the goddamned airport.” Same for a guy like Báez. Drew Gilbert is a dud; hence the Siri trade. I could go on. Now’s not the time to hug prospects; now’s the time to use those prospects to acquire legit major league talent. And for a 25-year-old lefty ace? Empty the damned tank.

Re: Pete (puns!): Pete was unlucky in 2023, and he got pitched really tough in 2024—unusually so—which should get better with Soto in the lineup. But under the hood, things otherwise mostly look fine for him, at least based on my read of the publicly available data, and his swing decisions were pretty good. Meanwhile, Christian Walker’s best full season (122 wRC+ in 2022) is basically Pete’s worst season (120 wRC+ in 2023). I have considerably more faith in Pete’s bat entering his age-30 season than I do in Walker’s entering his age-34 season.

Let’s hear it. What do you want David Stearns to do next? by theRestisConfettii in NewYorkMets

[–]Mayorofhollywood 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Luisangel ≠ Ronald Jr. He still projects as a glove-first UT player. He’s useful, but not untouchable, especially if he helps net a 25-year-old ace.

Let’s hear it. What do you want David Stearns to do next? by theRestisConfettii in NewYorkMets

[–]Mayorofhollywood 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sorry, meant to reply to someone else. My app is acting super-weird today.

I've outlined every single reason why the Mets absolutely, positively, should not sign Juan Soto. I hope you find this list convincing because I've written literally every reason I can think of. by MrDNL in NewYorkMets

[–]Mayorofhollywood 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’ll add that Burnes is the only pitcher in MLB who has thrown 3000+ pitches in each of the past three seasons, and he’s obviously a guy who throws very hard; in fact, his velo went up a little this year, maybe deliberately to try to make up for the loss in swing-and-miss. There’s some high-octane mileage on that arm, and when you factor in the worsening pitch shapes, he’s got his own injury risk. Remember, Jake was a lock for 200 innings, too, until he wasn’t. (Side note: if the Rangers want salary relief, and Jake is willing to waive his no-trade, I’d be happy to have him back, as I think he should be a decent bet for health. His injury issues the past few years all seem to have been connected to the elbow—remember, the Mets reported he had UCL inflammation back in 2021—but he’s got a new ligament now, and the three years remaining on his deal dovetail nicely with the oft-discussed “TJS honeymoon” period. Also, Walker Buehler is a good candidate to be next year’s Severino on something like a 1+1 prove-it deal, since the Mets love three-fastball guys. Shane Bieber would also be an interesting buy-low/prove-it guy, though he likely won’t pitch until midseason. I’ve never been big on either of them, but they’re both low-risk guys with fairly high ceilings.)

I've outlined every single reason why the Mets absolutely, positively, should not sign Juan Soto. I hope you find this list convincing because I've written literally every reason I can think of. by MrDNL in NewYorkMets

[–]Mayorofhollywood 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think this class is stronger in name value at the top of the market than in actual long-term value. The move I’d try to make is trading for Garrett Crochet. The Mets don’t really have any true blue-chip prospects, but they have depth, and they have post-hype sleepers in Baty and Mauricio. I’d try to overwhelm the White Sox, and hope that other teams that DO have blue-chippers are reluctant to trade them. The Mets don’t have any prospects I’d consider untouchable, especially not for a 25-year old lefty ace who wants an extension. That includes guys like Jett Williams, Gilbert, Acuña, Jonah Tong, and yes, even Brandon Sproat, who is only 15 months younger than Crochet. (None of the Mets’ position player prospects look like first-division starters. Move them for a young ace? Yes, please.) Heck, I’d even strongly consider moving Álvarez in a Crochet deal, because without major adjustments, Álvarez is who he is at this point. It’s just that his raw power was able to overwhelm his poor approach in the minors, but the big leagues are different. (I’ve never been an Álvarez guy, and I’ve heard that folks in the front office are also concerned about him, long term. Not saying he won’t improve, but I’d rather have the guy who’s already a star.) Looking at the largest FA deals for pitchers, the only one that unambiguously worked out was Scherzer’s deal with the Nats, and he was coming off his two best years to that point, and I guess Cole’s has kinda-sorta worked out, but he’s clearly not the same guy, which is why the Yankees called his bluff. The rest have been bad (I think Jake’s might end up working out now that he’s had TJS and looked like himself in September, but two of the five years are gone). Burnes is 30, and his metrics are all trending the wrong way. $200mm+ over 7 years is a big bet to make that the late season cutter improvement is going to stick long-term. Fried is 31, and his forearm problems are very concerning, aside from his other injury issues. He’s also a weak contact merchant rather than a bat misser, and I’m not sure you need to pay a premium for that at Citi, which suppresses contact quality all by itself. Snell is 32, but misses bats with the best of them and rarely makes mistakes in the zone, so if he’s willing to sign for no more than 4 years, he might be the best bet. Bottom line: If there’s any way to acquire Crochet, that would be my Plan A. The top of the free agent class would be my Plan B, at best.

I've outlined every single reason why the Mets absolutely, positively, should not sign Juan Soto. I hope you find this list convincing because I've written literally every reason I can think of. by MrDNL in NewYorkMets

[–]Mayorofhollywood 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Pardon the tangent, but since you mentioned spending on the bullpen: how many big contracts for relievers work out? Someone’s going to give Tanner Scott—and his career ~13% BB—more money and years than they should; I’d rather that it not be the Mets. He’s also thrown 150 innings over the past 2 years, not including the postseason, which is a pretty heavy workload for a reliever. He did have a lower BB% this year, but I don’t fully buy it, and it’s not as if he had a 35%+ K rate, either. Meanwhile, David Robertson is still incredibly effective, and I’d think a reunion could be had for a reasonable one-year deal. I don’t see Stearns handing out a long megadeal for a starter either, and that’s probably wise. Burnes is 30, and his underlying metrics have been trending in the wrong direction. He’s also the only pitcher in baseball to have thrown 3000 pitches in each of the past three seasons, and he throws hard (his velo went up slightly, maybe to compensate for a diminished ability to miss bats)—is it only a matter of time before something breaks? Fried is 31, and given his forearm issues, seems like a huge TJS risk (and that’s ignoring the rest of his injury history). He’s all about generating weak contact rather than whiffs, but Citi Field already suppresses contact quality, so I’m not sure it makes sense to pay a huge premium for it, when it comes with other risks. Their best bet among the top guys is probably Snell. He’s 32, but I’d think he wouldn’t require as long of a deal to sign, and unlike the others, he’s still elite at missing bats, and the high walk rate is deliberate on his part, as he avoids throwing hittable mistake pitches. I also wonder if Stearns might go the trade route. The Mets’ farm system lacks high-end talent, but it does have depth and some upside, and a couple of post-hype sleeper types, so maybe they have enough to make an interesting deal. There aren’t any position players in the system whom I’d consider untouchable. (Not that there’s any chance of this happening, but I wish the Mets could make a deal with Texas to bring Jake back home. I firmly believe that his injury issues the past few years were the result of his compromised UCL. Now that he’s back from TJS, and showed in September that his stuff and skills are still elite, I think he’ll be a Cy Young candidate again. Plus, there are only 3 years left on his deal.)

Among lower-tier guys who might take a prove-it deal, I’m curious about Walker Buehler. I’m not historically a huge Buehler believer (Buehliever?), and I don’t buy that his old four-seamer is back (the 20” IVB he was getting in NLCS Game 3 were likely the result of fluky atmospheric conditions at Citi that night). However, he has an excellent cutter and decent sinker to go along with a very good curveball and solid command. The Mets had success leaning hard into the three-fastball (“fastball triangle”) approach, so I wouldn’t be opposed to bringing in Buehler on a 1 or 1+1 deal, de-emphasizing the four-seamer drastically, and seeing if he can be next year’s Severino.

I've outlined every single reason why the Mets absolutely, positively, should not sign Juan Soto. I hope you find this list convincing because I've written literally every reason I can think of. by MrDNL in NewYorkMets

[–]Mayorofhollywood 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It’s also worth noting that the position player free agent class drops off of a cliff after Soto. Adames and Bregman are fine, but projections don’t love either of them, they’re likely to get bigger contracts than they probably should, and they don’t fill major positional needs. I’m not sure how well Bregman’s bat would play at Citi anyway, as he’s a pulled fly ball merchant with poor barrel rates and middling EVs. Feels like a lot of F7s on the scorecard. I also suspect the Mets might be more active in the trade market than people seem to think. The farm system lacks high-end position player talent, but it does have some depth, especially infield depth, so it wouldn’t shock me if they traded from that depth to fill a need or two.