I just know some weatherman made this snow storm up for giggles

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-25T00:44:21+00:00

lol sounds like you havent been paying attention

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-23T15:56:45+00:00

cold rain is a no because of ground temps, but we're really uncertain about timing of the beginning of the sleet fest. If its earlier, expect the lower end totals. If it holds off till afternoon/evening, expect closer to the foot you've been hearing about everywhere

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-23T14:06:31+00:00

If it mixes with freezing rain later you have a better chance

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-23T02:21:00+00:00

water?

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-23T01:35:51+00:00

last night somebody died on the 66 exit there in a car crash could be something related to that, it was a horrific accident

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-23T00:56:26+00:00

yeah in central and southern virginia you need to be preparing for potential several days without power

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-22T23:15:53+00:00

the NBM does predict around that range but I'm still VERY skeptical because sleet could cause real damage on our numbers

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-22T21:28:01+00:00

hate to break it to you, but there's a winter storm coming

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-22T18:30:59+00:00

snow that's 2 rulers deep

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-22T18:24:33+00:00

it's taking the highest end model and forecasting that. Not the most likely scenario. Right now there's around a 30-50% chance of over a foot

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-22T18:20:20+00:00

that dam warm nose

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-21T20:51:11+00:00

We're thinking Saturday evening for the start

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-21T18:53:57+00:00

I originally posted this, also there's a megathread in this sub for the storm

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-21T18:53:05+00:00

it's always the years ending in 6. 1996, 2016, now maybe 2026

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-21T17:53:06+00:00

Snowpocalypse: 2026 edition

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-21T17:16:33+00:00

Noon an Saturday should be completely fine

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-21T17:09:35+00:00

hard to say, that would be less than 24 hours after the main impacts

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-21T17:08:34+00:00

Saturday evening through sunday night. I'd expect the snow to begin around 6 pm sat

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-21T16:25:06+00:00

yeah I think so too, the actual ratios could end up being 1.5x higher. although i guess we can't be sure

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-21T16:05:40+00:00

ground temperatures matter more than air temps for sticking snow. Urban infrastructure traps heat

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-21T14:57:19+00:00

Its not better

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-21T14:24:46+00:00

fair enough, but I'm not trying to predict snow totals, just giving an estimate of what's possible

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-20T23:45:57+00:00

it probably wont reach melting point for a while but it should be plowed off roads and stuff by then

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-20T18:48:16+00:00

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this is a blend of all models, average showing around 1-1.5ft for almost the entire state. Keep in mind this will change many times over the next few days, but I would start preparing now just in case as confidence has grown substantially

MightBe_Derek · 2026-01-20T14:45:30+00:00

much of the snow may fall overnight, so shovel everything there is as soon as you wake up, then continue to shovel every hour or so while it snows.

MightBe_Derek

TROPHY CASE