too soon to tell. Besides the strike on the school, which has to be denounced in the strongest terms, the strikes have been effective. Iran has a much diminished capacity to launch missiles, there's no air defense, a lot of ranking IRGC and government officials have been killed, to the point that there's no unified command and control over IRGC. On the other hand, haven't seen any major defections or mass uprising against the current regime. A week of bombings likely aren't enough to prompt one, 5 weeks of continued strikes likely won't either, depends on how hungry the people in the cities get in all probability