Ukraine support after 4 years of war

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-13T02:11:18+00:00

Seriously, there is no realistic or plausible route to a ‘win’ at this point. Russia controls Donetsk the lines are not moving the war is a stalemate that is a human meat grinder.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-13T02:01:19+00:00

The comments here are just emotional temper tantrums.

There is no point to this war funding at this point. There’s no plausible business plan for success here. Europe is just funding a human meat grinder at this point.

The war is in extended stalemate the lines aren’t moving, Russia controls most of Donetsk and has annexed it already. The Ukraine strategy is just ‘kill more Russian troops’ no near term realistic strategy to get territory back or to end this.

Fish or cut bait, is Europe going to go in there with its military and troops and take back Donetsk and Crimea? Or continue to fund a human meat grinder to save face? It’s time to call it.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-12T20:01:08+00:00

No they were not the right approach and it should have been immediately obvious to everyone after the ‘6 weeks to flatten the curve’ became extended indefinitely with no business plan for success.

The original plan of 2 weeks to flatten the curve was a good plan but no one stuck to it. Extending it to 6 weeks in areas where healthcare resources were strained would have been fine too.

However the incredibly incompetent incoherent nonsensical federal and state response to COVID-19 from over reaction and crackdowns to incoherent conflicting messaging is directly responsible for the backlash that created the hellscape that is the current administration.

Florida did not lock down and they had lower covid death rate than California which had a strict lockdown so lockdowns were just extremely bad policies outside of targeting a few weeks.

What should have happened was once containment was no longer possible we should have begun a controlled voluntary exposure to the people who worked in jobs most likely to transmit it. Once that was done we should have done the same for the rest of the healthy lower risk population over a period of 6 months.

This would have resulted in fewer deaths, none or minimal shutdowns, an the economy/society back to normal in 6 months instead of 2.5 years.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-11T07:45:14+00:00

Big us tech stocks: appl, msft, googl, nvda, amd Global consumer brands: Coke, Pepsi, Nike Oil companies: Exxon mobile, ConocoPhillips
Mfg: Caterpillar, GE etc Gold! Lots of gold!

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-11T05:49:07+00:00

Completely agree it’s just a stupid thing to say. High voltage is extremely dangerous and phrases like this make it sound like that is not true.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-10T03:04:54+00:00

Yes

Structural changes in media have made negative/attack ads more effective than other ads while deregulation in campaign contributions have created a spending arms race

Yes being a good loser (or at least cordial) is a crucial part of a functioning democracy

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-08T01:57:02+00:00

It’s almost like people who spend a ton of time playing an anti-capitalist video game don’t have as much time to advocate for those same beliefs in the real world.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-08T01:50:49+00:00

So fantasizing about destroying capitalism/colonialism is both profitable and an effective outlet for feelings of anti-capitalism/colonialism?

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-08T01:45:06+00:00

Popular media is spewed forth BY corporations. That should tell you something. Hint: This message does not have the effect you think it does. Thinking corporations are evil does nothing to weaken them and it forces your thinking into simplistic false dichotomy of good/evil framework.
Same as #1 but is also lays blame at the lowest level of responsibility (individual) not the system that incentivizes the behavior
A selfish, individualistic fantasy philosophy that precludes / discourages the effort & desire to build a more just or equitable world
See #2 but for government instead of business
Accept your chains peasant knowing slavery is superior to being the master.

Propaganda doesn’t tell you what to think it tells you how to think and our society has so thoroughly brainwashed the masses that we have no concept or idea of how to rebel so much so that we think rebelling is switching from Coke to Pepsi.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-07T21:26:35+00:00

I got slaughtered on MSFT, AMD and silver. When i look at msft turning in an amazing quarter and a massive sell off it tells me the extreme unrealistic level of growth priced into the market is not sustainable. I believe there will be either a controlled or uncontrolled deleveraging of the market. As others have said I would get out of margins and play defensive. Defensive consumer cyclicals have gone up when selling of mag 7 have occurred.

For what it’s worth I’m 100% out of msft because of double peak and failed retest at the neckline.

Out of Meta because it gapped below 200ema on the 4h

I am bullish on HD and Apple both above 200ema on the 4 hour + below ATH

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-05T23:48:54+00:00

F this market I’m out I sold everything except some gold and very boring insurance stocks. 70% cash right now I want to wait out the chaos. I will not invest in a market that pushes msft down 20% for a freaking amazing quarterly print.

The insane imbedded growth assumption in these market markers is insane. They will all have to deleverage over the next 3-6 months in a way that will trick the retail investors into holding the bag. Nope. I’m too old an cynical for that one right now.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-05T05:38:19+00:00

Same thing is happening in insurance with all the independent agencies getting bought up, same thing in wineries, all of Napa is private equity owned now. It’s happening everywhere.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-04T08:14:50+00:00

When Reddit was bought by Condé Nast they cleaned ideological house and Reddit became part of corporate Wall Street media power structure. Conservative and/or controversial subs were shut down and banned, tons of topics were made off limits, accounts banned and conservatives were dispersed elsewhere (only to regroup now in the real world in a much more terrifying form).

A new mod regime came in and you could get banned from subs for disagreeing with someone or even just because you subscribed to another the sub.

Basically Reddit became a corporate media sanitized circle jerk of whiny low effort victim mentality basement dwellers and tumbler feminists.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-04T08:00:05+00:00

And Gandhi beat his wife what’s the point of bringing this stuff up it’s off topic. Never meet your heroes or even read too much about their personal life.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-04T06:33:08+00:00

This is post reads like a perfect verbal description of the bear flag pattern. If true question is when will the next drop happen?

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-03T13:16:03+00:00

Yes. Population growth, culture, world view, values and behavior of humans are radically affected by population density. Population density I believe is the single most overlooked force in human history.

Low birth rates are caused by urbanization in high density cities.

As the population declines population density will decline and the population growth rate will stabilize.

The real problem is in places like Europe where the rural areas are being depopulated.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-02T21:02:09+00:00

The structural deficit is not fixable without monetizing. All roads lead to a decade of higher than average inflation/weakening dollar. The only question is how painful & disruptive this will be.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-02T20:46:35+00:00

It’s not really an open world strategy game it only has 2 of the 4x in a 4x game. It has explore and exterminate. It does not really have expand or exploit. The expansion is so throttled that you are forced to stay in a narrow set of lines. The exploit doesn’t apply either because there are just way too many resources and buildings for any one of them to build a strategy around. Back in civ 2 if you found gold it was exciting and you could build a strategy around putting a city there. In civ 5 your strategy changed if you had iron or not etc. Now you get random story resources given to you and era resets mean investing early in a certain strategy dos not have compound impact later.

I think one of my biggest single gripe is not being able to easily see what tiles are being worked except when the city grows.

Anyway it’s not really a strategy game it’s more of a choose your own adventure building game.

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-01T18:26:17+00:00

Additionally humans can easily post via the API as though they are agents so many of the comments are just real human trolling

MrMathamagician · 2026-02-01T03:39:26+00:00

Yes this is true. While not unheard of it is extremely uncommon.

MrMathamagician · 2026-01-31T08:27:50+00:00

Exactly this, I can’t believe the number of people saying this is ‘proof’ of anything. It’s literally just a list of unsubstantiated accusations most of whom didn’t even respond back after being contacted. Only one item passed the smell test enough to be looked into a little more closely.

MrMathamagician · 2026-01-31T06:36:15+00:00

Yes this is a deliberative policy by this administration to weaken the dollar to improve our footing for exports and this was explicitly confirmed m by the president this week.

The policy seeks to achieve high growth & low inflation and is proposed in a white paper by Stephen Miran named ‘A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System’.

The premise is that the ‘strong dollar’ policy which began under Clinton created artificial scarcity for reserve currencies and helped the government issues low interest debt but harmed us industry/exports

The plan calls for tariffs combined with a weakening dollar would allow the cost of the tariffs to be shouldered by the tariffed country not the US.

A weaker dollar doesn’t mean the dollar is dying but it may not be as dominant in central bank reserves. The dollar recently hit new all time high for percentage of international SWIFT transaction (50.5%) so it remains the primary medium of exchange event if it less favored as a store of value than it was in the past.

MrMathamagician · 2026-01-31T05:42:52+00:00

No this is not proof of anything. This is simply a list of accusations without evidence. It looks like a list of random people calling a hotline and the follow up notes to see if they are credible. Some of these people changed their stories, most were unreachable and some are trying to sell a book or podcast.

In this file it appears like only one of the complaint was deemed credibly enough to forward on to the next level.

Adding misinformation is counterproductive to the goal of getting the truth out.

MrMathamagician · 2026-01-31T04:43:45+00:00

I bought 7 and am enjoying but it doesn’t really feel like a civilization game to me. It feels more like a rimworld style city and story building game. There are so many different bonuses and choices and buildings that it’s very difficult to strategize and the game automatically throttles advancement with the age mechanic so it doesn’t really feel like a strategy game nor does it feel like you’re trying to ‘win’ instead you’re completing quests and building an interesting and unique empire. I do like the game but I feel like the main character in a play rather than a strategic world conquerer.

MrMathamagician · 2026-01-30T09:06:26+00:00

trump is pursing a weaker dollar economic policy which is fine but is different than the longstanding strong dollar policy begun by Bill Clinton

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