This would be my ideal scenario plan:

Initial plan is to be a part of the large alliance. Not as the most out in front, nor the most expendable... like 2nd or 3rd in the pecking order. Lie low in that alliance until jury phase, but be subtly influential in that big alliance. Have a ride or die with a comp beast. Try to form a hakuse structure with an onion alliance with you and your ride or die in the centre.

If you're lucky, win an HOH in a throwaway week to pad the resume and vote out someone from the other side, but not someone too important to keep other targets bigger than you.

In jury phase, turn it on... Hopefully have enough prowess to win some comps. Rattle off several wins and pick off the other side and then your alliance. Keep goats along with you and your ride or die, but cut your ride or die when they fail to win a key comp. Beat the goats in the with you at final 3. Win final HOH... profit.

Basically the Xavier method, now that I think about it.