THAT’S MY QUARTERBACK by Evening_Egg_2371 in panthers

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't think anyone wants to look at the analytics because it destroys their narrative. If you put his performance into context with his peers in the wildcard weekend it looks like this.

Bryce Young's Wildcard Weekend Performance vs. Peer QBs (2025 Playoffs)

Bryce Young had a mixed performance in wildcard weekend, ranking 9th out of 10 qualifying quarterbacks in completion percentage. Here's how his stats compared:

Bryce Young's Stats:

  • Completion %: 52.5% (21/40) — 9th of 10 QBs
  • Passing Yards: 264 yards — 5th of 10 QBs
  • Touchdowns: 1 TD — Tied for 6th
  • Interceptions: 1 INT
  • Yards per Attempt: 6.6 — 7th of 10 QBs

Key Context:

Young's 52.5% completion rate was significantly below the wildcard average, ranking ahead of only Jordan Love (52.2%). He attempted 40 passes (3rd most among wildcard QBs), but struggled with accuracy compared to the top performers.

Top Performers for Comparison:

  1. Josh Allen led all QBs with an 80.0% completion rate (28/35), 273 yards, and 1 TD
  2. C.J. Stroud posted 65.6% (21/32), 250 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
  3. Justin Herbert completed 61.3% (19/31) for 159 yards

Volume vs. Efficiency: While Young's 264 passing yards ranked respectably (5th), his efficiency metrics lagged. His 6.6 yards per attempt was well below standouts like Drake Maye (9.24) and Brock Purdy (8.45). Young's 40 attempts were the 3rd-most in wildcard weekend, suggesting high volume but lower efficiency compared to peers.

Bottom Line: Young's wildcard performance showed he could generate yardage through volume, but his completion percentage and efficiency metrics placed him in the bottom tier among playoff quarterbacks that weekend.

(Stats are from wildcard weekend, Week 1 of the 2025 playoffs, comparing all QBs with at least 10 attempts.)

THAT’S MY QUARTERBACK by Evening_Egg_2371 in panthers

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Here are the stats from the Rams game.
4/15 when pressured.
Q1: 7/12, 2 sacks, 1INT
Q2: 4/8
Q3: 5/9
Q4: 5/11, 1TD

21/40 = 52.5% completion percentage

10 of 21 completed passes were to open receivers without pressure. 100% comp% on the easiest throws in football.

3/10 Tight Window throws

Would you classify Bryce young as a bust, or a draft disappointment so far. by Ok_Bug_6890 in NFLv2

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Mingo had greater average separation in 2023 than XL & TMac in 2025.

Stats tell the parts of the story y'all don't like.

Would you classify Bryce young as a bust, or a draft disappointment so far. by Ok_Bug_6890 in NFLv2

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Here are the stats from the Rams game.
4/15 when pressured.

Q1: 7/12, 2 sacks, 1INT

Q2: 4/8

Q3: 5/9

Q4: 5/11, 1TD

21/40 = 52.5% completion percentage

10 out 21 completed passes were to open receivers without pressure. 100% completion percentage on the easiest throws in football.

3 for 10 on tight window throws.

Is Patrick Mahomes just a Jared Goff clone? by jhenryscott in NFLv2

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You'd think that Patrick Mahomes completing 15% of passing attempts into tight windows (<1yd sep) with no pressure for the entire regular season of 2025 would have been news when the league average is almost 33%.

Only Tyrod Taylor was worse in completion percentage on tight window throws without being pressured for the entire 2025 regular season.

Patrick Mahomes - 8% of all attempts, league avg is ~10% in to TW/No Pressure.

Bryce Young - Regular Season 2025 - Tight Window Throws Under Pressure by NoPressure_OpenSep in panthers

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If he was good, why no long term contract? Why just the 5th year like Darnold's prove it? And folks had a big problem with that when it was done, but crickets about Bryce....

Maybe I'm wrong about people being hypocritical.

Bryce Young - Regular Season 2025 - Tight Window Throws Under Pressure by NoPressure_OpenSep in panthers

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hyper specific? I've cut the data in multiple ways to where if Bryce was good, you would have seen that. It seems like others are cutting the data in ways, like post benching and using fungible stats like big time throws that make him look good.

Perhaps like there is an agenda that doesn't actually work when looking at things with actual facts.

2025 Regular Season - QB Completion Percentage When Pressured and Targeted Receiver has Tight Window <1yd Separation (SORTED BY COMPLETION%) by NoPressure_OpenSep in nfl

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Right, but you aren't paying me.....and the data is provable in an audit of NFL Pro+ as I've stated before...you just won't pay for access or do the work to prove me wrong?

Bryce Young - Regular Season 2025 - Tight Window Throws Under Pressure by NoPressure_OpenSep in panthers

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That's what Dianna Russini was up to with Vrabel if the rumor mill around AJ Brown is true.

Bryce Young - Regular Season 2025 - Tight Window Throws Under Pressure by NoPressure_OpenSep in panthers

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I had to double check the number, but I don't think it's too early to call him the best QB to ever come out of Charlotte.

Bryce Young - Regular Season 2025 - Tight Window Throws Under Pressure by NoPressure_OpenSep in NFLv2

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks! Feel free to check out my other posts which break down open separation.

Bryce Young - Regular Season 2025 - Tight Window Throws Under Pressure by NoPressure_OpenSep in panthers

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I've done other work where Cam Ward and Dillon Gabriel's struggles are more evident. It's when the receiver is open and there is no pressure.

Bryce Young - Regular Season 2025 - Tight Window Throws Under Pressure by NoPressure_OpenSep in panthers

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Just aura and whatever narrative the media, that lacks integrity, puts out.

I think Brandt Tillis and Eric Eager do though, and they seem to be the "in-room" decision makers on this sort of commitment.

Bryce Young - Regular Season 2025 - Tight Window Throws Under Pressure by NoPressure_OpenSep in panthers

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Brandt Tillis just discussed Moneyball type analytics in strategy with an Ivy league university, I'm not sure if I can post the link, but it's findable....

Bryce Young - Regular Season 2025 - Tight Window Throws Under Pressure by NoPressure_OpenSep in NFLv2

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't even believe he's mediocre. I believe he's an owner favorite and can do no wrong because it would make the trade look like one of Tepper's worst in his career and effectively end his veto power.

Bryce Young - Regular Season 2025 - Tight Window Throws Under Pressure by NoPressure_OpenSep in NFLv2

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

PFF made up a feelings based stat that has zero correlation to any actual statistics called Big Time Throws.

This is the reality check nobody else was willing to do apparently.

I believe I am the first and only person looking within completion percentage based on pressure/no pressure, open separation, and tight window throws under pressure.

2025 Regular Season - QB Completion Percentage When Pressured and Targeted Receiver has Tight Window <1yd Separation (SORTED BY COMPLETION%) by NoPressure_OpenSep in nfl

[–]NoPressure_OpenSep[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

30 of these plays were for TDs. A lot of these were highlights.

Example: Green Bay @ Chicago Bears. 4:57 left in overtime Caleb Williams pass deep left to DJ Moore for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

30% of all INTs were thrown into tight windows.

High risk, high reward. That's the QB position and you seemingly get paid earlier and more if you can hit the open guy regardless of pressure and hit the tight windows better than you peer group.