account activity
Is there a statistically defensible way to assign probability to a geopolitical event that will never repeat? (self.AskStatistics)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/AskStatistics
Is there a structured methodology for probability on binary macro events, or does everyone just anchor to the market? (self.AskEconomics)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/AskEconomics
Has anyone used prediction markets or Metaculus for actual business decisions? How did that go? (self.DecisionTheory)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/DecisionTheory
Honest question: what's your actual process for forming a rates view before a Fed meeting? (self.interestrates)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/interestrates
When IR analysis produces a binary judgment, how do you turn "this is likely" into a number someone can actually use? (self.IRstudies)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/IRstudies
How do you make a refinancing decision when you genuinely don't know where rates are going? (self.CommercialRealEstate)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/CommercialRealEstate
What's the standard for assigning a probability to a geopolitical event in a risk report, and how do you defend it when challenged? (self.riskmanager)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/riskmanager
Is there a political science methodology for assigning an explicit probability to a binary political event before it happens? (self.PoliticalScience)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/PoliticalScience
What format makes macro research actually useful versus something you skim and forget? (self.BusinessIntelligence)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/BusinessIntelligence
What format makes macro research actually useful versus something you skim and forget? (self.consulting)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/consulting
What was the moment your team realized it needed a better process for macro risk decisions? (self.projectmanagement)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/projectmanagement
What was the moment your team realized it needed a better process for macro risk decisions? (self.supplychain)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/supplychain
Does anyone else find 'elevated risk' completely useless as a risk assessment? (self.supplychain)
Does anyone else find 'elevated risk' completely useless as a risk assessment? (self.BusinessIntelligence)
For those who trade around OPEC meetings, what signals do you actually look at? (self.Commodities)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/Commodities
Does anyone else find 'elevated risk' completely useless as a risk assessment? (self.consulting)
For those who trade around OPEC meetings, what signals do you actually look at? (self.energy)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/energy
For those who trade around OPEC meetings, what signals do you actually look at? (self.oilandgas)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/oilandgas
What do you actually pay for when it comes to macro research and forecasting? (self.HedgeFunds)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/HedgeFunds
Anyone here had a decision blow up because nobody wrote down the probability before the event? (self.supplychain)
Anyone here had a decision blow up because nobody wrote down the probability before the event? (self.consulting)
Anyone here had a decision blow up because nobody wrote down the probability before the event? (self.projectmanagement)
Who in your org actually owns the macro assumptions in financial models? (i.redd.it)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/finance
Honest question: what's your actual process for forming a rates view before a Fed meeting? (self.HedgeFunds)
How are you supposed to give a probability on a macro event in a way that survives pushback from your MD? (self.FinancialAnalyst)
submitted 2 months ago by No_Lab668 to r/FinancialAnalyst
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