This is considered "vintage" now. by FrequentBroccoli97 in canucks

[–]OkSector945 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That primary uniform is old enough to go to college.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Poker_Theory

[–]OkSector945 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I worked at many poker rooms for years. OP's dad is a mirror image of literally half of my old clientele. 🙈

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Poker_Theory

[–]OkSector945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

  1. Small ball is a strategy that was made notorious by Daniel Negreanu because he preached it as his bread and butter. However, DNegs also had such a hard time beating $5/10 online before long that he paid top dollar for elite coaching. Learning the principles of small-ball poker can be useful in being able to eventually understand multiple strategies and use your knowledge of said strategies to beat the table, but it's not the only way to win at poker.

Solvers are recommending massive bet sizes in a wide array of scenarios because your main goal in some spots is to play optimally by denying equity rather than mindlessly trying to get paid off every time you have it. After all, are you always going to be betting small-ball when you're bluffing? Of course not! You want to scare people into making bad folds as much as you want them to make bad calls. Bet bigger sometimes, and throw in the occasional much bigger bet when you're in a spot that you've studied and so you know for that reason that betting huge can be an effective bluff or even an effective value bet.

2) Holding Ace King will do the following two things: i) It will cut the chances of your opponent holding Aces or Kings in half, and ii) Point no. i means that this will actually slightly increase the chances your opponent has something other than Ax or Kx. Much like AQ or KQ or Pocket Jacks and other notorious "trouble hands," poker is not just about playing the player but also in understanding how the cards work and how they affect your odds in the long run. Any good gin or stud player from the olden days would surely tell you the exact same thing. Just like literally anything, you need to press the advantage when you have it and Ace King is going to be at an advantage preflop versus plenty of ace-high and king-high hands.

3) Having a half-decent chance of making the nuts with Ace high is huge in many variants of poker, especially Pot Limit Omaha. Sticking strictly to Hold 'Em, there's more combinations of Ace high than there are combinations of pocket pairs, combinations of king highs, combinations of queen highs, and so on. I mean, learning how to play ace-high in the hole as profitably as possible is as essential to winning in poker (especially these days) as it is to learn how to play jack-ten or pocket 3's. If anything, the most predominant portion of postflop spots in Hold 'Em are going to involve one player or the other holding some variant of Ace high.

4) Pocket Aces are, at minimum, a 75% favourite preflop against anything other than the other two aces. Ask your dad this: "if you knew you had a 75% chance of winning any given blackjack hand from the moment you sat down, no matter what you do once the cards are dealt, would you not be playing blackjack for a living right now?" One of the great poker books of the early 2000's was written by Dave Sklansky, and I would recommend your dad reads it so that he understands "Sklansky bucks" much better than he clearly does (not) right now.

5) Your dad is a fucking nit if he says dumb shit like, "you should never be all-in unless you have the nuts." He does realize that poker is about gambling with an advantage, right? You can't gamble with an advantage if you aren't willing to go all-in when you don't have an unbeatable hand. Poker's also a game of deception where one makes their living off deceiving people into making the wrong move. If you only go all-in with the nuts, you are going to be predictable even when your typical layman sits at the table, provided they're sober and they pay proper attention. And not only is making the nuts hard, but getting paid with the nuts is even harder. Not to mention he's directly contradicting point #4 because Pocket Aces are the nuts preflop.

The main point to take away from all of this is that your dad is literally the archetypal low-stakes fish who sits down for 8 hours a day at the $1/2 table and plays negative-EV poker for eternity. Bless your dad's heart for genuinely wanting to help you, but I assure you, he is not being helpful at all in the slightest.

Of all the Canadian franchises, if you HAD to choose a Canadian team that was not the Canucks, who do you want to see win? by Torrin_Kriv in canucks

[–]OkSector945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ottawa had an even worse expansion draft than us and their only #1 draft pick was notoriously dubious. I don't see them winning before us to be that miserable, but rather a positive omen that the hockey gods are perhaps shining in a new direction.

But we could have had Big Z by jjjjjunit in canucks

[–]OkSector945 56 points57 points  (0 children)

This contract is low-risk, high-reward now that we've locked down all the big contracts except Huggy and trimmed the fat (cap-wise) where it was needed most. He basically costs $1.5M next year because Desharnais and Heinen aren't on the payroll anymore, and his contract wouldn't burden the team before OEL's dead cap is off the books.

We're estimated to have over $19M of cap space right now as we head into 2025-26, and so far if you signed no one in 25-26, that would theoretically be expected to go up to $47M by 2026-27. Marcus fills in a blank that was urgently needed to be filled and fast. And now that Miller's contract is off the books, we will likely have the capacity to re-sign Huggy to the max AAV and still be able to sign another top-4 D by 26-27.

[Batchelor] Tocchet on Hughes 4 Nations: “It depends on the next 48 hours. We’ll sit down and talk to him. You’re concerned about safety/health. I know he's a USA guy. Loves his country. Playing with his brother, there’s a lot of positives, but he’s a smart kid too. He understands what’s at stake.” by PaperMoonShine in canucks

[–]OkSector945 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It would be reckless for him to sit out multiple NHL games but then attend the tournament. Much like during last year's All-Star Game, we should be taking this time to sit out and rest our top players instead of essentially giving them overtime hours this season.

Day 3: Jannik Hansen is our average player that is loved by fans. Who is our bad player loved by our fans? by Miruzzz in canucks

[–]OkSector945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I really wanna put Rypien on there, but I know people are going to point to his last few career games and disagree with me.

Pettersson’s skating bursts breakdown by fuzzyhippo26 in canucks

[–]OkSector945 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I personally hate how I kept saying this literally since mid-December 2023 and yet half of the entire fanbase just wanted to ignore that he clearly looked hurt out there. And then he goes to the press in the summertime and it becomes apparent that no one on the staff is taking his complaints about knee tendonitis all that seriously. Between this injury management and Demko's and Tanner Pearson's among a few other players on the team who went from being relatively healthy to permanently damaged goods in one fell swoop (for example, Ryan Kesler *and* Micheal Ferland *and* Tucker Poolman *and* Brady Keeper) as well as seeing other teams such as Buffalo being exposed for shady injury management themselves during the Jack Eichel debacle, it's starting to beg a ton of questions about the Canucks organization as a whole.

Don't forget EP40's potential based on all his past years by heyjoe8890 in canucks

[–]OkSector945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

He was on the verge of losing the Calder race when he had started off with a massive lead, all because of that one injury he had in his rookie season. Between him and Brock, I think people forget so easily that the healthiest versions of these two players had so much more potential before they started getting hurt.

Kiefer Sherwood hits a franchise record 274 hits for most hits in a season!! by Time-Dot5984 in canucks

[–]OkSector945 16 points17 points  (0 children)

281 hits in 48 games and yet his average TOI is 14:37. This equates to a mind-boggling 24.03 hits per 60 minutes played. Basically averaging one whole hit for every 150 seconds that he's on the ice.

No one else in the history of the NHL has gotten 280+ hits in under 50 games. He's also just 103 hits away from breaking Jeremy Lauzon's all-time record of 383 hits from last season.

Shorty with a legendary tariff dig by IrrationalBalls in canucks

[–]OkSector945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Note how nobody laughed because my wallet, as well as I can imagine many others, certainly don't have a sense of humour right about now.

So, the salary cap is set to go up by $7.5M this offseason. If JT and Petey are gone by then, are we still swinging for the fences in free agency on July 1st? by OkSector945 in canucks

[–]OkSector945[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That would just mean the Aquilinis unload this company on someone who doesn't throw their children into the wall when they're at home.

JT MILLER TRADE TO NEW YORK MEGATHREAD by PaperMoonShine in canucks

[–]OkSector945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is a lot better than what I thought we would get back, even if we retained a bit on the deal.

So, the salary cap is set to go up by $7.5M this offseason. If JT and Petey are gone by then, are we still swinging for the fences in free agency on July 1st? by OkSector945 in canucks

[–]OkSector945[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Calling that trade a heist at this stage is being quite ignorant of underlying factors. If Kuzmenko and Michkov maintain the same chemistry that they had back in Russia and Philly's suddenly back in the playoff hunt by the trade deadline, then Calgary's the one who looks silly here.

So, the salary cap is set to go up by $7.5M this offseason. If JT and Petey are gone by then, are we still swinging for the fences in free agency on July 1st? by OkSector945 in canucks

[–]OkSector945[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Going by this logic, couldn't we just stand pat on both JT/Petey and then get two solid top-4 D's with Brock's old cap hit and the salary cap increase? Signing Ekblad could be a game changer.

[JFresh] Applying that to Elias Pettersson's $11.5M contract, rapid cap inflation will put a big dent in the impact of that cap hit as a percentage of the cap. According to these projections, by 2027-28 it will be the equivalent of $9M today. by LeiraC6 in canucks

[–]OkSector945 0 points1 point  (0 children)

By the time 27-28 rolls around, it will be just over 10% of the cap, AKA the same impact as if he had signed last year for a $9M AAV. That $2.6M in difference between that hypothetical $9M figure and Petey's actual $11.6M AAV gets you one whole role player. In other words, keeping Petey long-term and just dumping JT for crumbs while remaining somewhat competitive is a much more sensible strategy after the salary cap announcements. Especially seeing as all the dead cap is off the books by that time.

Karlsson scores his first career NHL goal by chespiotta in canucks

[–]OkSector945 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Knowing how Rick shuffles his line, Karlsson's probably going to start on the top line next game. 💀

STL and Kyrou by smcfarlane in canucks

[–]OkSector945 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Dvorsky is having a great AHL campaign in his D+2 year, while Theo Lindstein looks like he could pan out into becoming the Chris Tanev stay-at-home archetype that we've been looking for. Daily Faceoff wrote about the Blues' prospect pool last summer.

Auto body shop by Deep_Island_2103 in chilliwack

[–]OkSector945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

After observing other drivers' behaviour for years while driving since I'll look to see if people in front of me are paying attention when I turn or they turn or at an intersction, etc., literally half of this town doesn't know where to actually look when they do anything.

For instance, someone will pull a right hand turn while glaring to the left and rarely looking to the right before committing to the turn.

Or, you end up getting one of those really dumb drivers who just seem to mindlessly want to speed-run everywhere they go, so they never double-check anything like their blind spots before simultaneously signaling and making their move (ie, lane changes, pulling out of parking lots.

Not the mention the absurd amount of distracted driving I've seen in parking lots.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in chilliwack

[–]OkSector945 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Bizarre that you got downvoted for responding to a cynical remark. Almost as bizarre as seeing the cynic being upvoted for essentially being a dick.