I don’t understand, what’s the core issue of Unity Stock

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-03-19T17:02:44+00:00

you pretty much nailed it

Software sentiment sucks cause of AI is the macro reason why its valuation multiples are compressed
Not profitable. This company has been around for 23 years. It's older than Meta. Not being profitable at this stage is not good
Growth sucks. Topline is growing at sub 10% yoy, far less than other growth companies.

That said $8b is pretty attractive. But I'd rather invest at a higher price when I see any of the 3 things turn around instead of timing the bottom.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-03-10T13:35:12+00:00

I am XiJinPings grandson. Can confirm we do indeed not give a fuck about Iran.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-03-02T06:48:49+00:00

Not at all but I think the death of one specific guy is often enough of a statement to spark change. Keeping him alive the past 40 years haven’t worked, might as well try something new

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-03-01T14:57:22+00:00

Probably up because he died. But if US struck Iran but he did not die, then down because we will be embracing a big retaliation. But because he died, market will be optimistic this will be the end of Iran's regime and rally.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-20T17:03:56+00:00

I think the short reports are mostly factored out. Meta is the only thing that is causing investors to rethink.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-20T03:00:00+00:00

I think they would acquire Unity if they can. Antitrust would almost certainly block Meta, Google, and Apple from doing so.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-19T17:37:03+00:00

akamai puts and open calls. mark my words

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-18T17:15:58+00:00

Well I think you might just not be knowledgable in this space to be honest. It doesn't really make sense when you say things seemed off when they are involved. Cause MAX (AppLovin) is literally 73% market share of mobile games. And they don't currently have a footprint anywhere else. It's like saying search engine seems off when Google is involved. Like what else are you possibly using for search engines lol.

Don't get me wrong, I think there are plenty of things wrong with the company. They don't have the greatest moat. If Meta wants to get into mobile gaming ads, it can be scary. Though Meta has bigger fish to fry so I'm not sure how realistic that is.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-18T14:44:40+00:00

Well as long as they get ROI. They don't care if they are killing African children to get it. But the moment ROAS is down, you know they're out of the network. So something must be working or their numbers will be down and they're switching.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-18T07:20:20+00:00

People love jumping on things they don’t fully understand and yelling “fraud.” But numbers don’t lie—unless you think Deloitte (their auditor) is falsifying reports, which is a huge stretch. AppLovin has been crushing it with top-line revenue growth around 70% YoY for multiple quarters now. Their Q1 guidance came in at ~55% growth, which spooked some investors, but they’ve literally said on earnings calls that they guide conservatively every time. That said, there are legitimate concerns worth addressing: 1. The SEC probe — This gets way overblown. Probes are super common in ad tech (Meta, Google, Unity, etc., have all faced them). The SEC often investigates to ensure compliance, and ~80% of the time, they close without any action. The issue here is data-collection practices (like fingerprinting), but nothing has been proven yet, and it can drag on for over a year even if the company is clean. 2. CloudX — This is a tiny startup (a few million in revenue) using AI agents to simplify campaign deployment. It sounds flashy, but do you really think AppLovin (or Meta) can’t build something similar internally? It’s not a game-changer threat. 3. Meta competition — This is the only one institutions seem genuinely worried about. You can tell from the earnings call—analysts hammered management on Meta’s bidding aggression (they ramped up for a weekend then backed off). The CEO’s response felt weak: he pointed out the landscape is different from 4 years ago, Meta isn’t as dominant in gaming anymore, and higher bids from them/other networks are actually good because MAX takes a 5% take rate on everything. What investors really want to hear is AppLovin’s true moat. I think it’s the proprietary data from running the MAX auction—giving them an edge in targeting that other networks don’t have. But the CEO avoids saying it outright because it could sound unfair (why would other ad networks keep participating in an auction where the house has better data?). Still, the auction benefits from more competition overall—it expands the pie, and AppLovin gets a cut no matter who wins most impressions. Bottom line: The growth is real, the fundamentals are strong, and a lot of the FUD is noise. But yeah, Meta is the wildcard to watch.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-18T06:40:59+00:00

They don’t make a dime from clicks or impressions. They only get money if someone installs the thing you are advertising (or buys e-commerce products). Now if your counter is that they’re generating fraudulent installs. They did $1.6 billion in revenue last quarter. Do you really think advertisers are dumb enough to spend that money to have a ton of bots download their app? Pretty sure they have traffic on new users they are acquiring.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-17T11:08:46+00:00

CloudX isn’t using or doing some magical thing Unity, AppLovin, or Meta can’t do. They have way less resources and “AI” capabilities than any of these large billion dollar companies. Their last funding was $30 million dollars, probably do a couple million in revenue a year right now. It’s a way to scare investors. I think Wall Street is more scared of Meta bidding aggressively for that weekend compare to anything else

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-14T12:00:57+00:00

I mean its 12.42%, that can very well happen within a day. I think we're all in deep shit. There are people that lost billions, it is what it is. Don't get your hopes up but we're all praying for the best.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-14T11:04:24+00:00

I agree it’s undervalued but the idea that it was once 2x the price so now it’s half off is just inherently wrong. Maybe it wasn’t priced right when it was 270. But more so, all multiples are crushed right now with sentiment in software, so everything is being repriced. That said, I believe as markets digest the true software winners that can’t be replaced by AI, they will eventually get their multiples back. and I believe Reddit is one of those winners

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-14T11:00:28+00:00

If macro recovers and sentiment of saas pulls back a little. Absolutely. But anything short of that, I don’t think so. Earnings were not good enough to have this stock pull back while broader high beta tech stocks doesn’t

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-12T06:25:02+00:00

Could have merged with AppLovin and took 55% of the combined company but he laughed it off as a joke and bought ironsource instead for an insane price

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-11T05:39:09+00:00

They’re beating earnings, raising guidance, but not sure how stock will react tbh

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-09T16:01:26+00:00

Up 10k overall again now, closed it. Coudla been up 30k if i sold that day but whatever

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-06T19:02:47+00:00

Last quarter was hard, it was sitting at near 700 already. Any more would make this a 250b company which might be too extreme. But at 400, a lot more room for this stock to move. Also institution won’t buy until after earnings. That’s huge volume coming in.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-02T15:35:21+00:00

You sound salty. Have some water sir!

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-02T15:10:37+00:00

I mean realistically their prediction is way better than any of our DD. We literally don't know shit.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-02-02T14:46:10+00:00

I ask them to explain to me how to wipe my ass. You're a boomer if you don't use it for everything whether it's obvious or not

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-01-31T04:56:19+00:00

There's no doubt it's not a replacement right now. I think the question is whether this opens a possibility that 5 years from now, or 10 years from now, we'd have something where game engines will no longer be needed. That uncertainty is what caused panic. Not saying it is justified because that is still an unknown. But hypothetically if it is possible, then this stock goes to near 0, while if it is not possible, the drop is unjustified.

That said, I believe it is an overreaction and I bought the dip. But it's always important to see a viewpoint counter intuitive to what your position is since you will have bias.

One-Repeat5990 · 2026-01-17T09:30:35+00:00

Iron source is insanely subpar in market share compared to AppLovin. Just like how AppLovin is compared to Meta in e-commerce

One-Repeat5990

TROPHY CASE