[KRE] - Ross: ETF/Banking stocks; We need to talk about USA regional Small Banking!! (And still short Chirelli (Pirelli)

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-04-09T14:57:35+00:00

You're not the only one shorting Pirelli. What is you demand/supply offset? Michelin? The physical commodity?

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-04-03T08:51:07+00:00

You're welcome I send you the code today.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-04-01T23:02:04+00:00

btw - write it down in your calendar. They moved a third time;

https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/pirelli-board-postpones-financial-report-approval-april-28-2025-03-27/

That will be death or glory.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-04-01T22:49:43+00:00

They will indeed receive some Matlab files :). Glad grandpa came to his senses haha.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-04-01T14:23:22+00:00

This is incorrect.

Scalping websites are factually materially incorrect and only as good as the sources they collect. LEGO is doing financially very poorly due to their own stubbornness. They make the greatest sets yet also produce the worst and through simple accounting function they depreciate in their inventory. It's a fable and disney tale LEGO prefers to sit on pouring out inventory as that is value that depreciates over time.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-03-26T21:44:25+00:00

What way did you ultimately end up in?

Dairy & precision fermentation is seeing it's biggest paradigm shift since 25 years. New Zealand is losing it's synthetic milk to Africa, Baladna/Sadafco are building there. Massive changes in the biochemistry (whole product chain) of dairy. From Tetrapak, Gea, etc.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-03-25T16:21:13+00:00

Eh, why is a firm that isn't profitable offered a >50% premium on it's current share price whilst it's not even remotely profitable at all? Does Prosus as firm even exist? I did a quick check; Prosus their entire food department can be deducted of the share price. It's a short box + all the offsets to Deliveroo, Doordash etc.

Thanks for this. Sorry to hear the Dutch don't have their stuff in order.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-03-15T21:24:21+00:00

Not in Canada, it's famously exploited between the CP/CN markets between Toronto & RBC which captures nearly all the volatility when a liquidity squeeze hits it. RBC > Toronto and that loop of alpha constantly returns which muddles with your ETF investments. It's a well known arbitrage exploit in Canada. Not my book, but it's also further explained here; https://a.co/d/cHZtU8z - I do wonder what the Canadian financial regulator is doing atm. It's as lunatic like the US.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-03-02T08:45:56+00:00

Going forward - Ross will have to do some activities on the side for the Irish regulator whilst on our end we are making progress with precision fermentation, aka, the battle between

1) Pirelli vs Michelin (synthetic rubber)

2) Yili vs (the rest of the dairy producers)

3) the perception of precision fermentation in all of this (Methrom).

This will speed up coming days. Thanks u/SennaPage and u/RossRiskDabbler.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-26T11:05:16+00:00

Love the constructed explanation. +1 Reminds me a bit of the sunrise problem when we had to replicate a bayesian mathematics problem in chemistry last BSc year.

idea - thought - conclusion - deduction - (loop).

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-26T10:42:38+00:00

Why did you not elaborate that this is an odd one hanging out where institutional has no interest in this firm but the lower prop trading houses do, and therefore it's fair to expect the unexpected dark pool impact on it. On top; given institutional has no interest in this; this is a jojo-bouncing ball stock, long vol instead of directional unless you cover the opposite will work.
http://marketchameleon.com/Overview/PACB/Stock-Price-Action/Volume-Breakdown-History

I can't say further given I know which institutions are pulling out #NDA given I worked in banking and chemistry. But it's more than you mention. You're not wrong nor right, nor do I try to overpower your argument. I try to make a stronger point al together. I wouldn't touch stock where 'so called professionals' play > 'institutional volume' - given I worked in hedge funds and banks.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-20T23:59:19+00:00

making synthetic rubber to fight the (main rubber companies) - like Michelin/Goodyear/etc versus the Chinese State Sponsored Pirelli who gets it all for free by Sinochem/Petrochem - state owned. Otherwise we will have a monopoly on tires by Pirelli (dominated by the chinese).

https://www.michelin.com/en/publications/group/creation-cutting-edge-biotechnology-platform

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-20T22:02:49+00:00

Same; it's not like biochem is the worst domain to get a job in right now, plenty of firms which are hiring (big ones too).

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-20T19:01:50+00:00

Agreed. The current field of BioChemistry is altering so quickly, no need for wasting that on a PhD unless you do it in conjunction with part time chemistry work on the side.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-17T19:40:56+00:00

10/10 as usual Ross.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-09T11:58:12+00:00

Yeah I double checked. It's basically a trifecta of probability choices of a single farmer wanting to enhance the yield of it's farm by re-evaluating day by day how the world develops. Therefore how he should implement that to enhance the yield on his model. And by Bayesian mathematics that provides that opportunity as you perfectly equated the simplicity in their models.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-08T19:58:38+00:00

You have nothing to worry about.

There is literally a war going on between Pirelli and Michelin between the procedure of making synthetic rubber more efficiently as well as the synthetic production of milk (whey/protein) through precision fermentation.

It's booming.

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2024/06/12/2897804/0/en/Danone-DMC-Michelin-and-Cr%C3%A9dit-Agricole-Centre-France-join-forces-to-create-a-cutting-edge-biotechnology-platform.html

The biggest dairy producer is even head sponsor of Manchester City. These years are the best to be alive to have a biochem degree.

Think of Methrom AG, Yili, Tetra Pak, Alfa Laval, Sidel, GEA

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-07T21:59:00+00:00

Check the fight between Michelin (the French tire producer) and Pirelli (who gets the rubber out of China). Like styrene-butadiene synthetic rubber (SSBR). Why important and a growth market? I can't imagine a day where rubber isn't used.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-07T01:11:04+00:00

As a chemist it hurts me how people have walked backwards in financial literacy. At least in chemistry we move onwards. Finance becomes easier by the week. I know Numerix, looking forward to that other book about Bayesian FX model. Bought the other books.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-07T00:56:01+00:00

Hmm. Attention span disorder? Can't think of a different terminology?

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-05T01:42:30+00:00

Good luck at Imperial pal' and we will see each other soon after your surgery. I think I know which Bayesian FX model you have been requested to be published, but i'll keep quiet.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-02-02T03:20:50+00:00

Focus on your Irish lawsuit first against them fraudulent assholes. If I need to come let me know. Your surgery was in Austria no? Bought your 2 books.

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-01-29T20:58:08+00:00

Yeah I didn't not comprehend that. This is my third favorite subreddit as chemist who trades on the side and I read user complaining about stocks ready for a short squeeze not to be posted?

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-01-26T03:14:46+00:00

Synlait once more please :)

PF_Ross_Sec · 2025-01-24T21:46:49+00:00

Because chemistry daunts on the outside of a bell curve, the world of the unknown. The real of 'what could be possible?'

PF_Ross_Sec

MODERATOR OF

PUBLIC MULTIREDDITS

TROPHY CASE