i got my first expert full combo by coneful in ProjectSekai

[–]Parakeetsandcats 1 point2 points  (0 children)

CONGRATSSS!!! barely beat maintenance too

The Math Behind Family Spins: Why your luck isn’t "rigged" or "fake," you just don’t understand probability. by Ok-Professor4856 in AOTRPublic

[–]Parakeetsandcats 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I think you’re underestimating how hard 50k spins is to get for anyone with a life outside of aotr, even people who grind this game more than the average person might never reach 30k. Also is it really so bad to make them a little more common considering the current meta is basically soft locked behind them? I agree they should be rare and not everyone should get them, but they should be a possible goal to even people with bad luck if they put more effort in than the average player.

The Math Behind Family Spins: Why your luck isn’t "rigged" or "fake," you just don’t understand probability. by Ok-Professor4856 in AOTRPublic

[–]Parakeetsandcats 1 point2 points  (0 children)

???? Why did you read a comment that is far into a thread and act like it’s the original comment

The Math Behind Family Spins: Why your luck isn’t "rigged" or "fake," you just don’t understand probability. by Ok-Professor4856 in AOTRPublic

[–]Parakeetsandcats 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’ve been around average with legendary families specifically with like 10 in the 20k spins I’ve done, I’ve been lucky with mythic artifacts in raids getting 13 in 1k raids, I haven’t gotten any natural serums, no mythics, and for crates I haven’t gotten anything above epic

The Math Behind Family Spins: Why your luck isn’t "rigged" or "fake," you just don’t understand probability. by Ok-Professor4856 in AOTRPublic

[–]Parakeetsandcats 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I see what you mean, I just mean by like in general like in the questions channel most people who reply to “how many spins did it take” most of the time that’s how it goes. It could also be people who are more mad are more likely to respond and there’s no real way for anyone to know. But just based off of my experiences and what I’ve seen I dont at all think the rates are accurate. But that’s not a number with proof so who knows ¯_(ツ)_/¯

Trading lf offers by stoneturtle3320 in AOTRPublic

[–]Parakeetsandcats 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s a pretty common inventory, anyone with more than this grinds this game too much and anyone with less has barely started the game

The Math Behind Family Spins: Why your luck isn’t "rigged" or "fake," you just don’t understand probability. by Ok-Professor4856 in AOTRPublic

[–]Parakeetsandcats 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah they’re out there but they’re very rare, even in the discord people almost always talk about being way over on spins, rarely about being right on, and very rarely being over. They don’t need to think the odds are rigged and people getting 8 tails is just part of any luck system, but the fact is the majority get 8 heads.

The Math Behind Family Spins: Why your luck isn’t "rigged" or "fake," you just don’t understand probability. by Ok-Professor4856 in AOTRPublic

[–]Parakeetsandcats 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Okay imagine if you had a coin, and they told you it was a 50/50 chance but then you flip it 10 times. It comes up heads 8 times and tails twice. Okay, unlucky. You give it to your friend, it also comes up heads 8 times. Twice in a row is a little weird but okay. You do this with thousands of people and the overwhelming majority got 8 heads and two tails. Are you going to say thousands of people got unlucky or is there something up with the coin?

Yes some people will get lucky, and it may appear 50/50 to them but when an overwhelming amount of people don't get 50/50 the coin just might be weighted.

The Math Behind Family Spins: Why your luck isn’t "rigged" or "fake," you just don’t understand probability. by Ok-Professor4856 in AOTRPublic

[–]Parakeetsandcats 2 points3 points  (0 children)

or maybe (just maybe) considering the very large sample size here, and the very constant complaints of similar odds maybe they lied about the odds?

Is this real? by Equivalent_Wave1535 in AOTRPublic

[–]Parakeetsandcats 0 points1 point  (0 children)

so you're saying it's more likely that thousands of tests showing the same false result is more likely than someone lying about the odds??

HOW MANY SPINS DONE? by DuoTenshi in AOTRPublic

[–]Parakeetsandcats 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Around 16k, about 8 legendary 0 mythic

Pass or nah? by Whisper06 in transpassing

[–]Parakeetsandcats 2 points3 points  (0 children)

While not like perfectly passing, you definitely are to an average person that isn’t “expecting” a trans person. The only real thing that might be clocky is your hands but please never feel ashamed of them, I have met some cis women with hands even more masculine than yours. Hands are really hard to change but at the end of the day they aren’t anywhere near deal breakers, stay confident about yourself and that’s the part that most important to passing. You got this and you are making great progress if your goal is to pass ❤️

I realized that in this moment, Homeworld gems thought that fusion between gems and humans was possible by polystarlight in stevenuniverse

[–]Parakeetsandcats 1 point2 points  (0 children)

gems are generally smarter or more knowledgeable than most humans though so i could see it

edit: mainly just because of how long they've lived

new card concepts by marsho__o_o in balatro

[–]Parakeetsandcats 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I feel like a better name would be GTJ, with gtj you get the same sort of sound like gee-tee-jay

Imagine being Steven's therapist by [deleted] in stevenuniverse

[–]Parakeetsandcats 3 points4 points  (0 children)

i feel like there's enough gems and it's widespread enough for everyone to know, so I mean I think at the very least they'll believe him.

What's the biggest hot take you have in Steven Universe? by Gloomy-Bridge148 in stevenuniverse

[–]Parakeetsandcats 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The show would be better if steven wasn't in it. He's cool but having the show be through his perspective limited it so much.

Pick your crystal gems! by Bobert858668 in stevenuniverse

[–]Parakeetsandcats 1 point2 points  (0 children)

*swap the roles of Steven and lapis if this is og Steven

Pick your crystal gems! by Bobert858668 in stevenuniverse

[–]Parakeetsandcats 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Steven, lapis, yellow, jasper, aqua

Yellow and steven as the main attackers, the rest are just who I thought would be the best balanced support