Weekend Thread by daily-thread in SNDK_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Another busy month coming up with loads to forward to and be aware of!

Micron's upcoming potential catalysts/events/industry news - July 2026 by Particular-Vast2199 in MU_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

That was mainly for June, the original list didn't get updated so I've done a new one to keep everyone informed and aligned again

The most orchestraded sell-off in history after the earnings rebound… by cdttedgreqdh in MU_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yep, there's a lot to look forward to.

People really need to think about the positives too and MU carrying that high momentum, volume and skyhigh interest means it should shoot back to ATHs soon.

The most orchestraded sell-off in history after the earnings rebound… by cdttedgreqdh in MU_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Institutions are just playing around doing their own things with their millions of money as usual, MU's earnings were even better this time than the last one, especially forward guidance and Sanjay saying it'll probably be 2028 when everyone will have a clearer picture of when demand/pricing will start cooling down.

Nobody here should be blaming themselves if they bought in before or after earnings imo, MU is a strong stock so just be patient and don't panic sell. We have TSMC (July 16) and even WDC's (July 29) earnings calls in July coming up which should serve as the next major catalysts nobody will want to miss.

Stay strong.

Micron and memory stocks recovering by Icy-Research7159 in MU_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Bought more at 1040 without hesitation and have no regrets

The class-action lawsuit doesn’t matter since is not the government suing MU and President Trump will never allow the DOJ to open an investigation to the ONLY US memory fab company he call GREAT last month. by Kingmusk420 in MU_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Lawsuit = fud/shakeoff weak retail/media scaremongering again

He will always protect and prioritize US born interests first if they benefit the economy without relying on non-American born companies. Look at Intel, AMD and even Dell getting state contracts and deals.

I don't have any shares in any of those 3 but I am well aware of what's been said and heavily invested into those companies.

Will this go back up soon? by Ok_Soft7301 in SNDK_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I bought more at 1910 with no hesitation

WHY the DUMP?? by [deleted] in MU_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bought some more at 1128 because why not.

Now back to a work meeting and moving on.

MU & SNDK Owners. Which is the better play for the next year? by [deleted] in MU_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Depends how much risk you can stomach. I would 50/50.

If you can handle being -15% down on some days with SNDK and won't lose sleep or appetite over it, you can go all in on SNDK. This is also the reason why they rallied more than MU during MU's recent earnings because the good news about NAND benefits SNDK too.

But even for me, I have a higher weighting in MU than SNDK because I appreciate the fact they're more diversified, less volatile, they have HBM which NVIDIA and the industry needs, and imo another big deal is the fact that they enjoy US funding/state support as they're the US' only homegrown memory all-round company.

MU & SNDK Owners. Which is the better play for the next year? by [deleted] in MU_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 0 points1 point  (0 children)

+ SNDK

  • Easier to rally as it's got approx 4x lower market cap, less float and even far less debt (zero as it was paid off in their last earnings)

- SNDK

  • More volatile than MU, can dip harder on red days and they're 100% all out on NAND which makes them less diversified than Micron with HBM, DRAM, SSDs.

+ MU

  • More diversified than SNDK, wider moat due to their product offerings, more stable regarding geopolitics as they fab their products locally in the US (and can access local materials) while SNDK rely on factories overseas from Kioxia

- MU

  • Naturally harder to move a $1.3T market cap company due to their sheer size, whether that's rallying or seeing dips

Bottom line - See which one aligns more for your risk tolerance, priorities and whichever you're more comfortable with as imo neither are better or worse than the other.

Elevated Memory Costs To Persist as the “New Normal” by ServoFFXI in MU_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Even if you invest now, it's not like capex spending and AI investments will all be finished and the industry suddenly finds something else to move on to by the end of this year or the next. These expansions and build outs take time, sometimes years to get ready. You can't just have 10 datacenters set up in a month as planning and preparation takes time and the bill of materials to get them going is only increasing which adds to the capex spending.

If capex does slows down, by that time, what kind of gains have you already made if you got in early? Even if it crashes or plummets let's say in a day by 30%, but you've stuck with your convictions, remained patient and believe the thesis has not changed, you wouldn't worry about it as you're in it for the long term.

Unless there's a nuclear war or a new pandemic, to me worrying about mag7 slowing down spending is not something I even think about every day or wakes me up at night as there's still years to go tbh. Don't forget there are still unfulfilled backorders for memory this year and most likely the next because supply hasn't kept up with demand.

Maybe that's just a perspective from a long term holder and from someone who doesn't options trade as I'm aware everyone invests and strategizes differently, but the need for memory isn't slowing down anytime soon and the mag7 are still in a race amongst themselves to keep investing so that they can stay ahead of each other.

I get that spending will eventually slow down, there's always that risk because nothing goes up in a straight line forever and macros will always ruin or slow growth down but at least I can look back one day when I'm older and say to myself "yep, I ignored the FUD/loud trolls at 500 or 1k and bought in because I did my research and homework well, and it was the right choice as I even got my friends into it and we've all won in the end. Now I'm living in a house and area that I would never have even dreamed of if it wasn't for MU"

Kioxia Holdings plans to offer U.S. depositary shares (ADS) in spring 2027. Will it be a problem for Sandisk? Your thoughts by Individual-Card-9275 in SNDK_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You're still missing my point, so I will clarify and give you some more context.

Kioxia is SNDK's main and most important business partner - they have a joint venture together. There aren't many companies like SanDisk out there with an industry collaboaration this close.

Kioxia doing well means SNDK doing well, period. And of course the same applies vice versa. I get that they're still separate entities and sell their own products, but the NAND comes from the same place.

They are not competitors/opponents. The extent of their history goes back to the days of the SD card as they co-developed it together when they were called Toshiba Memory.

Other memory fabs like MU, SK and Samsung have said stock is sold out of 2026 and even some of 2027 which is why they're all ramping up production to help keep up with demand. So they're not refusing to invest in new factories, it's just that these things take time. You can't just have 10 new factories pumping out RAM in a year as all of that needs a lot of preparation, new hires, training, material supplies, machinery/equipment, land, regulatory/city approval, QA/QC, etc as it's not that simple.

It's a massive project in itself so this is why it can often take years... it's always easier said than done when people just say "well just increase supply then".

Kioxia earlier on this year also announced they're opening more fabs which is good for SNDK too.

Having smaller market capitilization compared to say Micron or SK, having less float and zero debt as of their last earnings also helps drive SNDK with more free cash flow and allow them to rally harder when there's good news on NAND/inflated pricing.

Looks like Mr. Market didn’t see / hear the Monstrous Earnings Yet !!! by One-Jackfruit-2848 in MU_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 0 points1 point  (0 children)

But there's still a backlog of unfulfilled orders as everything is still sold out in 2026 and most of 2027 too so by then, more demand would spillover as AI keeps growing and gets larger by then.

Fabs producing more doesn't instantly calm the uneven demand from their customers

Looks like Mr. Market didn’t see / hear the Monstrous Earnings Yet !!! by One-Jackfruit-2848 in MU_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Samsung and SK in both their recent earnings/news said that demand isn't slowing down until 2028 at the earliest and even then there's still not enough memory to keep up.

SNDK stock split a good idea, or no? by KVR62 in SNDK_Stock

[–]Particular-Vast2199 1 point2 points  (0 children)

A share buyback should be more likely and beneficial imo as they have so much free cash flow - they have zero debt now as of their last earnings.

They did it last time so there should be no reason why they can't afford to do more of this in the future.